MitchellKWarren

MitchellKWarren

The strong U.S. dollar since late summer, on the back of a possible Fed Funds rate hike later this year and on an improving economy, has meant weakness in many other currencies across the world. This combined with a bear market in many commodities has directly resulted in a sluggish Aussie dollar. USDAUD has been trading in a well-defined uptrending channel since...

MitchellKWarren

Back in December, PNC shares tried on several occasions to make a move above the $93 level, but inevitably ended correcting to $82. Now PNC has once again made another rally, now trading just below the key resistance level. This is not the time to be buying the stock, but is the time to be waiting for a close above $93 to make a bullish trade. If it does happen...

MitchellKWarren

The stabilization in energy prices lately has meant relief in some oil & gas stocks. Halliburton shares have been one of them, putting in a series of higher lows since mid-January. The pullback in the previous two weeks sets up for a low risk buying opportunity (stop loss under $41.90). HAL is now poised to fill the gap from November ($46.70-$47.50 range) in the...

MitchellKWarren

This morning a trader sold 620 $KLIC Apr $13 calls for $3.40 (paid $1.65 on January 5th) and bought the Apr $15 calls for $1.60 each. On average just 155 calls trade per day. Shares of the $1.3B semiconductor equipment are nearing a breakout above the $16.50 level, following the $FSL/$NXPI merger news. The stock isn't expensive either at a P/E ratio of 15.98x...

MitchellKWarren

The iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF has sustained its longest move above the 50-day EMA since September (prior to breakdown). If EWW is able to close above the 2015 resistance level at $60.50, look for a continuation to the $63-$65 area in the next 1-3 months. An initial stop loss on a stock position can be placed under $58. Option traders can consider buying the...

MitchellKWarren

Air Products and Chemicals shares have been trading in a nice uptrending channel for nearly two years. However, for those looking to buy APD it is not an ideal time right now. The stock is now near the top of the channel (RSI near highs as well) and could be setting up for a pullback to mid to high $140's in the coming weeks (major support at the 40-week SMA). On...

MitchellKWarren

The daily chart shows that KOS shares have been trading in an uptrending channel since the end of last year. Even though Kosmos Energy has had a nice move off of the lows, the stock had still fallen more than 21% from last summer's high on the current bear market in oil. An initial stop loss on a long stock position can be placed under $8.40 (under Tuesday's low)....

MitchellKWarren

Today, 10,000+ WFC Mar 20 $56 calls traded with the vast majority being bought for $0.35-$0.45 each, against no previous open interest. For every put that traded in the session, 2.5 calls traded (18,568 total). Talk of a Fed Funds rate hike later this year is bullish for financial companies like Wells Fargo and the stock remains relatively inexpensive. WFC...

MitchellKWarren

Roughly 3,800 PX Apr $135 calls were purchased late in the day on Friday for $0.69-$0.80 each (18x the average daily call volume). Shares have bounced off of support at the $120 level and are now setting up for a return to $133-$135 in the intermediate-term. Consider buying the Apr $130 calls or $130/$135 bull call spreads with the plan to take at least partial...

MitchellKWarren

The FXB (British Pound ETF) is on pace to snap a 7-month correction, following a test of long-term support at the 147.50 level. If this rally lasts through the end of the month consider buying the ETF with an initial stop loss at 146.95 (just below the January low). Major resistance remains in the 165-170 level, but there is likely to be selling pressure in the...

MitchellKWarren

The weak yen helped Japan January exports soar 17% vs the +11.9% estimate, up for the 5th consecutive month. Nissan Motor and Honda Motor are looking to join the action and boost export sales soon. The Japan equity ETF had been range bound between $10.60 and $12.20 until this week's upside breakout. Look for the $EWJ to complete a measured move to $13.80 later...