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citrinityx
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SPX 50% | 2 FEDFUNDS 50% | 2
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beyondta bubble economiccycle fed federalreserve gold hikes qe rates recession tightening trendanalysis Less Tags Show All Tags
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TRENDLINE BONANZA
SPX
, 1D
SPX: TRENDLINE BONANZA

Trend analysis on SPX incorporating logarithmic and regular trends that have a minimum of 3 points of obedience historically. Pick and choose the ones you want, but if it's a trend on the SP500 chances are it's in this chart.

FED FUNDS AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS
FEDFUNDS
, D
FEDFUNDS: FED FUNDS AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS

This chart shows the federal funds rate along with other economic indicators, with recessions highlighted in red and significant events written alongside them.

Can technical analysis infer the result of Fed Tightening?
FEDFUNDS
, 1M
FEDFUNDS: Can technical analysis infer the result of Fed Tightening?

This chart uses a simple downtrend in order to predict the terminal fed funds rate, which I believe will be 150-175 basis points by March 2023. As we can see, the previous fed funds rate hikes under the current downtrend have resulted in periods of lower GDP growth as well as yield-curve inversions and very regularly precede lows in total US jobless claims (the...

USIRYY SPX
SPX
, 1M
SPX: USIRYY SPX

Overlaid the USIRYY over the SPX to determine past trends in inflationary periods.

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