konhow

09:11

konhow Wizard

All the major markets are testing their upper band channels since their first major hump in the 90s. The Russell 2000 has reached its second hump and is on the way down. Though the Russell 2000 is the least known among the four indices, it serves as a leading indicator for the other three. Why? The Russell 2000 comprises 2000 mid-sized listed companies, which...

07:06

konhow Wizard

The US long-term bonds have hit new lows, the yield curve has been inverted for two years now, and inflation remains uncertain, meaning interest rates may not ease at all. Yet, stock markets are reaching new highs. We have a "grey rhino" in this market. A grey rhino is a large and visible animal that cannot be ignored. Try not to get too close to them because...

06:32

konhow Wizard

Berkshire Hathaway, an investment company is not investing. What is the signal? Why are they hoarding cash? • Not much good investment opportunity ahead • Preparing for tougher time E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index...

06:46

konhow Wizard

Inflation is expected to rise again because the prices of staples such as wheat, rice, corn, and soybean meal have been increasing over the last two months. Additionally, we've seen a 20% increase in soybean meal prices since the low in February. Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options Ticker: ZW Minimum fluctuation: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel =...

07:50

konhow Wizard

The March CPI was reported at 3.5%, higher than expected on April 10. This development triggered a sharp decline in the stock market, with a total drop of 8.5% from the recent high. Could this downward movement signal the onset of a major bear market, or is this sell-off simply a retracement, setting the stage for the bull market to resume? We will explore this...

07:37

konhow Wizard

How high will gold prices reach? They will rise in proportion to the U.S. debt. Today, we will study the relationship between U.S. debt and gold prices during these periods. We will also explore how high gold prices might go and how soon they could reach these levels. Micro Fold Futures Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: •...

06:34

konhow Wizard

Which market is a better hedge when a geopolitical conflict started. I know many will say that it must be crude oil. Over the past 2 major conflicts, we could see that crude oil did not gain any momentum, in fact it came off. So which markets have reacted positively to all these tensions so far, and will continue to remain this way with future tensions? My...

07:23

konhow Wizard

A brand-new cycle for the Japanese economy is in the making with a higher inflation to come and a weaker yen. When the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates for the first time in 17 years, the Japanese Yen instead of strengthening, it crashed. Micro Japanese Yen Futures Ticker: MJY Minimum fluctuation: 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25 Japanese Yen Futures &...

08:09

konhow Wizard

Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold. Video discussion: 1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being 2. Why Gold and...

06:49

konhow Wizard

Many interpreted from the latest FOMC meeting that the Fed is going to have three rate cuts this year, but Jerome Powell did not say that. Let me quote directly from his transcript: “If the economy evolves as projected, the median participant projects that the appropriate level of the federal funds rate will be 4.6 percent at the end of this year” And he...

08:01

konhow Wizard

AI technology has been recognized as the new future since the end of 2022. The rapid advancements in AI and its stock prices sparked debates regarding the sustainability of its current valuations. Indeed, AI technology has a long runway ahead, but like all journeys, it will eventually encounter a bend. In today's tutorial, we are going to study its fundamental...

08:31

konhow Wizard

The relationship between inflation and Bitcoin - they moves in tandem together, in the same direction. We saw Bitcoin has broken above its 2021 high, and it is likely to continue this trend. Many attribute the reason behind this rally to the approval of Bitcoin ETF by SEC in January of this year. While this approval serves an incentive, the core reason for...

08:19

konhow Wizard

Inflation was only keenly felt, especially after the pandemic in April 2021, when the CPI broke above 2% to 4.15%, and then quickly soared to a high of 9% in June 2022. However, gold has been signaling impending inflation since the year 2000, which was 24 years ago. Currently, gold is also indicating further upside potential over the long term. What will be the...

07:37

konhow Wizard

While many of us celebrate the stock markets reaching new highs, central banks worldwide are actively purchasing gold, and institutions are hedging into treasuries and yields. Interest rates are determined by the central banks whereas Yields are determined by the investors. If you choose to lend or borrow money over a longer period, such as 10 or 30 years, you...

08:23

konhow Wizard

Today, we will discuss how to apply inter-market analysis effectively. While there are numerous analysis methods available, I find comparing the index, an influential stock, and a smaller yet actively traded stock to be effective in projecting what is coming ahead. Let's make some interesting observations in the tech market, focusing on the Nasdaq Index, the...

06:59

konhow Wizard

Just about 1.5 years ago, inflation reached the highest point in recent decades. The January inflation number for 2024 was released on February 13th. Its CPI has improved from 3.4% for December to 3.1%. However, the major US stock indices collapsed more than 1% on the same day. Why is there such nervousness surrounding improved inflation, and what are its...

07:33

konhow Wizard

At the latest FOMC meeting on January 31st, Jerome Powell stated, 'The Fed is not ready to start cutting,' which immediately caused the yield to pivot higher. During an recent interview on Sunday, February 4th, he reiterated that the US central bank is not yet prepared to cut interest rates, resulting in another increase in the yield. Today, we will discuss the...

07:25

konhow Wizard

In January alone, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and other tech companies have collectively cut more than 21,000 jobs. Furthermore, last year marked one of the worst periods in recent memory, with approximately 260,000 tech professionals losing their jobs. Normally, we expect to see cost-cutting measures during a contraction stage, as was the case during the Dot-com...