ProR35

20/05/24 Weekly outlook

ProR35 Updated   
MEXC:BTCUSDT   Bitcoin / USDT
Last weeks high: $67701.33
Last weeks low: $64227.62
Midpoint: $60753.92

We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin.

The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K.

Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again.

For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
Comment:
Strong push above last weeks high off of the trendline support. All eyes on the reaction at 69K
Comment:
69K flipped! With a great retest wick too, very strong price action at the start of the week as traders try to front run the ETH ETF decision. Although approval is not for certain many are taking the Long position. If the ETF were to be rejected I could see us revisiting the levels where we previously were at last week forming a Bart Simpson pattern. For ETH itself that would mean returning back to $3K. If the ETF were to be approved I think we build a base just under ATH and look to breakthrough in the next week/ 10 days.

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