Confluence of factors to support this view: 1. golden crossed on 4Jan23 2. 200 day MA is now flattening out 3. beginining to break out of a 2 month sideway consolidation (>86.89) It is possible that the stock could dip back briefly into the consolidation range in the near future but we are likely to see a higher low should this happen. Disclaimer: Just my 2...
TOST hit bottom 8.5 months ago on 12 May 2022 and began a 2 stage basing, lasting 3 and 5+ months respectively (pink and blue box shown on chart). During its basing, there were high volume accumulations on numerous occasions. Stage 2 basing occurred over 5.5 months with the stock whip-sawing around its 200 day moving average until the MA is no longer downward...
W had begun to form a saucer base pattern since Sep2022 (4 months basing), eventually cumulating to a break above it's neckline last Friday ( 20 Jan23) on very large volume. The following Monday on 23 Jan23, W announced it will cut 10% of its workforce and the market reacted by gapping the stock straight above it's 200 day moving average on yet another high...
The markt has been more bullish than bearish lately. However it is getting overbought in the near term and a bearish divergence is now seen on the daily chart. Hence some pullback from here will not be too surprising. Bearing in mind divergence usually result in only a short term trend change lasting several candles. I am looking at possible near term SPX...
CDAY had been basing since hitting low on 16 June 2022 (7 months now). It formed a Golden Cross on 17Nov 2022 (2 months+ ago) but continued to trade flip flopped within a sideway range while it's 200 day moving average began to flatten out. With it's 200 day MA having shifted from a downtrend to a flat line, the odds have increased for start of a sustainable up...
SHOP had been building a rounding base for the past 9 months with 2 (failed) attempts to break it's neckline @ 45.30. The stock finally had a Golden Cross a few days ago on 18 Jan, further solidifying that it is bottoming out. Even after golden cross has occurred, some stocks can continue to remain volatile within a range for another 2 or even 3 months. Hence a...
NVDA was gyrating in a wild and wide base in the last 6 months. On 14 Dec it even went above the 200 day moving average but alas it proved to be shortlived as it began to retace 61.8% of the swing (AB) , forming what is now apparent a potential inverse Head & Shoulders pattern. As of now NVDA is trading above it's 200 day moving average again (a postiive) and a...
On Jan 3, I posted that SPX had been trading in a diamond pattern since late May, a potentially bottoming formation in a bearish market. It has been 2 weeks since and this pattern continues to play out. 2 days ago, SPX managed to close above its 200 day moving average and stopped right at the critical longer term trendline resistence again. This is the 3rd...
There are several factors that are aligning in MELI's favour for sustainable recovery in the near future (minor pullbacks not withstanding): 1. Since hitting the low in June2022, it began to whip saw sideways within an ascending triangle pattern. This is a possible reversal pattern when formed after a downtrend. 2. A golden cross on 22 Dec2022: another signal...
ZYME peaked @ 59 in Jan2021 and had been generally on the downtrend since. It began to bottom around Feb 2022 (after a 90% plunge!) and had been consolidating in a sideway range until the 200 day MA began to come down and flatten out. Today it gapped strongly out of this range high of 9.28, a possible breakaway gap that will increase the odds of a valid...
IDXX had a strong move last Friday on high volume that brought it to the top of it's 2 months consolidation range high of 447.80. The following Monday (9 Jan),it formed a little Doji Candle just slightly above this level , perhaps traders were still skeptical if this break was for real. The day after, on 10 Jan, it staged another decisive move higher, increasing...
ETSY has been trading above it's 200 day MA since 10 Nov22 and a Golden Cross since 30 Nov22. The trend is still up despite the steep pullbacks that this stock is prone to. At the moment we are seeing yet another "flag" formation, the next buy will be triggered should it start to break above this flag (124-127 depending on when the breakup occur, if it happens)....
A look at the monthly chart revealed that DIS has establised a strong support between 79 - 84 since 2015. This zone has been tested several times (2015, 2016, 2020) and the last time being just recently in the last week of Dec2022. A bullish divergence is seen on it's monthly chart, increasing the odds of a bounce lasting a couple of (monthly) candles. (bullish...
The chat is self explanatory. Double Bottom, and then a golden cross. Finally a high volume candle on 4 Jan23 that propelled it quickly from 66.31to 71.94 (8.5%) in 3 days. Initial stops can be placed just under the high volume candle (ie < 66.70). However with numerous near term resistences looming, expected to face some pullbacks / consolidation along the...
Home builders had a steep fall in the 1st half of 2022 and had been building a base in the 2nd half. They have now emerged from the base and appear to be on the slow path to recovery. TOL has seen at least 3 gap ups since it's last golden cross on 8 Nov22. A sign that moemntum has been building since this golden cross. There was an attempt to break above it's...
AMZN came into a potentially strong support zone 79 - 84 comprising of a horizontal support area as well as the 88.6% fibonacci retracement of the major covid upswing AB. Some bullish divergence is now seen on it's weekly chart hence there is a good chance that this support of 79 will hold in the near term. However, any bounce from here must still be viewed as...
AAPL had been the most resilient among the FAANG stocks despite being in a volatile and toppish pattern for months. However it started to break below major neckline support @ 134 on 19th Dec and then an attempt to break the horizontal support @ 128. It managed to close the month with a weekly bullish pin bar above 128 and a potential bullish divergance is also...
Golden crossed on 8 Dec22. However a stock could still be volatile for an average of 2-6 weeks after a Golden Cross has occurred before it began to trend more consistently. About 4 weeks post golden cross now, will this stock be ready to break above 117 soon? Warning: Earnings is expected on 1st February, there is always risks to trade or hold positions...