TSuth

TSuth

Price has extended down a little further than anticipated in what I am calling wave iii. You may notice on the chart I have some turquoise labels. These are to show the ALT ways this could be counted. The difference is mostly academic as they both end at the same point. If this is the ideal count, then we should get a retrace higher tomorrow to the high $140's -...

TSuth

Coinbase made some good progress today towards the target box. It appears to me we are in wave iii of C of (A). More specifically I think we're in wave 4 of iii and should have a little retrace before dropping again to the 1.382-1.618 ($218.14-$213.18) for 5 of iii before raising again for wave iv of C. MACD should start to raise towards the zero line if this is...

TSuth

The chart pretty much speaks for itself. It looks like we are sub-dividing yet again. This drop from 05 April @ $253.96 is either another sub-division or it is the wave 1-2 of C forming with wave 3 of C of (C) coming soon to complete the larger A wave. The multiple boxes show the normal ending for the different sub-divisions with the red bordered box showing where...

TSuth

Tesla started to fall last trading session but hasn't yet broken any key levels to the downside. For this reason, it could still possibly raise to the upper target box labeled c?. Rather it raises there or not, it is just a functionality of price movements, and I still expect it to drop to the lower box with a red border. There are two key levels I am watching to...

TSuth

I added some fibs onto the chart now that we have some more price action to the downside. Notice how we came $0.06 cents from the 1.618 extension and then retraced? This is a sign that the first mini-A wave is most likely complete, and we should raise higher towards the box for the mini-B wave. We don't have to raise all the way into the box but that would be...

TSuth

Still behaving as predicted. Notice price hit the 0.236 retracement fib to the cent today? This just reinforces the accuracy of the retracement tool and helps verify the count. I am counting that as our mini B wave which indicates we're now in the C wave of b. It appears we've carved out the first wave of that C wave thus far. I expect us to continue higher...

TSuth

Today Rivian fell $0.19 cents below the 0.786 retracement fib and ended $0.01 cent above the 1.382 extension. Thankfully the 1.382 held up at least for now, and the price action we're seeing off of that bottom looks promising. We bottomed on positive divergence, had a strong raise higher thus far (almost 5%), and structure is looking good for that move higher....

TSuth Updated 

As I said in my last post, we're past standard fibs and have extended to the downside in the micros. As for the larger pattern, the standard end for an ABC is between the 1.0-1.382 with possible extensions down to the 1.618 fib. At this time, I want to make things as simple as possible and concentrate on only the current pattern in front of us, so I have removed...

TSuth

Today was not a good day for Rivian to say the least. Maybe, looking back with hindsight, I should've seen this coming. We never hit the 1.0 extension @ $13.07 and that is normally a must have for me. Given all the other signals Rivian was given I chose to chalk this up as one of the rare times the 1.0 wouldn't get hit. We had and still do have major positive...

TSuth Updated 

Extensions are great and all for profits, but they can become difficult to count. Once they extend beyond normal fib lines it becomes structure only to guide your count. This can lead to misinterpretations, mislabeling, and at times confusing price action. The count you see in this chart is the best interpretation I can make of this chart at this time. There are...

TSuth Updated 

Today I was stopped out @ $194 for about a $200 loss. That is the exact reason I don't shoot for the moon with every trade regardless of how much confidence I have. Price doesn't always do what I think it will. The fact that I was stopped out shows it is doing something other than what I had been predicting and when I'm unsure I get flat or close to it. All that...

TSuth Updated 

If y'all remember, I had a turquoise micro abc pattern headed up to the box. This was suggesting the move up for C of (A) would be a 3-wave move. The reason for this is because c-waves can consist of either 3 or 5 wave moves. This is the exact pathway I believe price is taking. Due to this, I accumulated another 100 shares today in preparation for the upcoming...

TSuth

There really isn't much new to add yet for a big analysis. We moved down in a 5-wave move described in my last post and proceeded to move higher again as predicted. We did NOT make a new high, although we raised slightly more than expected and then dropped once again. I expect price to make another low and drop to the low $490's before a small retrace higher...

TSuth Updated 

Today was a good day for Rivian as it rose over 5%. If this count is to be the correct one than I anticipate an even stronger move higher either tomorrow or Monday of next week. The reason for this, is I expect MACD to make a new high above the high it made on 09 Feb. in order for the larger count to remain intact. Today on the micro chart MACD made its highest...

TSuth Updated 

As the title suggests, price should move higher next. MACD and structure both point to price moving higher for wave v of 3 next. Notice how MACD made a new high @ close on Thursday of last week? This was during the mini-wave 3 of iii which is exactly where I would expect to see it. The next move I would like to see price take us, is to the box marked on the chart...

TSuth Updated 

Sometimes we spend so much time criticizing the micro moves of tickers, we forget about the larger picture. We agonize over movements that are largely irrelevant like this most recent movement Coinbase has been making for the possible end of wave iii or beginning of iv. Regardless of which one it is, I expect price to tag $220-$240 before this larger wave ((3)) is...

TSuth

There really isn't much to add about META. We're just waiting on the final machinations of this wave v of 3 to finish. We made a high on neg div, but it wouldn't be out of the ordinary to push up to the 1.382 extension @ $510.54. Once we do finish this move higher, we will start our retrace for wave 4 and if it is to keep with the theory of alternation it will be...

TSuth

We're still waiting for wave ii to really kick off. Notice we haven't made a new high though? MACD seems reset too and ready for another drop soon. This would mirror AAPL in regard to a move lower in price. AMD is also on neg div on the micros and 1HR chart which supports the count. So far structure carved out what appears to be the a-b waves, and it points to...