Finchcliffe

Finchcliffe Updated 

Looking at this pair it's been trading in a descending dynamic channel since mid-July, it makes up nearly 58% of the DXY index and so is in close negative correlation to this index. We can see the on the daily a pinbar followed by a long-wick doji, which could mean reversal, the opposite can be seen in DXY: We can now see a breakout of the channel, and the...

Finchcliffe Updated 

As we know the relative strength of DXY determines the direction of many pairs, and all of the USD crosses so I always keep an eye on it, even though I never trade it. This bullish move from mid-July has been unstoppable, but is now giving clear signs of exhaustion and potentially a retracement. Looking at the daily we've just closed with a pinbar, the first of...

Finchcliffe Updated 

We saw another rejection from a long standing descending dynamic trendline on Friday, I'm expecting a fall from here back down to support around 1.4275. Will be closely watching action around the 1.435 mark, but overall we're printing HH's and HL's on the higher timeframes (although still within a range), let's see what happens but I think we're definitely headed...

Finchcliffe

We can see another rejection from the 1.0915 level, making this a local triple top, I think we will break this and move higher in the coming weeks, however expecting a short term retracement first, to around the 0.5% Fib.

Finchcliffe

There's talk of the BoJ lifting the limit on yields to 1.5% from 1% this week, which would be a very strong catalyst for the Yen to start showing some strength. We can see that this pair does not have any direction at the moment, trading in a flag pattern, but I don't see this as either bullish or bearish at the moment. I'm not sure how or when or if to trade...

Finchcliffe Updated 

We've broken out of a long-standing sideways channel to the lower side, now bouncing off support to retest the broken channel. I'm expecting a big dump in this paid once the retest is complete, UK economy vs Swiss economy, interest yields etc, no comparison. The Swiss has been a stand-out performer against most crosses this year, GBP has been clinging on but I...

Finchcliffe Updated 

We're coming to the end of the long-term descending triangle. I'm generally expecting some big shifts across the markets by the end of November, in terms of reversals and this is one pair hot on my radar. I don't thin we'll break out for a few weeks, but I've got daily tabs on this, as coming to the end of the descending triangle with really solid support. Cad...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Looking at this pair I'm expecting another bounce from support, I'm cautious as not overly confident in New Zealand Dollar out-performance in the coming weeks, but I'm still seeing the Yen struggling against many crosses. I think we'll be into a sideways movement for the next few sessions and so for this week I'm looking for a signal on the LTF to go long.

Finchcliffe Updated 

Thinking we're starting to see JPY strength, this is because it can't stay so weak for so long imho. Weak currency suits Japan as an exporter, to a point, but massively affects it's buying power, I do feel like we're approaching the end of this cycle of Yen weakness, by the end of this year. I think this pair broke the rising trendline but has struggled to get...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Looking at this pair and comparing it to the DXY index I think there's more likely to be a bounce from here, than a further bearish extension. DXY is failing to break a descending dynamic trendline, it's currently retesting again and showing signs of rejection. Fundamentals were good for DXY today but the price didn't react as I would have expected, which...

Finchcliffe Updated 

We saw GBPUSD spike today following the favourable employment news and then reject the descending trendline (confirmed with doji and then rejection). Fundamentally there has been negative PMI data (manufacturing was green but still below 50) to support my view, so I think the bigger downtrend will continue. I also don't believe the USD is done yet, it will remain...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Looking for a further decline is this cross over the week. We have seen continued NZD weakness over the past few days, with no fundamentals of note for this currency in the week. Even though I'm noticing USD slow-down, and a likely retracement due to the over-extended current uptrend, I still think this pair will fall as the USD will remain stronger than the...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Been watching this pair closely and made some good pips in the past week, however I got spooked last night and closed my sells (albeit 50 pips too early), but my calculation seemed to be broadly right. To me it's looking like a fake out below my support line and back through this resistance which is being retested but I think we're going back up. USD not flying...

Finchcliffe

We can see this pair is pure ranging. Even with the recent increase in the price of crude this pair remains currently bearish, and keeping to the range, I expect this to continue and switch to bullish from support. This is supported by RSI that is now oversold.

Finchcliffe Updated 

The data coming out of the US continues to support an additional hike this year, with all FED speakers continuing their hawkish stance to return inflation to the 2% target, so getting more likely there'll be a hike in November IMO. Seeing stagflation in the EUROZONE, also real bond yields are positive in the US which makes the USD mo5re attractive, this all makes...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Expecting another hike from the FED in November, supported by hawkish comments across the board to focus on reducing inflation to 2%, this is supported by positive data. Real yields (bond yield - inflation) are positive for the dollar, they're negative for GBP and EUR. We may still see another hike from BoE but the economy is in a mess. Need to watch for US...

Finchcliffe

We've had a breakout of both support and descending dynamic trendline with no retest, which I'm expecting. I can't see us retesting the dynamic trendline so considering shorts on the LTF's when we return to the resistance (formerly support) line. Expecting Aussie strength and Pound weakness, we may go higher with the interest rate decision from the BoE this week...

Finchcliffe

We can see that USDCHF has followed a descending dynamic trendline and has now formed a triangle pattern. Most other Swiss crosses are near or at ATL's or ATH's except this one. We can see multiple rejections on the 4HR from my support line and we're nearing the squeeze point of the triangle, so if we break the descending line I'll be looking for a long...