Draftkings Earnings Preview and Analysis

DraftKings ( DKNG ), a daily fantasy sports contest and sports betting company, reported a 53% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2024. The company's performance was attributed to healthy revenue growth and a scaled fixed cost structure, which allowed for the rapid improvement of Adjusted EBITDA. The company successfully launched its online sportsbook in Vermont and North Carolina with efficient customer acquisition, and its platform and overall customer experience are improving, leading to excellent customer retention and participation across sports and games.

DraftKings increased its fiscal year 2024 revenue guidance to $4.9 billion from $4.775 billion and the midpoint of its Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $500 million from $460. The company's structural sportsbook hold percentage also exceeded expectations, reaching 9.8%, a significant increase from the previous year. However, DraftKings reported a loss of 30 cents per share, an improvement from 87 cents per share the previous year.

Executives stressed the company's "unbelievably efficient" first quarter and noted a 40% year-over-year decrease in customer acquisition costs (CAC) in April. CEO Jason D. Robins highlighted the company's focus on proprietary technology solutions, including significant advancements in sportsbook offerings and the expansion of its iGaming portfolio with new, unique titles.

Robins also highlighted the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to improve product efficiency and customer experience. AI initiatives include modeling and detecting signs of problem gaming, allowing the player intervention team to properly flag issues for investigation. However, there was little mention of payments and payouts during the call, as less than half of gamers now have access to instant payouts.

In summary, DraftKings' Q1 2024 revenue growth was driven by efficient customer acquisition, product innovation, and a focus on customer-centricity. The company's stock price remains relatively unchanged, but it has seen a significant increase in monthly unique players and a focus on responsible gaming initiatives.

Technical Analysis
Despite a positive earnings beat, using Elliott Wave Theory, DraftKings stock ( DKNG ) appears to have completed its fifth bullish wave within a bullish divergence pattern. This suggests a potential shift in momentum, with indications of a forthcoming bearish divergence. It's essential to monitor closely for confirmation of this divergence and its implications for future price movement.

However, the technical indicators remain constant without any clear-cut. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 50.83.