Binary_Forecasting_Service

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - This is closure for binary forecasting for the people who follow it. Consider this draft as clarification for these two months as it relates to the standing long term forecast in Rumors of a Pivot, Part 3: Details - These are two most likely routes to June FOMC. In theory, whatever ultimately happens should be simple variations of these two...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - Bulls are setting up for a double bottom with a "V" reversal. This means the median will hold. This means 2500-ish on or before 05/23. This does not mean a straight line there though, because medium term 2-way vol is set to stay high all the way to June. Details - See previous drafts for how we got here. Warning - If you are new to this...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - So since the move to 2311-2314, I have to "play it by ear" because price is moving faster than my ability to map "an intermediate thesis" that is in sync with price action from here to August. In order to stay relevant and ahead of price action, let's talk less and do better. Details - Continuing from DRAFT 9-3, price chose yellow route to 2291...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - As anticipated overnight, bulls didn't put enough fight in at 2365 and ferocious bears took out the 43-year trend line. While it's not even obvious they are finished yet - because Binary Forecasting Service's trend engine still see 2323-27 as possible Monday targets before rebounding - I have strong conviction that gold is getting ready to nowhere...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - Bulls are holding 43-year trend line at 2360s while NASDAQ bears formed a soft ceiling at 2400 that should hold past through May 1st FOMC. The result has gold range bound, predominantly between 2367-2392 for the incoming nine trading days, after which gold should head for 2444 and higher. Details - Follow up to 9-1 DRAFT's failure to break out...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - London, of all places, vigorously defended 2373 and destroyed scheming bears' setup for 2285 this morning. Is this a sign that miracles do happen? No, it simply means 2444 is next. This also means a slow side-ways-to-up to 25xx in mid-May before MAJOR CORRECTION ahead of 6/12 FOMC. As always, we trade one day at a time and will cross that bridge...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - Didn't your mother ever tell you not to play with your food? Bulls with upper hand near 2400s once again trapped by hubris. Believing themselves invincible post Powell speech allowing bears to hang around with the door to 2275 still wide open. Will they regret this indecisive decision? Only time and Binary Forecasting Service's trend engine will...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - This is the follow up to 8-1 and today's strong finish above 2380. Details - If I wanted to do macro, I wouldn't try this hard. I've been long since 1610, and I have the receipts. I still have 4800 in the title, I am not bearish gold overall. But daily price action is an entirely different animal. At 4:41 PM ET and 2381.34, gold has NOT...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Intro - Don't have any time this morning, so to sum it dungo jinxed London sessio now we have to do 2460 the hard way. Details - Ditto. Obviously 2460 right? Is that still obvious? Will add if time.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Intro - This should be the next step on our way to 4800. 5500 is now unlikely considering what Friday's top means going forward. Details - Will break it down as we go. But be aware, I am not going to as helpful as I usually am.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - This is continuation of a series that intends to deliver you 5500 in November 2025. I did say I would not make another public post because of what I felt was bad policy. That should not, however, punish the entire field of TradingView users from the benefits of the incoming rally to 2450, 2500, and ultimately 2675+ before 05/01 FOMC. From Here On...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - This is my last public post on TradingView. I am tired of being accused of manipulating the algorithms for views. Maybe I needed attention in the past, but I am not in that game anymore. So from here on out all posts will be private, full stop. So only people that know about it and want them can get to them. Therefore, I cannot be accused of...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - Earlier today in 7-6, gold did not take the first route to 2465. This means several things that I will detail later. First of all though, it means there will be a false quad top at 2460. The fifth top should arrive by end of this week with prices aiming for 2500s. Details - Sunday open's 27-pt rug pull is ultimately the factor that altered short...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - After proof checking DRAFT 7-5 for all weak spots, this updated and detailed draft is the base case guide going into today's open in six and a half hours. Details - All background information, data, concepts, suggestions, and etc... can be found in previous DRAFT 7-5. This post is for continuous updates/notes/commentary on live price action from...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - With both pride and humility but pure anticipation, I present you my life's work summarized in one day's price action. DRAFT 7-5 is the latest of a series that attempts to accurately map gold's heroic route to 5500 (due November 2025) with respect to both price and time. Since nailing the 1810 low in October 2023, this proprietary "fractal...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction -I've been looking for this move 4 weeks now. I think it's now, RIGHT NOW! Details - My daily notes bat pretty well but I've been very frustrated not hitting one "giant but quick super rally" for last four weeks. These things have a "very specific look" that I call "reverse one step water fall". Will explain later. So when they show up in major...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - This is a followup to DRAFT 7-2, which was shredded by bears of the UK this morning at 3 AM. Combined layered trends on all time frames say gold is about to correct this problem by going to 2400 before London re-opens in order to avoid shenanigans on the way up. Naturally, we expect one round of selling in Asian session at the 44-year trend line...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

Introduction - Ceremoniously, with conviction in due diligence and much more anticipation, Binary Forecasting Service, presents 2300, 2350, and 2400 in succession before this week is out. Continuing from DRAFT 7-2 and price action in the last hour, bulls responded to bears's apparent "overselling to 2253" with a spike to 2277. In which ferocious bears jumped on...