Yields are pivoting....massive stock and metals rally to followI think most are leaning the wrong direction...I think yields and the DXY are pivoting and we will see a massive rally into year end for stocks and metals...Longby ConservativeOne11
US02Y : The BOND dilemma The recent dot plot is quite interesting. It has 2 important notes: a) no recession b) you got to wait longer if you are looking for cuts. This caused yield to move UP - to price in a longer Fed pause. And I think both short and long yield to continue to be HIGH. In a situation with high DEBT load, a higher rate environment is trouble. $ FX and US yield sometimes move in unison and sometime not. We just need to know when it does and when it choose not to. We are now again at the point when things tilt. I THINK that when yield goes any higher, DXY would need to move LOWER to compensate for the higher rates. As we know, DXY is now facing some resistance on its way UP. In a week or two, US might face another possible government shutdown. We must trade with caution. Till the next dot plot in 12/2023, DXY might NOT move up as fast as earlier thought. Good luck. Longby i_am_siewUpdated 5511
Rate Inversion DisappearingInteresting how the market basically topped out in July around the same time bond traders started correcting the inversion on longer term bonds. I said a few months ago that bond traders don't know what they're doing, lol. They were assuming rates were just gonna drop back down, now they've adjusted. Problem is, all of the bonds banks have bought in the past year are now under water.by hungry_hippo4
Canadian 10yrWith pinpoint accuracy, the continuation heads higher. we got maybe one more pullback and another push. Let's see how the markets react in October. But I'm not betting against this. by TheRealTylerDurden0
Us30 Elliot wave The us30 potential has completed a 5 part Elliot wave impulse move . We are current at 2008 levels . Anything passed this will just signal economic collapse and a depression. Shortby BearishBill226
US 30yr Yields - have we seen end of bond bull market?US 30yr bonds have seen a year's worth of action in the space of a month From 1.90% to below 0.90% to back to 1.90% In my opinion this reversal could be key for the bond bull market since the 1980s If we get a close above 2.10% in 30yr yields I think we have seen a generational low this month Just sayingby WVS_StockscreenUpdated 117
Yield Curve Bottom (10s minus 2s) This is called the "Steepener" trade and refers to a mean reversion in the yield curve. From current level of (-38 basis points, or -0.38%), I'm targeting a move back to 1.00%, or ~70bp, risking down to about (-45bp), or about (-13bp) downside. Yield curve steepeners seek to gain from a greater spread between short- and long-term yields-to-maturity by combining a “long” short-dated bond position with a “short” long-dated bond position, while a flattener involves sale of short-term bonds and purchase of long-term bonds. - CFA InstituteLongby jBTCkingaling113
TNote (US10Y) entering target area, expecting a pullbackThe TNote (US 10 year yield) has entered its target area for this up movement from the bottom. Resistance area is between 4.65% to 5%. We are expecting a pullback below 4% for the next months. Then the uptrend should resume towards 7%, possibly higher. A break above 5% would invalidate this view. Shortby powerintegral5
Bonds go down Stocks go up. The US Government Bonds 10-Year Yield goes down after each blue pivot point signal. At the same time, the SPX moves up 6 out of 7 times. The US Government Bonds should come down a bit to the middle line of the bollinger bands and the SPX might move higher a bit. by ValerianKUpdated 5
Yield CurveThe yield curve has begun its process of change, making lows higher and highs higher....Longby ManzanexUpdated 1
Yields looking crazy. 2 year has pulled back. Everything else no2 years are coming back to sanity. 10, 20, and 30 are parabolic.by curtislanoue0
10 yr Bond yields - BullishAcross the board 10 year bonds look scary. The italy 10 yr is so clear i figured id publish it. Same with Cadanian 10 yr, US 10 yr. Central banks must be shitting themselves. It'll be an interesting next week or 2.Longby RobsPlanUpdated 7
US 10Y : "FED vs MARKETS" |...who will win? | (Part.II)The market is waiting for one of the most important events that could give a clear direction for the coming months. Today FOMC will release interest rate decision and the main players ( TVC:DXY , TVC:GOLD , VANTAGE:SP500 and FX:EURUSD ) will suffer the consequences. Even if we cannot rule out a 25bp increase, most analysts believe that a pause may be the right choice, also because the usual press conference is not scheduled for the next FOMC meeting, so the board could take advantage of this opportunity, to explain this "temporary change in direction" to the market. So, what will happen today? No I have an objective answer to this question, unfortunately I am not a guru but a simple Trader, so today we will limit ourselves to following events. Having said that, from a technical point of view, we were lucky in March because we widely predicted this increase in yield rates from 3.30% area to a new high (wave 5 for Elliottians) in Part. I of this Analysis. On weekly chart the trend is bullish and the next technical levels are around 4.46%, 4.61% and 4.7%, but today TVC:US10Y could take any direction. US 10Y : "FED vs MARKETS" |...who will win? | (Part.I) (Click on chart below) Trade with care Like | Share | Commentby TheAnonymousBankerUpdated 9921
Setup for a new high in 2 year yieldWe have a setup for another spiky move up in 2 year yield to a new high of the year 2023. The target for the subwave -c- of wave -iii- up = 5.365% Longby CastAwayTrader2
US 10Y TREASURY: digesting week is over?Markets spend the previous week digesting the latest information from the FOMC meeting regarding interest rates levels in the coming period, as well as FOMC economic projections for the next two years. It all created one quite a challenging week on US financial markets, as well as for the US Treasuries. The 10Y yields reached 4.5% immediately after the Fed Chair speech after the FOMC meeting on September 20th, however, during the previous week yields continued to surge further, reaching the highest weekly level at 4.67%. This could be treated as a sort of market overreaction, as yields soon returned to the level of 4.57% where they are finishing the week. Yields continued to move within an overbought momentum for a second week in a row. This adds to the high probability that yields will further move toward the 4.5% levels which is more realistic to current economic prospectus and wording supported by the Fed. At this moment on charts, a 4.3% level could be the next target for 10Y yields, however, it might take some week or more until yields clearly reach this level.by XBTFX16
Final Chart for VN indexSummary VN index information. The relationship between DXY, VN-index, USD/VNDShortby trungson917
US10year yieldHi my followers as i have said before i am bearish on us 10 year bond yield , So this is another fact why i am on that camp always ntice to price patterns on the charts .....dont go across them easily ... Gooooood LuuuuuuckShortby Logical_Markets0
There is a risk that $US10YR may further breach the 5% rate The US 10-YR Government Bond Yield is at risk of breaching further to as high as 5% which will then weign in more on the other safer haven yellow precious metal #Gold. A rising yield for the past years since Covid erupted has brought pressure on both equity markets and Gold was never an excuse for this.Longby marketpainterPH440
Why Gold shall keep falling? Real yields.dear fellows. we believe gold prices are likely to keep falling, because unlike many analysts say, it is not a hedge against inflation, rather against real yields. real yields have been rising, and thus, gold prices should fall. in this video idea, we show how much divergence currently exists between these charts, and why in the next couple of weeks one can expect further losses in the gold price. thank you for your attention. best regards.Short04:59by greenfield_br5511
US20YR - The end is in sightBonds have been selling off at unprecedented rates for unprecedented lengths. The yield curve as started the un-invert indicating the recession is less than a year out. The question remains if rates will remain "higher for longer" or if the flattening will include a swift fall in rates due to recessionary pressures, possibly leading to deflation. If Steven Van Meters and Harry Dent 's predictions are (eventually) true then a play in TLT or TMF is warranted and would lead to gains in the multiples.Shortby Merit-Ocrasse3
BArt ThingssssLooks like the bart is a real possibility here. This pattern is famous by now, you all know what it is.Longby MikeMMUpdated 2218
#us30y #bonds #yields #dxy #elliottwave short welcome bullsThis count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.Shortby alibadshah88Updated 0
US BONDS 10 YEARS YIELD (daily)As you see the diametric pattern is completed and we can expect to that begin a downtrend.Shortby mahdi-sheykh0