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VLO

Valero Energy (VLO) Analysis Company Overview: Valero Energy NYSE:VLO continues to reinforce its leadership in the energy sector, with an increasing focus on sustainable fuels and low-carbon solutions. Through initiatives like supplying sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in Florida, Valero is well-positioned to capture new revenue streams, particularly as global demand for clean energy intensifies. Additionally, its Diamond Green Diesel venture—a partnership aimed at producing renewable diesel—further enhances its capability to thrive in the evolving energy landscape. Key Catalysts: Sustainable Fuels Focus: Valero's efforts in SAF production demonstrate its commitment to addressing the growing demand for green energy, particularly in the aviation sector, which is undergoing a transformation toward low-emission fuels. Diamond Green Diesel Venture: This strategic initiative supports Valero’s transition toward low-carbon energy, with renewable diesel offering strong revenue potential in a market that increasingly favors sustainable alternatives. Strong Financials: Valero’s strong cash flow generation, combined with a massive $144.77 billion revenue in recent reports, showcases its resilience and ability to fund growth in sustainable energy projects. Regulatory Tailwinds: With more stringent emissions regulations globally, Valero’s focus on low-carbon and sustainable fuel solutions aligns with long-term policy trends aimed at reducing carbon footprints across industries. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on VLO above $119.00-$120.00, supported by Valero’s robust financials and strategic push toward sustainable energy solutions. Upside Potential: Our upside target for VLO is $181.00-$182.00, driven by increasing demand for sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, and other clean energy initiatives, alongside strong revenue and cash flow trends. 🚀 VLO—Powering the Future with Sustainable Fuel Solutions. #SustainableEnergy #SAF #LowCarbonSolutions
NYSE:VLOLong
by Richtv_official
VLO Reversal Pattern - Pump to $127🐂 Trade Idea: Long - VLO 🔥 Account Risk: 1.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option 🔍 Entry: +/- 116.75 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 107.99 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 127.09 (75%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — What we see here is a typical reversal pattern. We gain the 114 level downward but fail to hold it and gain the 114 level again in an upward movement which is also the former lower low. If you’re more of a break out trader you can trade this setup directly long with a target at 127 and a stop-loss at 108. We’ve held this level for six days so far. If you want to make sure the trade is safer wait for a re-test around 116-114 and trade the long after a strong rejection. If you prefer the re-test make sure to put your stop-loss to 111-112 because you don’t want to see more downward pressure from that point on. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NYSE:VLOLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
What Is Smart Money?Smart money is capital placed in the market by institutional investors, market mavens, central banks, funds, and other financial professionals. Smart money also refers to the force that influences and moves financial markets, often led by the actions of central banks. Smart money is invested on a much larger scale than retail investments. But do you know why they call themselves Smart? Because their access to data and their analytical ability at any given moment is much higher than retail traders! Bringing the game to the next level: After I publish my analysis for VLO on March 7th, 2022, and mentioned an opportunity to buy at 86-87 level with a 46% gain in less than 6 months: 1- March 8th,2022: - Bank of America added VLO to the US1 list and adjusted its target price to 135 from 107 for 2022. (The US 1 list reflects strategic stock recommendations made by the BofA Merrill Lynch US 1 committee.) -Scotiabank Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $90 From $83. 2-March 14th,2022: -JPMorgan Adjusts Valero Energy's Price Target to $101 From $95 -Tudor Pickering Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $104 From $93 So, it is not impossible to beat the so-called smart money..! Another layer of analysis: If you are looking at oil prices since March 7th, you see a 15-20% correction, but VLO is up more than 6.3% since then??? Because there is something more important than Oil price for refineries..! That is called Crack spread..! Any increase in the crack spread will increase refineries profit exponentially..! While the oil price is 34% up YTD, Crack spread is up 91% YTD, which means lower oil prices could increase the refineries profit..! moreover, VLO is the second biggest Biodiesel producer in the world and benefit from it as well..! Conclusion: I will not care about oil price as long as the crack spread is higher than the 2021 average(21)..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
2
Crack Spread and Valero Gross Prfit corelation..!Let's combine Technical analysis and Fundamental analysis: Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment consists of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX. Crack Spread and Valero Gross Profit correlation: Crack Spread and Valero Net Income correlation: Gasoline will still remain the primary transportation fuel in the US through 2050, but its consumption is on the verge of peaking in either 2022 or 2023, the EIA projects. (spglobal) Moreover, demand will be strong! At least we have 1-2 good years ahead..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
1
A possible 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..!Notice: this trading setup is based on higher oil prices in the coming months, because of the geopolitical tensions..! Entry: 86-87 Stop loss: 75 Reward/Risk: 3.35 Target range: 127 Time Frame: 24 wks Possible gain: 46% Possible loss: 13.5% Position size: 10% of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. *I have long position in VLO
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
9
There are opportunities in any market..!I proved that there are opportunities in any market if you know how to find them. Making money is always good, but making money based on a flawless Technical and Fundamental analysis when everyone else loses money is different..! If you made money based on my analysis, I would appreciate it if you make a small donation to a charity of your choice. If you want to know about my choice, give me a direct message so I provide the link. “The main difference between me and other people who have amassed this kind of money is that I am primarily interested in ideas, and I don't have much personal use for money. But I hate to think what would have happened if I hadn't made money: My ideas would not have gotten much play.” ― George Soros Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
5
I've got a hundred million reasons to walk away (Lady GAGA)On March 7th, I published my very first analysis of Valero and A possible 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..! After I publish my analysis for VLO on March 7th, 2022, and mentioned an opportunity to buy at the 86-87 level with a 46% gain in less than 6 months: 1- March 8th,2022: - Bank of America added VLO to the US1 list and adjusted its target price to 135 from 107 for 2022. (The US 1 list reflects strategic stock recommendations made by the BofA Merrill Lynch US 1 committee.) -Scotiabank Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $90 From $83. 2-March 14th,2022: -JPMorgan Adjusts Valero Energy's Price Target to $101 From $95 -Tudor Pickering Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $104 From $93 I evaluate the Stock from all the aspects I could, But a childish mistake and market sentiment cost me the lion's share of the profit! I closed my long position with a 9.5% profit and my Call options with a 35% profit on March 22. I made that greedy decision to re-enter at lower prices, but VLO moved up another 18.2%. I re-enter my position today because the same criteria appeared on the chart once again, and that is the historical lowest VLO/GY1!: (GY1! is Gulf Coast Crack Spread) the reaction of the market to the earnings is not predictable with a high accuracy rate, but tomorrow earning result remind me off this Lady GAGA lyrics: I've got a hundred million reasons to walk away But, baby, I just need one good one to stay Oh, baby, I'm bleeding, bleeding, ey... Can't you give me what I'm needing, needing? I have a lot of reasons to support the Idea that VLO earnings will be recorded High..! and the only thing that could prevent them is: VLO financial advisers and future traders fixed the Crack Spread and oil prices carelessly..!(which is very unlikely) So I spend 2% of my capital on the call options, and possibly I will realize the options in case we see a big bullish gap..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
New 52 weeks high..!Technical: breaking above 52 weeks high will open a new horizon for further increase in price..! Fundamental: Crack spread is now twice more than average of the Q4,2021..! I am confident Valero will make more money in Q1 2022 than all four quarters of 2021 combined. there will be a huge gap in price after the next earnings..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
4
A fundamental approach to Valero..!What Is a Crack Spread? A crack spread refers to the overall pricing difference between a barrel of crude oil and the petroleum products refined from it. A crack spread is the overall pricing difference between a barrel of crude oil and the petroleum products refined from it. The price of a barrel of crude oil and the prices of the different products derived from it are not always in sync, leading to the spread in prices. The difference in prices is important to oil refiners as it can impact their profit margins. (Investopedia) What Is Operating Margin? The operating margin measures how much profit a company makes on a dollar of sales after paying for variable costs of production, such as wages and raw materials, but before paying interest or tax. It is calculated by dividing a company’s operating income by its net sales. Higher ratios are generally better, illustrating the company is efficient in its operations and is good at turning sales into profits. (Investopedia) Now let's look at the correlation between Crack Spread and VLO gross profit: Based on my calculations the next income of the first quarter for Valero could be more than all 4 quarters of 2021 combined..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
2
A cup of Refinary..!When I published my analysis on March 7th, the price was 86-87..! I mentioned a 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..! 2 Trading days after that, Bank of America increase its price target for Valero from 107 to 135..! I believe there will be an exceptional Q1 earning at the end of April..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position.
NYSE:VLOLong
by Moshkelgosha
1