theDOGEguy1

theDOGEguy1

In my opinion we are currently drawing into a one week BISI. I expect price if we stay bearish to trade to the Order block on the 1 hour chart that is identified with a Gann box. If we somehow flip bullish I would like to see ATH put in again. There is plenty of Volume Imbalances to clean up below so we might be on a misson to do that. As always if you have a...

theDOGEguy1

Looking at NQ we are currently playing out the last phase of a MMBM (Market Maker Buy Model) Looking at the week ahead It looks like we are wanting to complete the MMBM. I would be looking for a sallowish retracement into the PD arrays shown here. If we want to complete the MMBM I would be looking for price to follow the blue line. If we in fact don't end up...

theDOGEguy1

Hello, Before I start I hope everyone has a quick moment to pray for those affected by the war in Israel. This week we have a Holiday week Monday being a Bank Holiday. We have the new conflict that sprung up over the weekend as well. I was leaning more bullish entering this week however, after the war announcement over the weekend I am more bearish now. I...

theDOGEguy1

Last week had some ruff PA to trade, to keep my risk low while I am waiting on payouts I will be switching to Micros this week. Looking at MES this week as NQ is great in a bull market however, with the most recent flip I have found better success with ES so I will be trading this until we find our bottom. I would like to see price going into Monday with no...

theDOGEguy1

After yesterdays manual intervention it would appear that the market is on a mission to reach for a key liquidity. While there is no way of fully telling what that liquidity is I expect bearish sentiment moving forward until we hit it. A draw into that 4H FVG/SIBI would be an ideal entry for a short move however, if we are not close to this liquidity at 8:30 Open...

theDOGEguy1

Top down analysis of NQ shows we are in a 40 and 60 day IPDA discount. We stopped just short of the 20 day equilibrium. No red folder news until FOMC mid week. Looking to remain bearish Monday but not ruling out getting a decent retracement into the newer HTF breakers that formed. I would like to see us take a key liquidity level before I look for my setup....

theDOGEguy1

Looking at todays price action we don't have any red folder news today that can really drive price so I am not 100% married to this idea and hold an overall neutral bias going into 8:30am open. It is also a short week and a holiday week so not my best trading environment. Took a nasty L on Wednesday when I broke my rules. So trading today with extremely lower risk...

theDOGEguy1

Since my last analysis delivered the way I anticipated it, where do we go from here? Looking at the chart I still am holding my original bias until today closes (Monthly candle is pulling back before pushing down). If we close this month at this price range this would give us a liquidity sweeping wick on the one month time frame. I will then switch my bias to...

theDOGEguy1

Using ICT concepts it appears looking at the 1 Month candle we are in a pull back before we continue down using the PO3. Using this logic it makes sense that on the 1D, 4H, 1H we have entered a MMBM (Market Maker Buy Model) I am anticipating a draw up to that 1W IFVG as we have some equal highs BSL that I think we will want to clear out before we enter another...

theDOGEguy1

Looking at the futures market this morning it is looking like we are after some BSL if this 1 hour break holds. I will be sitting out today however, I will be keeping an eye on the NY silver bullet (SB) time frame to see if any potential setups may occur. At this point I am expecting price to take out PDH close to this time and then during SB form our reversal or...

theDOGEguy1

Looking at the ES on the one hour it’s pretty clear that this breaker block is setting up for a continued MMSM. If we mange to use news next week we could be in for some consolidation Mondayand Tuesday followed by a manipulation Wednesday and then distribution Thursday into Friday to the PML then a BSL raid Friday. Let’s see how this week plays out.

theDOGEguy1

Using ICT concepts on NQ I am currently seeing us in a market maker buy program. However, with FOMC tomorrow anything is possible. I would like to see the 8am candle close and then see how price action respects this the High and Low of this candle. We have some really good imbalances that can be our draw on liquidity to both sides. Like most going into FOMC I am...

theDOGEguy1

Using ICT “Smart Money Concepts” this is what I would like to see Tesla price action do. This is not financial advise. Just my observation given what the chart has in terms of POI’s I am looking at. Looking for price to fill that New Week Opening Gap before moving higher. Bullish news could negate needing to close in that gap however, seeing how futures is...