Trading_Vista

For the week of 05 May, AUDCAD is very interesting

Short
FX:AUDCAD   Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
If you think this pair is in an uptrend, I would draw your attention to the weekly view. You may want to think again.

Moving on to the daily chart, we can see how price was contained within 0.9140-0.8850 for over 7 months. Both these levels are obviously significant so if price has been battling 0.9140 area for the past 4 days, that is an important factor in analyzing this pair.

To understand recent price action it helps to inspect the H4 candles. The pair has been moving in a channel as you can see. I do see a rounding kind of action during the last 20 periods. It looks to me that the pair is ready to start falling.

I am ready to take a short right away, but it would be great to get a small bounce to about 0.9080 region and place a trade there. My stop is at 0.9140 while the initial target is above the support at 0.8870 area. I believe the actual move could be much larger, but in these uncertain times, news flashes can cause sudden expected moves.

I am ready to take a short right away, but it would be great to get a small bounce to about 0.9080 region and place a trade there. My stop is at 0.9140 while the initial target is above the support at 0.8870 area. I believe the actual move could be much larger, but in these uncertain times, news flashes can cause sudden expected moves.

It would be awesome if you gave a "thumbs up" to this post and comments are always welcome. You can follow me to get a notification of trade ideas as soon as I post them too.

As always, please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
Comment:
I bailed out of this trade with a small loss. I don't believe any more that the CAD has any strength at this time.

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