FederalXBT

FederalXBT

As we enter the final stages of the bull cycle. Bitcoin has followed a mix of 2014 / 2017 pre and at halving. 2021 is not aggressive enough to hold the adoption LOG pattern so I will could it out following that path. If we get mutual funds + retirement funds adopting Bitcoin a 2014 scenario is looking interesting. Potentially a double rally? Until we pass...

FederalXBT

Bitcoin news at the bottom's don't change. Bitcoin news at the top's don't change. Bitcoin news at the middle does not change. 2017 people started to make plans for the 2018 bull market. 2020 people started to make plans for the 2021 bull market. 2024 people have started to make plans for the 2025 bull market. So we can learn from human psychology that...

FederalXBT

MSTR meets FASB to be included in SP 500 allocation. DTC collateral rule does not apply to MSTR making it one of the one options to buy Bitcoin. 19.32% shorted. EPS should come out extremely elevated. 24 year MEGA trend on MSTR showing a completely new movement away from its prior values. Japan carry trade is now in chaos meaning rebound US bond...

FederalXBT Updated 

Is Bitcoin going to do what some outlandish people think? Remember the ones who were anti semiconductors and Ai LLM? Skeptics with MSTR are going to go through the same treatment the NVDA shorts had to. MSTR has performed a successful break of the companies entire history showing Michael Saylor has caught onto a new trend. MSTR Volume supports the run,...

FederalXBT

NVDA point of MSTR development. Matching the MSTR pre movement to the NVDA post movement.

FederalXBT

3.125 from 6.25. We did not get the anticipated pre run I thought we would get. Although the start of the bull market from 20k - 64k has been good enough to accept. We are now entering the final stages of the 731 cycle that can push Bitcoin to a price of 500k-2M USD The halving drops at the perfect time where we have little days left to complete the 731...

FederalXBT

Could it be that easy to notice an ascending triangle pattern ? Decent W Pattern too, would be a great run into the Halving!

FederalXBT

Uncanny, absolutely uncanny how every week we get new ETF's launches and more and more capital is flowing leveraged to these funds to beat inflation. 1924 mutual funds were the main red flag fuelling the market rally that ended in the great depression. The amount of QE that will need to be printed to offset this inevitable at this point is beyond 50...

FederalXBT Updated 

ETH/BTC pair has failed to hold line gain strength, this points to a giant loss of ETH in BTC terms and everything on Ethereum. With Solana out to send stable coins cheaply, the SEC declaring ETH a security, ETH will likely never got a Spot ETF thus never catching up to BTC's Spot ETF Inflows. This is where Staked Ethereum takes a loss they never thought possible.

FederalXBT Updated 

Dips and pull backs can be brutal, especially if you're coming from old markets. This time is not different, the sentiment is not different, the peoples psychology and behaviour is not different. We are now at the vertical point for Bitcoin where demand meets supply and price discovery is made, always near the all time high, always followed by people who think...

FederalXBT Updated 

Well here we are, no recession? no rate hikes? what's going on?. The currency collapse is imminent that's what is going on while majority wait for a recession. No reserve currency has ever survived going past 121% Government Debt to GDP (what about USA in ww2?, this was the start of parabolic technology growth + decrease in spending + war debt repressions...

FederalXBT

Start of the bull cycle a new model comes out from "experts" who haven't been here for long. Power Law Model promoting a top of $230,000 is exactly at the point where my research shows retail will capitulate / sell trying to find a top that fuels a rebuy mania. There is no "Power Law" in Bitcoin, the slowed "diminishing returns" is due to the fact BTC has had...

FederalXBT Updated 

A lot of people are critizing MSTR & Michael Saylor for his Bitcoin activity and it needs to be cleared up on how serious this is for MSTR. If Bitcoin continues on its trajectory, MSTR will be in the top 10 companies by market cap in the SP500. 1. Spot ETF's cannot be added to SP500 Index funds. 2. Spot ETF's cannot be levered on the base price. 3. MSTR...

FederalXBT

Jerome Powell lied to say he raised rates due to "Inflation", this was a great cover however he clearly saw the USDJPY crisis coming like I saw from last year. (Inverted Charts) The DXY Rising + the USDJPY rising will unwind the carry trade that will sell off the majority of people holding US bonds via Japan. This will force the FED to initiate YCC...

FederalXBT Updated 

I see the pattern do you? Big Bear + Big Bull Small Bear + Small Bull Big Bear + ( most likely if history does not change big Bull). Its only when you're halfway through the bull market does the sentiment actually shift and people start to become bullish and the leverage starts. My guess as I'm also putting money on this is we should see around 73K...

FederalXBT Updated 

Congratulations on MSTR and Michael Saylor pushing MSTR into the top 500 US companies. This is a major event for Bitcoin as this puts MSTR in S&P 500 indexes meaning global capital will automatically allocate to MSTR that will then use funds to purchase more Bitcoin pushing the MSTR price up. Using corporate debt and smart leverage. MSTR & Spot ETF's will be...

FederalXBT

731 Bitcoin - Full Scale Chart Ability to now see the full chart.

FederalXBT Updated 

I was around and saw it first hand when alt coins first launched Ethereum, Dash, Peercoin, BTS. All with dreams and high hopes built on fraud like an MLM scheme. How does it end? they have their cycle of a bull run outperforming Bitcoin for a short period of time followed by a slow painful decline, there's a reason we don't hear from the "Dash, D Cash" crew...