It was requested in the comment section of a previous chart I posted what I thought about the DOTUSDT chart so here I am taking a look at it on the weekly chart. We can see here how as soon as polkadot reache its full double bottom breakout target that it began a big correction…in doing so here it completed a head to a potential head and shoulders pattern and since it bounced from that low it is now forming the right shoulder to that head and shoulders pattern. f it were to validate the breakdown below the purple neckline of this head and shoulders pattern the full breakdown target would actually be even lower than the price range of our double bottom patterns lows. Because of this, I think this greatly reduces the probability that the pattern would hit its full breakdown target. Also since we are currently in the macro bull market cycle phase bearish patterns don't hit their full 100% targets as often. There is still a slight possibility it could hit the full breakdown target but imo that would likely have to coincide with a pretty severe black swan event to blame it on as a scapegoat. I think as long as we avoid some sort of crazy black swan in the coming months, that there is a higher probability the head and shoulders pattern doesn’t validate its breakdown. What to watch in order to know which way this will pan out is whether or not the top trendline of the yellow channel (aka the neckline of the double bottom) can maintain support on the weekly channel. Considering how the weekly50ma(in orange) is now coming up to overlap that trendline as double reinforced support, it’s wise to watch for price action to hod support on the weekly 50ma as well. Hopefully thisMA will help lift price action up and bounce it upward. As long as the weekly 50ma maintains that support the h&s pattern will not be validated. *not financial advice*
Comment:
If somehow a black swan event did help to cause dot to reach the full breakdown target of the h&s I sincerely doubt it would stay that low for long and would likely be a good buying opportunity.
Comment:
Current weekly candle bounced right on the top trendline of the channel
