see chart
TNX has been in a channel for a long time, forming a base of a triple bottom or an inverted head and shoulders. Once the right shoulder or third touch is made, we go up from there. If we don't the bond market (inverted) will go pop, and eventually burst. This is a fantastic indicator that most don't factor in. Dollar strength... if it continues to go higher,...
Stocks are inverse to bonds. Take the measily little rate your being offered for safety? TLT needs to touch the top trend line once again before reversing. Worst scenario, it breaks through the top trend line, and we have a market crash with a sound you can hear on Mars. That actually could happen because we are in currency fantasy land. Paying someone to hold...
see chart for brief notes, dollar simply cannot grow any stronger, eventually backfires on those devaluing theirs. Currencies have to be in balance, or their is no system, the system fails from within.
IWM consolidation triangle, as are all others, and triangle break out between 60 and 70% of their duration, this one being about 170 days. All indicators confirm, and Bollinger is at top of channel now. So do we break lout up, or back down for 3rd touch on bottom TL? This would be the 3rd touch to the top TL. Earnings season effects are essentially over, what...
Lots of lines, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain. I am not the wizard of oz, just a carnival master of ceremonies. Just my thoughts, possibilities, events to effect, and of course there is the political unknown event that would mess this up big time. But the markets have been ignoring those mostly, unless there actually is one that matters, like...
2000 tech bubble all over again, but this time with a bit different flavor, data breach, mining, legal, entirely inflated FB values, and others, based on the "public trust", now doesn't trust them anymore, sounds like a black swan event to me, not to mention all the baby black ducklings waddling around.
Tech suffering generally now, weak all over, Apple has farthest to fall, the bigger they are... First FB, tech ill effects on society, politics, etc coming to play, we don't test tech before we disperse it. We test a medicine for ten years, products trials, etc, and all tech just gets used, without any regulation or testing on what it does to us. That is...
Like last time, markets did not like the rise in 10 year, but this time we have reached a bigger level, black line, to cross. It has a lid on it, and someone is standing on it, afraid top let up on the pressure, but if the lid comes off, long tnx, short equities of all shapes and kinds.
Noticing something, apple costs in China will skyrocket if this pair dips much lower, and that is the Trump design, get that dollar lower against other currencies, so it makes more sense to manufacture at home in the usa. China is the big one, and this pair is key, and all those who profited from Chinese lower manufacturing costs, will now have to take the hit. ...
Not sure if 3-23-18 is the actual date, buy that is the word on the street.
Fib scales and wave patterns are an extension of the human brain and body, and emotions. They exist in the universe and in nature. But, digital is neither and exists in its own reality, without time and the influence of it in logic. Robots don't "think", they process results based on pure data and logic. So if humanity trusts algos, robots, to trade their...
Not predictions, just what is possible. Apple and SOX leads the way. Iphone X production issues expand, their suppliers and inline producers signalling issues are way deeper than advertised, buy the "sell" - "demand is overwhelming", sell the facts, production itself and cost issues are "overwhelming". Of course, bottom trend zone could hold, if the tax cut is...
This divergence is crazy, japan equities NOT sustainable. Exhaustion buying, blow off top, call it what you want, it is simply unsustainable.
I can hear the laughter. However, here are numbers, waves, and a narrative to support this. See chart. Previous fib shows, three peaks and then a reset to .618, significant level. This three peak chart shows a .50 to the lower trend channel, a significant level. I created this chart a small time ago, and cue the laughter more, I had a dream, about two weeks...
See chart, sept/october volatility. Congress, no guts, not an ounce of integrity, get reelected at all cost, including coming up with a debt ceiling resolution, just raise it, spend it, and make it sound good, yet again. Sure we owe more than we can ever repay, but only a few with the courage to face it now, maybe before its too late. Naw, "gutless". Final...
September volatility, again. Key pivots and levels Res and Sup active and meaningful. The big black thick bottom long term trend line is the action point to watch. Breaching that and closing below could be huge for bears. If not good for bulls. For me, Grrrrrrrr.