MAgicTrx

TLT - extreme low, time to go?

Long
BATS:TLT   Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT has this progression of containment MAs and ratios:

450 period - 700 days 1.5 ratio
246 - 450 1.8
30 - 70 2.3
17 - 40 2.3

I have the sense that a violent and/or significant reversal is imminent. Will it be the Israel conflict that incites it? A particularly weak NFP this Friday? A combination of the two or something else completely?
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