discobiscuit

discobiscuit

I'm looking for key support of 65541.11 to hold, and for a daily higher high to complete an impulse wave off 56547.64 low. The regular flat that ended at 56547.64 seems too shallow for a wave 4 or a wave 2 of higher degree. If we continue to impulse higher, my primary bullish count will have this be a 5th wave extension, to complete a primary wave 3 around...

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With NQ1! reaching higher highs on the monthly, it adds to the wave ((5)) impulse off the October 2022 low. It suggests we need to finish a smaller impulse, have a correction, and then one final impulse to reach a top for the market. Price target is the median line of the pitchfork, and bulls are very likely to get it at some point. In summary, I have NQ1! in...

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My count has MSFT in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)). I'm looking for price to move towards, but not go above, 510.47. Once wave 5 is complete (which could be at any point now that MSFT has higher high on the monthly), I expect price to pull back towards 380 region for wave (4) of ((5)).

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Very intriguing bullish setup for ETHUSD and ETHBTC. ETHUSD holding support at .618 Fibonacci drawn from pivots at 4093.88 and 2100. There are different bullish counts that can be drawn from 879.80 low, will know more if price gets above 4093.88 and how price moves above that resistance. ETHUSD move may be magnified by bullish ETHBTC setup, if low of 0.04474 can...

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Price action since 13 April low has been a hot mess, with an impulse wave tucked weirdly in the middle... I think an Elliott Triangle Wave is most appropriate here. This bearish count presents an opportunity if ETHUSD stays below 3221.36. Wave (5) would approach but not break below 2189.13 to complete a leading diagonal ((1)) or A wave from high of 4090.44.

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Putting on my bear hat this morning and reflecting on how difficult the move up from October 2022 low has been to interpret, from an Elliott Wave perspective. If you were trying to convince yourself of a major market top and completed five-wave impulse, I think this is how you'd have to do it. Wave ((5)) ends of being an expanding ending diagonal off October 2022...

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I prefer to use Elliott Wave Theory for following equity markets, gold/silver, and Bitcoin, and I avoid using Elliott Wave Theory for individual stocks, with a few exceptions (MSFT, NVDA, and a few others). I do think NVDA wlll make a move above 1000 soon, with an ideal wave 5 of (3) to be above 1150. Its bounce from 756.06 looks to have a plenty of potential to...

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XAGUSD is an intriguing chart. It certainly has some catching up to do with gold, with some huge potential gains if this count plays out. First step would be completing a wave 3 in the 47.5-50 range (double top), correction towards 38-40, then a break up towards 70. If this count continues to play out, I think the move towards 50 will be relatively quick,...

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I think the NYSE Composite Index is very helpful in terms of showing where I think the major equity markets are, in terms of a five-wave cycle. I have wave ((1)) ending in October 2007, wave ((2)) ending in March 2009 (Great Financial Crisis), wave ((3)) ending in January 2022 and wave ((4)) ending in October 2022. I expected wave ((4)) to go deeper and get...

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I see XAUUSD currently in wave 5 of (3) of ((3)) of v. I am looking for this move to approach 2600 before a pullback towards 2400. I think the time between the years 1976-1980 is a good reference for where I think we are in XAUUSD's current wave v. Wave v's in XAUUSD tend to be rather extended. Orange ellipses are wave 1's and green ellipses are wave 3's. Big...

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As price has poked above 5333.50, the bear scenario has officially been invalidated. I have four different impulse waves from the low of 4963.50 (green ellipses). I see no way to create a diagonal from the price action in the orange ellipse. How these impulse waves will fit together is yet to be determined, but it is likely that ES1! will grind upward for the...

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If 56547.64 holds as the low of this correction, my count has wave (1) and wave (2) of primary wave iii complete. If correct, I'd like to see wave iii get north of 127112.14. Perhaps we'll see some sort of catalyst, like Amazon.com accepting Bitcoin, to get the next phase of the bull market going. The proposed wave (2) is shallow (between .236 and .382), but it...

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As NQ1! price moves towards its ATH at 18709, and assuming that new ATHs are found shortly, I'm looking at this being wave 5 of (3) of ((5)). Wave (1) of ((5)) was an expanding leading diagonal. Major corrections in the primary wave structure coincide with significant world events (i.e. Great Financial Crisis, COVID-19, etc.). S&P, DJI, and Russell 2000 all at...

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Bullish count on left, bearish count on right. Lots of gymnastics on the left, but it is still just a series of impulse waves up, with key higher low pivots held. There are different ways to interpret these impulse waves collectively, and the one I have chosen would get one complete impulse wave off low of 4963.50 to happen the quickest. Key price support at...

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My bullish count has completed impulse (1) off low of 15473.78, completed regular flat wave (2) from high of 73757.39. The flat is within the green ellipse, and the C wave of the flat is not my favorite; however, I think the possibility of a diagonal for lower lows has been eliminated at this point. Price moved above 65000 and has moved back down towards the...

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Bull case on left, bear case on right. On the left, I think there are different ways to complete the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50, but for simplicity, I have just used a leading diagonal A, zigzag B, impulse wave C. From the low of 4963.50, it would appear that there are 4 distinct and overlapping impulse waves (with higher lows at 4991.25, 5022.25, and 5036.25),...

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For ES1! bears, I'm looking at a double-three correction from low of 4963.50, with an expanded flat Y, to complete below 5194.25. For the flat, 3 is shorter than 1, so 5 needs to finish below 5194.25. As such, this count is invalid with price above 5194.25. Price is currently between .5 and .618 Fibonacci price points on the correction, so bears are definitely...

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Comparison of BTCUSD and ETHUSD, bearish counts. Since their highs in March 2024, they both look like they are trying to form contracting diagonals (or wedges). For BTCUSD, it could mean an ending diagonal C to complete the flat. For ETHUSD, however, this would be a leading diagonal and would not make sense in the context of BTCUSD having an ending diagonal. The...