Tradersweekly

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin broke below the critical support level at $59,313 and established a new low below $57,000. In doing so, Bitcoin fell through the lower bound of the downward-sloping channel, further bolstering a bearish case in the short term. In our opinion, it is possible we are witnessing the bursting of a bubble. However, more developments are needed to confirm this...

Tradersweekly

Amazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Gold retreated over $100 from its all-time highs established earlier this month. Interestingly, this move down follows a pullback of similar magnitude in the U.S. stock market, which we have repeatedly referred to as a threat to gold’s spectacular performance; one minor detail to point out here is that this time around, gold seems to be falling in reaction to what...

Tradersweekly Updated 

The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...

Tradersweekly

While volatility pulled back following a spike earlier this month, this week will put it back to the test with the FOMC meeting (on Tuesday and Wednesday) and economic releases throughout the week, including S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs job openings, S&P Global Composite PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, nonfarm...

Tradersweekly

It has been about a week since Bitcoin’s fourth halving. Yet, despite investors’ bullish expectations of what would have come, Bitcoin has not really gone anywhere. Instead, it continues to trade choppily within the recently formed downward-sloping channel, and its technicals on the daily graph, including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, show bearish signs; this also...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday’s financial print in the United States revealed a notable decrease in the GDP growth rate on a quarterly basis, coming down from 3.4% in 4Q23 to only 1.6% in 1Q24. This figure was well below market expectations of 2.5%, which spooked investors and led to a sudden drop across U.S. stock market indices. Nevertheless, by the market close, the SPX recovered...

Tradersweekly

After the closing bell on Tuesday, Tesla reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2024. Despite the report showing a 9% YoY decline in total revenue and a staggering 55% YoY drop in net income, along with an increase in operating costs by 37% YoY, shares of the company soared more than 12% in the aftermarket. The price action, however, was not the same for...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Israel retaliated against Iran overnight, which saw the price of WTI crude oil jump nearly 4.5% before giving up some of its gains. Per media reports, three large explosions were heard in the country's south, and the U.S. official announced Israel successfully hit some of the targets, something Iran was quick to deny. Without regard for damages, it is already...

Tradersweekly Updated 

The S&P 500 Index has been edging lower for nearly a month, accompanied by a rise in volatility. From its all-time highs in late March 2024, the SPX has declined about 5.6%, which begs the question of a rebound. Interestingly, this week, several big names, including Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Tesla, are reporting their earnings for the first quarter...

Tradersweekly

While Bitcoin rose to new all-time highs this year, many altcoins seem to lag behind it, showing a somewhat similar dynamic to that observed between large-cap and small-cap stocks (where large and well-established companies managed to recover in the past year or so while their smaller counterparts have been struggling). In addition to that, it is often overlooked...

Tradersweekly Updated 

After failing to gain bullish momentum earlier this month (with a breakout to the upside from a triangle-like pattern), Bitcoin continues to trade erratically. Currently, it hovers around the $63,500 price tag, which appears close to the ascending trendline that connects peaks from December 2023 to mid-January 2024. If this trendline is broken to the downside, it...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Since the eruption of the war between Hamas and Israel in early October 2023, we have been occasionally reporting on some of the developments in the oil-rich region. In one of the more recent articles, we outlined how Israel’s deadly airstrike against Iranian generals in Damascus, Syria, was likely to provoke retaliation from Iran and its proxies. On Saturday,...

Tradersweekly

Gold saw a pullback of nearly $100 from a high of $2,431, followed by a slight rebound, dragging the price to $2,370 per troy ounce. This increasing volatility begs the question of the market’s state. To address this, we would like to note that the rising volume has been accompanying the increasing price, which is positive (and, indeed, quite impressive,...

Tradersweekly

The SPX retreated nearly 3% from its all-time highs following last week’s print showing a higher-than-anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2024. This marks a second consecutive month of accelerating CPI in the United States, which presents an obstacle for the FED in its more than two-year-long battle against inflation. Plus, it makes it increasingly...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Shortly after the futures market opened, gold reached our long-time-awaited price target of $2,300 and established a new all-time high at $2,305 before retreating slightly lower. We continue to be bullish on gold in the long term and believe it can reach significantly higher price tags ($2,500 and higher) due to future rate cuts, sticky inflation, and a weak U.S....

Tradersweekly

Last year in September, we analyzed Porsche's stock following its 2022 initial public offering. At the time, we noted Porsche's shares had great prospects in the long term and viewed a potential pullback in price as a great opportunity to buy this stock at relatively reasonable prices (judging by Porsche’s performance during its short life span on the exchange)....

Tradersweekly Updated 

The VIX’s structure with higher peaks and troughs became distorted after the FOMC meeting. Despite this being a positive development for the markets, it might be proper to stay attentive to the VIX for a couple more days to watch out for any potential rekindling of volatility. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of VIX. The yellow arrow...