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Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week
With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022.
The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB...
USD/CNH: BofA’s Caution, JPM’s Warnings
Bank of America (BofA) has expressed caution about betting against the US dollar in the face of recent improvements in sentiment towards China's economic policy stimulus. Recent policy actions by China have sparked optimism, leading to a weakening of the USD. However, BofA advises against making hasty financial moves based...
Can Oil soar on June 2 OPEC+ cut hopes?
WTI crude futures and Brent continue to recover from three-month lows. The rebound is potentially driven by expectations that OPEC+ will extend its output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day into the second half of the year during its June 2 meeting.
Additional support for crude prices came from the start of the U.S....
We have another eventful week ahead with numerous Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak publicly. Anecdotally, I seem to recall Mester and Kashkari are two of the most impactful speakers, and this week provides an excellent opportunity to see if this holds true. Kashkari recently left The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), so his impact might be lessened...
On Friday, alongside the US PCE data release, Canada will publish its Q1 GDP growth figures. Earlier in the week, Canada will also release its producer prices data. Note that US markets will be closed on Monday for Memorial Day.
According to the Royal Bank of Canada, the Canadian economy likely grew more quickly in Q1 2024 based on headline figures. However,...
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, US Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) Price Index MoM, is released at the end of the coming week. This means some USD trades could present themselves.
But first, a quick recap on why the Core PCE Price Index matters and why it is the Fed’s preferred gauge:
Unlike the more familiar Consumer Price Index...