CeresTrader

CeresTrader Updated 

YM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . ....

CeresTrader Updated 

Gold: 60 Minute, Fibonacci . . . I have much better bearing as to where and why this market is moving. All Month of March we have been trading an extension at the 38.2% line. We hit it's target on March 20th. Extension rules generally mean we trade the same anchor to new highs to get the retracement. We traded the retracement on March 23-24 and have been going up...

CeresTrader

YM (US30) 4 Hour, Fibs: Traded the first bear fib after the double top and saw it trade past its objective yesterday. The Dow has been one of the weaker indices of late, after outperforming most of the year. It didn't even make it up to the 50% line, selling off at the 38.2% line in the initial down move. Then, yesterday, on the rebound, it traded it's halfway...

CeresTrader

ES (US 500) Fibs, Hourly: ES is our main index that provides helps us determine trend. You will notice that this week had a change of character. The market had taken the stairs up, but is now taking the elevator down, with sharp moves coming in a few hours to the downside. Expect more of this. ES pattern at the top is more head and shoulders like. And, unlike YM,...

CeresTrader Updated 

Crude OIl: Daily, Fibs & Indicators . . . Not as bullish as one would think. The move above the daily BB showed why you don't buy above the BBs . . . eventually, you get a correction. 3 days down for oil. The BB midpoint, yellow line, has been a support level for oil and will be interesting to see what happens down there. But, we are at a big resistance level...

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Silver: Daily Fibs and Indicators: Silver has a bull fib objective that takes it to 28.86, a massive move. It held it's 61.8% line in October 23 and was on it's way until December 23 when it stopped at the high of it's daily range. We traded down early in the year, only to test that high again htis past week. And, we are selling off of it again. We can't trust...

CeresTrader

We basically traded our first bear fib on a longer term timeframe with the move down from highs . . . Our lows on Friday afternoon's session came within a buck of targets, so there could be a substantial retracement, potentially an "ALL THE WAY, HALF WAY BACK from the ALL TIME HIGHS. What this would look like is a Head and Shoulders Top . . . with the right...

CeresTrader

Gold: Daily, Fib & Indicators . . . We hit the high a week ago, corresponding to our objective from the Daily Fib Long in October 23. Now, we are lining up for a daily retracement of that move from October 23 to our highs. We could spend the next2-3 months heading down to the bull fibs, between 1968.76 and 2066.42. The daily chart, even with the Asian breakout to...

CeresTrader Updated 

Oil has held bull fibs since Feb 1. The 3 previous fibs are documented and highlighted on the chart. We have been in a wide-range pattern for the past couple of weeks, threatening to keep and hold yearly highs, only to fall back down. Now, it is facing it's biggest test in the upmove, with two different saves at the 61.8% line over the last week. Given the...

CeresTrader

Silver is at a critical point in it's chart. With gold breaking to new highs, Silver has underperformed but has rallied alongside the yellow metal. Now we are at a critical stage that can see silver breakout of its flag and continue it's bull trend. The indicator that I love to look for longer-duration breakouts is the slow stochastics, specifically, when it...

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Interlocking Hourly Fibs show why we just dropped as much as we did. We traded into a long with a price target of 2206.55 at 2168 during late Afternoon NY and rallied smartly off of it. . . . a 2nd test of our 2168 lows would be a gift to start the week. Hold that level there and 2206.55 becomes our immediate target. Lot of momentum for this to occur. Following...

CeresTrader

Silver may be coming in for a pullback. It traded it's first longer time frame bear fib on Friday afternoon, selling off in the last 4 hours of the session. Silver has been considerably weaker than gold, so should the sell off continue, expect to see sliver trading it's HWB long at the 50-61.8% line. In terms of Elliot Wave, there is a wave count starting at the...

CeresTrader Updated 

Everyone I knew piled into the short CL at 79.00 this afternoon. However, we traded a late afternoon long fib to the 61.8% level and held there as support. Then, here in the Asian session, we have held that level and briefly dipping in. I am recommending buying CL here at 78.40 level with an expectation that we are going to go through 79.00 and make a push for...

CeresTrader Updated 

Platinum has been one of the worst performing metals. However, it presents a compelling opportunity for upside should the Fed ultimately deliver rate cuts. Based on daily fibonacci patterns, it is holding support at the 61.8% percent lines. And, it is holding weekly, daily, and hourly support. Today, Monday, Feb 5th, does present a unique opportunity to get in...

CeresTrader Updated 

I feel like all we ever do is talk about gold in a wedge. But here I am. . . As you can see are are still locked tightly in a wedge. And, we basically closed at the center of this wedge on Friday. Make not mistake, even within this wedge, the trend over the last couple of weeks has been bullish. However, as there are in any pattern, there is risk to the extremes...

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Gold bulls will get their chance to prove whether or not we bull, not above 2,000 but in the 1893-1937 level in futures. Why? Bull markets are made in the holding the retracement. We did break the Daily short, exceeding the 61.8% line of the Daily Short. Usually, when that happens, it's profit taking that will bring the market back. Doesn't mean we can't break...

CeresTrader

Crude oil is trading it highs to low short fib at the 38.2% line. Oil has a history of trading this short fib line in this downtrend. The last time it traded this level, crude dropped from 81.72 level to 77.57, hitting the objective to nearly the penny. Now, we are trading the highs to low 38.2 level. And, once again, we are having issues getting past it. So,...

CeresTrader

Take advantage of the stock sell off in Europe today to join the long trend. The 50% halfway back long traded today during London's late morning. Initiate a long position and/or add to your longs here. SL is the 70% line.