Yesterday, we highlighted a hammer candle on the SPY ETF and today we get a rare Dragonfly Doji candlestick pattern. Both patterns are reversal patterns, where bulls push stocks back to the opening levels, after initial weakness. This, paired with bottoming slow stochastics (for example) makes us bullish ahead of NFPs tomorrow.
Unicredit is the next European Bank to stage an impressive base breakout. EU Banks are at a turning point, outperforming, and have a lot of catch-up to do. Technicals look great. Unicredit appears to move into a vacuum and I see immediate upside into 2.75/.77
I'm a chart analyst, not a fundamental analyst, but here are a few thoughts what could drive EU Banks...
Autozone stock is one of the most oversold in the S&P500 and yielded a textbook doji candle today. Tuesday's supports were successfully tested. I'm looking for a bounce into moving averages at 770 and/or 790.
Everybody expects a correction. Sentiment isn't top-like in my view. Today's little selloff immediately triggered buying and yielded a bullish hammer candle off current range lows. The bullish hammer is further accompanied by bottoming slow stochastics, to me a signal of a fresh bull leg higher. Again, with everyone bearish out there, the risk is to the upside....
This is looking interesting. Not much to say: RSI divergences developing, with the stock down 45% since March. The selloff seems fairly exhaused. Nice risk reward, if you put a stop at 4.79 and target at 5.27
It was a pain trading the DAX all of last week. Several candles indicated tactical bounces off important breakout supports around 10470 - 490, however the index failed to distance itself from key supports, decisively. Friday ended the week with a bullish engulfing pattern. Bigger picture, we are looking at a descending triangle pattern, which I expect to resolve...
I really missed that one in the makings... Textbook hammer candle on Amazon, yesterday, and the stock is up quite a bit already. However, with the momentum that AMZN has got going, any shallow dip should be bought, especially when it ends with a Hammer. I'm a bit obsessed with hammers. Slow stochastics are also bottoming, so possibly indicating a good swing trade...
Doji watch: a doji in the makings after last week's selloff and very oversold readings. A close around these levels here at $753 could yield a bullish reversal doji.
Deadly bearish gravestone doji on Friday, which also rejected the neckline to a potentially large and bullish inverse H&S pattern. Either way I stay cyclically bullish given my work on the weekly and monthly charts, as well as developments in EM in general. Short-term however, this one sees bearish follow-up on Friday's candle and could pull back towards $9 worst...
Tesla stock lost the 50day moving average on Friday and is testing the 200day moving average support today. At current levels the stock would also clear a clean 'lower high' top. On a close below $217 (200d ma, horizontal support) could see a deeper selloff starting with next better support at $199 (gap) and at $188 (summer low)
We stick to our view, expressed on Thursday, when CMG cleared a small base and the 50day moving average at $405. I see next bigger resistance at $443, where the stock could clear an even bigger base. We are observing long-term reversal action with potentially more upside. Stay tuned!
The anticipated bounce off breakout supports didn't play out as expected. Lack of follow-up is a signal that we need to accept. I'm not turning bearish, yet. Key support to watch on the Index is at 10443. Below would complete a minor top with light support at 10374 (gap) and heavier supports at 10129 - 10093 - 10066 (key moving averages, early August reaction low).
Novartis has corrected about 7% towards and below its 200day moving average, and is coming back. A close above 78.35 today, would confirm that. Momentum indicators were a little oversold and are bouncing.
Stop at 77.50
Target zone: 82.80 - 84.00
Luxottica's slowing fall over the past six months has been nicely accompanied by bullish or improving momentum divergences. Levels around 42 seem to serve as a good floor for the time being. The 50day moving average has been capping any efforts since May, and a break above it, may be a first technical catalyst, with the second waiting @44.69 for the completion of...
Yesterday's candle was actually bullish. Long-legged candles signal reversals, even if the intraday selloff may have suggested otherwise. The key message: breakout levels ~10490 were tested (violated), but held. Index is off to a fresh swing higher, which could target 10860 (late December high) and 10981 (cycle fibo level).
With that in mind, yesterday's mini...
With lousy and direction-less equity markets today - Europe rollercoaster, US hibernating - let's take a look at Gold. The precious metal yielded a near-perfect bullish hammer candle today. I usually like to see those at the end of a longer downtrend, but would never want to ignore a hammer, when I see one.
My longer-term technical work suggests a fresh bull...
