redwingcoach

redwingcoach Updated 

I'll start with BJ itself. Historically, it is top 50 in my universe of over 2000 stocks in terms of per day returns on trades, at .257% (6x the market avg per day). Its record is perfect at 189-0 with an average return of 1.8% in 7 days. The new filter I recently added, however, bumps that per day held return up to .363% (around 90% annualized). On top of...

redwingcoach

This is my first actual trade of TOST. No particular bias against it, just haven't traded it before. But looking at its paper results, I wish I had been. Since the first of the year, it has outperformed QQQ more than 2:1 on a B/H basis, which I always like to see, but don't always get in a trade. But its 16.71% return pales compared to what I'd have gotten had...

redwingcoach Updated 

As tempting as it was today to choose TSLA and profit from the middle school girl drama that is Elon and DJT today, I’ll wait until the dust settles on that one to profit from it. Yes, the chart here for CME looks almost identical to the one for TW in the idea I posted yesterday. Hopefully, the outcome will be the same. CME's performance with my algo has been...

redwingcoach Updated 

QUBT is a full on meme stock. With that in mind, I will lead with a word of caution for those who might attempt to follow in my footsteps on this trade. These are HIGHLY speculative stocks on which a person could lose a WHOLE lot of their capital if things go sideways. Drawdowns on these trades can routinely exceed 20% and do that in a matter of days. If you...

redwingcoach Updated 

Rolling the proceeds of my 1 day CBOE trade into JNPR hoping for the same result. The system is 27-0 on JNPR since the beginning of 2024, but it has had a few long trades in that time. I will be using my FPC exit (see my recent ideas for details if you aren't familiar). I will add lots at the close each day it stays oversold until I'm out of the trade...

redwingcoach Updated 

The chart is a mess. There's really no support close by after the big post earnings pop. 5 red candles in 6 days. Trump tariffs taking effect this weekend...nobody in their right mind should take this trade. So why did I? A) I literally have only JNPR in my portfolio when it comes to tech, so I am underrepresented in the space. B) anyone who follows me...

redwingcoach Updated 

I cheated and bought intraday on this one, because it threw a signal yesterday and I didn't bite then. I couldn't resist today. You might remember that in my first idea for this stock on April 3, I had some nervousness about this stock. I was happy getting out with a 3.7% gain in four days. What if I told you that was the worst return of the last 7 signals? ...

redwingcoach Updated 

I've posted ideas about MA before. I will continue posting buy ideas about MA until the final breath leaves my body. The average credit card APR is 24.3% - I think this trade can do better. Around 60% APR on average, with a good chance at 270%+ APR. MA is in a multi-year uptrend, only 2 days removed from its all time high. Smoked today not because they lost...

redwingcoach Updated 

In addition to being at the heart of AI and having margins north of 70%, AVGO has done incredibly well with my algo. 381-0 with an average return of 1.71% in an average of 7 days - a .244% per day return, about 4x the average daily market return. However, adding the new filter I've been using ups that number dramatically. In the last 2 years, in 39 trades,...

redwingcoach Updated 

Like my UBER idea from yesterday, TW doesn't have a long enough track record for my to "officially" rank it among the stocks I trade, but also like UBER has produced excellent results during its albeit relatively brief history. Its record with my algo is 158-1 (the one "loss" is from a signal generated yesterday). The average gain was 1.33% in 13 trading days -...

redwingcoach Updated 

So this one is a little riskier than most trades I take, but the juice has been historically worth that squeeze. Historically, this setup has never produced a losing trade on RKLB, so I don't expect this time to break that streak. In addition to having a perfect record, it also has stellar (no pun intended) daily rates of return. It's also in the midst of a...

redwingcoach Updated 

If I ranked the performance of UBER with my algo vs. all the other large caps I trade, it would rank right near the top with regard to return per day held. I don't rank it, because I don't have enough historical data to include it in my rankings. Its limited results are impressive, however. 196-3 (the 3 are open from the last 3 days) with an average gain of...

redwingcoach Updated 

This one actually gave a signal yesterday and I bought it then. With NVDA's earnings it popped 4% and I got out after hours (thankfully). It gave another signal again today, which doesn't happen all the time so I'm going back for a double dip. The best part is that the second of 2 signals in a row usually pays off fast and well - which of course means I just...

redwingcoach Updated 

I went long RB Global at the close today. Zoom out and you'll see a pretty beautiful chart for a company nobody reading this has probably ever heard of. It's been in a nice uptrend for the past 2 years and just put in an all time high a week ago, so it has good momentum. Obviously, it's also trading above its 200d MA. It has support right here, as well as...

redwingcoach Updated 

Long today after the close at 210.40. Historically, ADI has been a top 20 performer for my trading system, so a 1 week slump doesn't faze (NOT phase) me a bit. Long term, it has a dazzling track record for what I do, so short term struggles just look like an opportunity for me. Historically, this particular setup is 359-1 (the one would be a trade from late...

redwingcoach Updated 

If you've been following me for any length of time, you know what a trader-crush I have on TSCO. The success I've had with it over time has been about as good as any stock I trade. This is a sad chart, when you look at it. There's really nothing here that screams buy right now. But the chart doesn't tell the whole story. While I'm not using my typical algo...

redwingcoach Updated 

As a short term mean reversion trader, I don't like charts that go straight up. Since late April, that's what META has done. With just a small pullback from its recent highs, this is a spot where if the trade works, it should work quickly, playing off the stock's recent momentum. But if it doesn't pay off quickly, the risk is that I'm getting in near the top of...

redwingcoach Updated 

Today was a rough day for the market, but rough days are opportunities. Days like this require confidence in what you do, though. For me, confidence comes from data. Could there be more downside ahead? Yep. Taking the time to mine data to understand whether what you are doing has been successful in past circumstances where corrections have been involved helps me...