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PremiumWe saw yesterday how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down pattern, which as mentioned was just a Bull Flag on the long-term scale. Today we examine this on the longer term time-frame and what stands out on 1D is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Such patterns are incredibly bullish but are more often seen on market bottoms...
Last time we analyzed Nasdaq (NDX) was a week ago (June 23, see chart below), giving a comfortable buy signal as the price was rebounding at the bottom of the 6-week Channel Up: The price hit our 22300 Target and has now touched the top of the Channel Up. Based on the 4H RSI, it resembles the May 15 price action, which soon after pulled back to the 0.382...
Last time we analyzed the EURUSD pair (June 23, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signals at the bottom of the 1.5-month Channel Up: The price is almost near our Target but since it's been consolidating for so many 4H candles on the pattern's top, it is better to take the good profit and turn bearish. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has been a solid...
Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short. With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit today the top of the Channel Down pattern, which as we've discussed numerous times, is most likely on the long-term a Bull Flag technically. Still, this early test has so far turned into a rejection. Early on to tell as the price remains above even the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but if it breaks above the closes a 1D candle above the top of...
At the beginning of the year (January 15, see chart below), we made an unpopular bearish call at the time, hinting that the USDCAD pair was approaching its Resistance Zone, hence a multi-year Top was in order: As you can see, the moment the price hit that Resistance Zone, it got instantly rejected and a new Bearish Leg started, which has extended up to this...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a unique long-term relationship/ correlation with WTI Oil (USOIL) and this charts shows why. In the past 11 years, when Oil started to decline sharply, Bitcoin formed a market bottom before Oil did. When Oil started to rise again, Bitcoin was out of its bottom and has initiated its Parabolic Rally stage (green Rectangle). Then Oil peaked...
DAX (DE40) is about to complete an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, with the price currently stuck in range within the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). A 4H candle closing above the 4H MA200, confirms the IH&S pattern and the bullish break-out technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, currently a little above 24600....
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within almost a 3-year Channel Down, which has assisted us in choosing the right levels to sell high and buy low. Despite being now on its 2nd major Bearish Leg, we see a short-term bounce possibly up to August quite likely based on the previous major Bearish Leg. As you see, the current setup resembles the April 13...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete the Handle of a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. This comes only days after breaking below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounding. Well the 1D MA50 has been recovered and on top of that, the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. This (isolated) Bull Flag, which is the Handle,...
It was only 9 days ago (June 16, see chart below) when we called for a potential bullish break-out on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line): The break-out did happen, this 1W candle is already considerably above its 1W MA50 and based also on the level the 1W RSI is at right now, it may resemble more the March 13 2023 1W candle...
A week has passed since our sell signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) and the emerging geopolitical stability has already helped the price move much faster towards our $58.20 Target (see chart in related ideas below). If we look at it from an even longer term perspective, the 1W time-frame in particular, we can see draw some very useful conclusions about the bearish case....
The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the final sell-off of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The only time this pattern broke was for 4 days during the bottom formation (April 2025) of the recent Trade War. Ahead of the first 1D Golden Cross since January 26 2023, the market looks more bullish than ever as it is trading within the 0.5 -...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago. The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that...
Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading on its 1M MA50, having recovered half of the Trade War losses. Still underperforming against most of its peers but as we've entered the 2nd half of the year, the traditional Bull Cycle rally is up ahead. We expect at least a 0.5 Fibonacci level test of the Channel Up, targeting...
Dow Jones (DJI) has been basically consolidating for the past month or so, following the massive April 7th bottom rebound but there is a very distinct indicator that shows it is about to skyrocket. That is the Gold/ Silver ratio (blue trend-line). Gold (XAUUSD) as a safe haven, attracts capital in times of market uncertainty. Silver (XAGUSD), as a metal of...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark. Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a...
Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since mid-May and today almost touched the pattern's bottom, making a Higher Low. At the same time, the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is right below it, the medium-term's natural Support. Since the 4H RSI also bounced on the 32.20 Support, which is where the pattern bottomed on May 23, we expect the new Bullish Leg...