TradeWithTheTrend3344

Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term, Potential Reversal

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Hello,

Currently, the price of gold has hit its lowest point in the day, week, and month. Over the past 3 months, it reached a low of $1893.065. The question arises: should one buy or sell gold in this situation? Looking at the 1-week chart, it appears that gold is exhibiting a bearish trend in the short term, while the medium and long-term trends lean towards a bullish outlook.

A closer analysis of the 1-week trend reveals a neutral stance. Both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) show consistent patterns: the 5-20 period indicates a bearish trend, whereas the 50-200 period suggests a bullish one. In essence, the short-term trend is bearish, the medium-term trend is bullish but possibly weakening, and the long-term trend remains robustly bullish.

Considering whether gold is currently overbought or oversold on the 1-week chart, we can examine various indicators:

- Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 47.12, indicating a neutral condition.
- Stochastic Oscillator reveals %K at 24.86 and %D at 30.55, which is neutral but tending towards an oversold position.
- Williams %R is at -86.28, indicating an oversold state.
- Bollinger Bands signal a strong leaning towards oversold territory, although they still maintain a neutral aspect.
- Keltner Channel is in a neutral position and is positioned just below the middle channel.

Additionally, the hourly volatility has decreased to 0.16%.

At this juncture, there is a notable likelihood of a reversal, yet prioritizing safety is crucial. While there's no definitive indication that $1916 will be the lowest point, the possibility is high, although not guaranteed. It's advisable to exercise caution, allow the situation to unfold over a brief period, and then make an informed decision. Stay cautious and let the market dynamics play out before making any significant moves.

TradeWithTheTrend3344


Comment:
Currently, we've got the daily pivot point at 1920, the weekly one at 1947, and the monthly at 1952. These levels are like magnets for price movements. So, watch out - these points could have a significant impact on where the price goes next.
Comment:
We have a very strong Support @ 1912.774 according to the 4h chart! Wait for confirmation.
Comment:
Be careful dont rely on the support @ 1912.774. There is a chance that it will fall to 1900. Trade with care!
Comment:
Have a great weekend everyone!
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