EUR/USD Echoing Bullish Picture Ahead of US CPI Data
Europe’s shared currency eked out a marginal gain of +0.1% versus its US counterpart last week, marking a fourth straight week in positive territory for the major currency pair. This will be a watched market ahead of Wednesday’s US CPI print, with technicals suggesting a move higher in EUR/USD from short-term support.
Long-Term Picture
There is little change evident on the monthly scale; buyers and sellers continue to square off just north of support coming in at $1.0516. Overhead, the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) calls for attention at $1.1122, closely shadowed by a layer of resistance at $1.1233. Aside from the aforementioned structure, trend direction continues to lean in favour of bears, emphasising relatively clear lower lows and lower highs since 2008.
While a bearish vibe is realised on the longer-term chart, things are more optimistic on the daily timeframe. After recovering from a support area between $1.0726 and $1.0739, buyers appear to be at the wheel for now (early uptrend visible through higher highs/lows off the bottom formed at $1.0601). While Quasimodo resistance at $1.0802 (black arrow) could ‘throw a spanner in the works’ for further upside this week, any meaningful push higher may take aim as far north as daily resistance between $1.0883 and $1.0864.
Short-Term Picture
As far as the shorter-term picture goes, H1 resistance appears limited/weakened between the current price and the $1.08 big figure, which happens to coincide closely with daily resistance highlighted above at $1.0802.
US hours on Friday witnessed moderate selling, consequently directing the technical headlights towards H1 support at $1.0754. As a result, considering the room for daily price to run for at least $1.0802 resistance, H1 support from $1.0754 could be a location buyers make a show from this week, targeting at least $1.08.
Long-Term Picture
There is little change evident on the monthly scale; buyers and sellers continue to square off just north of support coming in at $1.0516. Overhead, the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) calls for attention at $1.1122, closely shadowed by a layer of resistance at $1.1233. Aside from the aforementioned structure, trend direction continues to lean in favour of bears, emphasising relatively clear lower lows and lower highs since 2008.
While a bearish vibe is realised on the longer-term chart, things are more optimistic on the daily timeframe. After recovering from a support area between $1.0726 and $1.0739, buyers appear to be at the wheel for now (early uptrend visible through higher highs/lows off the bottom formed at $1.0601). While Quasimodo resistance at $1.0802 (black arrow) could ‘throw a spanner in the works’ for further upside this week, any meaningful push higher may take aim as far north as daily resistance between $1.0883 and $1.0864.
Short-Term Picture
As far as the shorter-term picture goes, H1 resistance appears limited/weakened between the current price and the $1.08 big figure, which happens to coincide closely with daily resistance highlighted above at $1.0802.
US hours on Friday witnessed moderate selling, consequently directing the technical headlights towards H1 support at $1.0754. As a result, considering the room for daily price to run for at least $1.0802 resistance, H1 support from $1.0754 could be a location buyers make a show from this week, targeting at least $1.08.