FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
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Last week's release of the January PPI in the United States exceeded expectations by a significant margin. This led to negative opinions about the timing of the Fed's rate cuts, which in turn resulted in a strengthening of the dollar. Furthermore, there are forecasts suggesting that the ECB's rate cuts may come sooner than expected, indicating a time when the market needs to gauge how it will react.

- US January Producer Price Index MoM released at 0.3% increase, expectation was 0.1% increase, previous month was -0.1%.

- ECB Monetary Policy Meeting is scheduled for February 21.

- FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released on February 22.

- ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Report will be published on February 22.

The euro is undergoing a downward trend after deviating from its upward trend, facing resistance at recent highs. However, it is holding at support levels, experiencing short-term rebounds, which may indicate a possibility of retesting recent highs.

Based on this, two movements are anticipated:

The first is confirmation of resistance at the high of 1.10500 after confirming the strength of the current support line, leading to a medium to long-term decline.
The second is a short-term decline to the expected low of 1.04500 after breaking through the current support line.

These two movements are anticipated, ultimately leading to a decline to the lows. If there are unexpected movements, we will analyze and adjust our strategy accordingly.

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