Short Selling EMA Cross (By Coinrule)BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
This short selling script works best in periods of downtrends and general bearish market conditions, with the ultimate goal to sell as the the price decreases further and buy back before a rebound.
This script can work well on coins you are planning to hodl for long-term and works especially well whilst using an automated bot that can execute your trades for you. It allows you to hedge your investment by allocating a % of your coins to trade with, whilst not risking your entire holding. This mitigates unrealised losses from hodling as it provides additional cash from the profits made. You can then choose to to hodl this cash, or use it to reinvest when the market reaches attractive buying levels.
Entry
The exponential moving average ( EMA ) 20 and EMA 50 have been used for the variables determining the entry to the short. EMAs can operate better than simple moving averages due to the additional weighting placed on the most recent data points, whereas simple moving averages weight all the data the same. This means that price is tracked more closely and the most recent volatile moves can be captured and exploited more efficiently using EMAs.
Our backtesting data revealed that the most profitable timeframe was the 30-minute timeframe, this also enabled a good frequency of trades and high profitability.
A fast (shorter term) exponential moving average , in this strategy the EMA 20, crossing under a slow (longer term) moving average, in this example the EMA 50, signals the price of an asset has started to trend to the downside, as the most recent data signals price is declining compared to earlier data. The entry acts on this principle and executes when the EMA 20 crosses under the EMA 50.
Enter Short: EMA 20 crosses under EMA 50.
Exit
This script utilises a take profit and stop loss for the exit. The take profit is set at -8% and the stop loss is set at +16% from the entry price. This would normally be a poor trade due to the risk:reward equalling 0.5. However, when looking at the backtesting data, the high profitability of the strategy (93.33%) leads to increased confidence and showcases the high probability of success according to historical data.
The take profit (-8%) and the stop loss (+16%) of the strategy are widely placed to ensure the move is captured without being stopped out due to relief rallies. The stop loss also plays a role of mitigating losses and minimising risk of being stuck in a short position once there has been a fundamental trend reversal and the market has become bullish .
Exit Short: -8% price decrease from entry price.
OR
Exit Short: +16% price increase from entry price.
Tip: Research what coins have consistent and large token unlocks / highly inflationary tokenomics, and target these during bear markets to short as they will most likely have substantial selling pressure that outweighs demand - leading to declining prices.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
The backtesting data was recorded from December 1st 2021, just as the market was beginning its downtrend. We therefore recommend analysing the market conditions prior to utilising this strategy as it operates best on weak coins during downtrends and bearish conditions.
Shortselling
RSI of Ultimate Oscillator [SHORT Selling] StrategyThis is SHORT selling strategy with Ultimate Oscillator. Instead of drectly using the UO oscillator , I have used RSI on UO (as I did in my previous strategies )
Ultimator Oscillator settings are 5, 10 and 15
RSI of UO setting is 5
Short Sell
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I have used moving averages from WilliamAlligator indicator --- settings are 10(Lips), 20(teeth) and 50 (Jaw)
when Lips , Teeth and Jaw are aligned to downtrend (that means Lips < Teeth < Jaw )
Look for RSIofUO dropping below 60 ( setting parameter is Sell Line )
Partial Exit
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When RSIofUO crossing up Oversold line i.e 30
Cover Short / Exit
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When RSIofUO crosisng above overbought line i.e 70
StopLoss
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StopLoss defaulted to 3 % , Though it is mentioned in settings , it has not been not used to calcuate and StopLoss Exit... Reason is, when RSIofUO already crossed 60 line (for SHORTING) , then it would take more efforts go up beynd 60. There is saying price takes stairs to climb up but it takes elevator to go down. I have not purely depend on this to exit stop loss, however noticed the trades in this stratgey did not get out with loss higher than when RSIofUO reaching 70 level.
Note
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Williams Alligator is not drawn from the script. It is manually added to chart for illustration purpose. Please add it when you are using this strategy , whch woould give an idea how the strategy is taking Short Trades.
This is tested on Hourly chart for SPY
Bar color changes to purple when the strategy is in SHORT trade
Warning
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For the eductional purposes only
RSI of VWAP [SHORT selling]This is SHORT selling version of RSIofVWAP strategy. Settings and Logic are totally different from LONG side version , hence I am publishing it as a new strategy.
Settings
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VWAP of RSI Length 15
Slow EMA Length 200
Short entry level 25
Cover short level 70
stop loss 5
SHORT Entry
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condition1 : When RSIofVWAP crossdown below 25 and VWAP is below ema200
condition2: When weekly RSIofVWAP crossdown 70 and VWAP (note : session vwap , not weekly vwap) is below ema200
condition3: Use VIX value , if you want to short when the price is above ema200
vwap RSI crossing down 70 and VIX RSI is cossing up 70
enter short ... This is like falling knife :-)
I need to add the code -- later
if any of above condition is TRUE , SHORT entry will be taken
Take Profit
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When close less than short entry price and RSIofVWAp is crossing up 25 , take profit ...close 1/3 of the position
Exit
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When RSIofVWAP crossing up 70 level
Stop Loss
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Stop Loss is set to 5%
Note:
1. When strategy is in SHORT position , background and bar color changes to gray
2. When strategy is already in short position , possible entries are shown in yellow background
3. RSI Length 15 is working most of the equities on hourly chart. ( RSI length 9 and 14 also works good , but not for all ... You may want to try which setting works for your symbol)
4. weekly VWAP (blue color) is also plotted by default ... you can disable it if you dont want to see it. But there is advantage keeping it on the chart , you can notice whenever weekly VWAP crosses above 70 line , trend is UP ... if you have LONG position you can hold on it ... Hurray :-)
Warning
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For the educational purposes only