stephenleachman

stephenleachman

TLT - The 20 year + treasury ETF Just open today (Aug - 29) at the highs of the year. This after a strong Bid in the market for safety. I cant seem to get an accurate wave count on TLTs but following the trend for the year is been to the up side. Sense the beginning of the year price has been in a channel higher, Resistance is @128.57 the 2017 High and near term...

stephenleachman

Gold -GLD- Just Closed - New Highs for 2017 Its been difficult to get a precise medium term wave count on the daily chart but to my best this dose confirm my longer term outlook. The longer term purple and blue waves which we are in a blue 3 that encompasses a purple 3erd Wave. This giving me a long term bullish bias on Gold. Medium term Gold looks also to be...

stephenleachman

Gold is getting ready to make a longer term move higher and breakout of it 5 year correction period. On the weekly chart of GLD the ETF that tracks the Precious meatal after identifying an A-B-C purple correction from the all time highs in September 09 The wave count that I'm tracking starting from the purple C in December 15 is a 1st purple impulse wave that...

stephenleachman

I want to take note that on the long term wave count ( See link below ) I have 6000 as the end of a blue 5th wave that encompasses a long term purple 5th wave. Upon analyzing a medium term daily chart I am not yet convinced that the blue 5th wave will end @6000 The NDX could now be in a Orange 2end wave. This would mean that there's an orange 3erd wave move higher...

stephenleachman

Watching 6000 for the pasable top in the NDX as I expect volatility to increase in the overall market in the coming months. The Nasdaq fell a few points short of that 6000 handle on July 27 @5995.8. An Elliot, wave count shows that the Nasdaq is forming a long term 5th wave top as price grinds agents the upper channel line. The long term purple 5th wave...

stephenleachman

This is the medium term wave count witch encompasses the 5th wave in the longer term purple wave count ( See the link below ) After completing a clean orange 5 wave move within the 5th blue wave on Aug 8 which also made a reversal day where as the S&P made a all time high @2490.9 but ended up closing the day @2474.7 - A meaningful move to tack note of. As I've...

stephenleachman

I've been tracking this wave count for a wile. Starting from the low in 09 (The financial crisis low) till now the S&P looks to have completed an Elliot 5 wave move. The end of this long term 5th wave was @2490.9 This also ended a medium term 5 wave move that started in the beginning of 2016 and was within the long term 5th wave. I believe 2490.9 just short of...

stephenleachman

Looks like we are going to close the day breaking through some key resistance levels. A 100% Expansion of Aug lows to Sep highs back to Sep lows and the top of a rising channel. This is also after a breakout in Oct of a descending trend line that's been resistance for all of 2016. Also we are above the 100 DMA and RSI just closed above 60 showing bullish momentum...

stephenleachman Updated 

I haven't traded the Euro - Dollar much this year, mainly because it doesn't have a longer term trend to it. We are still in a consolidation from the descent from 2014 to the middle of last year 2015. So far this year price hasnt broke the desember lows 1.05168 which would give more conviction on its longer term down trend continuation. 2016 Open and set a range...

stephenleachman Updated 

last week We made a big move to the downside, the week opened @106.118 and closed @102.010 Leaving the Yen 410 Pip stronger against the USDollar. Last week's move was do to the BOJ disappointment. The market was expecting a larger stimulus then what was announced with the BOJ only doubling its ETF purchases to 6 Trillion from a previous 3.3 trillion Yen. They left...

stephenleachman

On the monthly chart of the Euro - Dollar, a longer term outlook I've spotted a few key factors that might point to some bullish months to come. I will start by pointing out the long term uptrend that started from the low in 2000 @0.8231 to the high in 2008 @1.1619 From 2008 to the end of 2014 price was consolidating trading in a multi year symmetrical triangle...

stephenleachman

On the monthly chart of the Dollar - Yen going back to 1995 Interesting to note is these clear multi year trend lines. We can see that price is around a 50% retracement @100.711 of the Low in Oct 2011 @75.565 to the highs in July @125.856. So we could say price is in a retracement of a very long term uptrend but I think more importantly is the descending trend...

stephenleachman Updated 

Wednesday's FOMC, the question is are the feds going to raise rates this year? The beginning of 2016 we were scheduled for 4 hikes this year 4 went to 2 and historically there's only been a rate hike by quarter (Quarterly meetings are followed by a press conference) Now that will leave september and december on the table. There's a very little chance that the feds...

stephenleachman Updated 

Japan's trade figures come in, its exports were higher for June but its trade balance was also higher then expectations. Doesn't look as the strong Yen heart exports so much. USD/JPY Daily Chart:

stephenleachman

I first would like to thank all who have came over to my tradingview profile and liked or followed. I also want to extend my personal thanks to Ichimoku_Trader who brought my publications to a good percent of you. I'm new to the whole social trading so please bear with me on my response time with the messages, I'm not a teacher nor an educator I'm a trader. I have...

stephenleachman

This is a condensed version of my trading plan. I follow this plan faithfully every day, It is the foundation to my trading. I mentioned in my approach segment of this trading plan that I build my strategies based on the tactics within my playbook. All the tactics I use to build strategies I have listed here on tradingview and they are as followed: Chart...

stephenleachman Updated 

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo “one look equilibrium chart” In my personal opinion is the best all in one indicator, it defines support and resistance, identifies trend direction, gauges momentum and provides trading signals. The best part about ichimoku is not only that it gives you a directional bias "at one glance" but also it provides trading signals. These signals can...

stephenleachman

My toolbox is a list of technical tools that I implement in my strategies. Each of these technical tools can be used separately or together depending on the strategy, understanding the purpose of each tool and knowing how to apply them within the market is crucial to their accuracy. Below is how I personally apply these technicol tools within my toolbox. ...