MrGekkoWallSt

S&P500 in the short term is bearish!

Short
TVC:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Historically, the months of August and September are not the most favorable for stocks.

Seasonality has been working almost perfectly since October 2022; I don't believe it will be different now.

From the top of the channel to the bottom would represent an approximate loss of 6%. A healthy move for the continuation of the trend in larger time frames.
Comment:
As expected, the first leg of the downtrend begins to show some signs of exhaustion in the demand zone. Therefore, a pullback from here should not come as a surprise.
Comment:
After today's closing candle, the top of the retracement at B might have been set. Some liquidity should be captured in a new rebound; however, without reaching new highs.
Comment:
The show of strength in "B" is surprising me after the negative candle on August 24th. However, I don't believe that the direction towards "C" has been changed by this. The important thing is that the overall reading of the movement is accurate so far, and that's my goal.
Comment:
I hit my target. Now, I expect a reversal aiming for the all-time high by December 2023.
Trade closed: target reached:
END!

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