Today was great, had some awesome short setups earlier in the morning and I was able to capitalize. Thankful to have $3k profit after the first 14 days. I'll be taking MIL:1K out so I'll be trading with profits from now on.
I didn't post a recap for yesterday yet, so here it is along with my initial reaction to PCE and some trade plans for today.
I'm bullish on VX for now, but I'm open to a failure. These are.the paths I'd expect.
I'm still most bearish on RTY out of everything,.although if NQ.falls.it.could fall more than RTY. Here's some paths I'll be looking for after we get the reaction to PCE.
Some bullish paths if the reaction to PCE is bullish. See previous idea for bearish paths.
I'm bearish for PCE, but didn't think it was worth trying to predict so I'll be waiting to make some moves after the reaction. I'll have bullish paths in another idea.
I am bearish right now, but I went mostly cash before close yesterday. I'll trade the reaction in whatever direction that presents itself, but if ES can't hold 5240 and VX keeps moving higher I think ES.is headed to 5200 minimum.
Had the best day of the challenge so far and I'm hoping the momentum can continue into tomorrow.
RTY is my favorite short setup at the moment. Had a nice break of this ascending wedge and failed on a retest. I expect further downside, but being cautious with shorts while NQ and NVDA are this strong.
A recap for today's action and trades. I had a decent winner on IWM puts, but chose to hold rather than taking profit. I'm expecting some more downside tomorrow but we'll see how it goes.
GME has some strong momentum for the first time since they announced the share offering. Had a nice gap up, but it looks fairly weak to me. I may look for an entry if it comes back into the $20 area.
BTC had a strong start to the day, but has given up a decent amount of its gains after breaking above $70k. The current trend is bullish, but if it fails to hold this uptrend, it may be time for some downside. I still think $100k is inevitable, it's just a matter of when.
Some potential paths for QQQ early this week. I'm leaning bullish, but will be ready to capitalize on downside if it happens.
I'm leaning bullish, but there will be equal opportunity on either side unless we chop all week.
RTY is looking good for a short if the market doesn't keep rallying. It'll be one of my top watches for short setups. I included a path for longs as well, but this chart is bearish for now so I'd expect the bearish path.
Weekly analysis of the broader market and what I'm looking for this week.
Silver failed hard today, had a small short term position get wrecked. Still don't think it's over, but that pennant break the downside is rough. I'll be watching for a retest of the major trend line it broke for another long on it.
I became pretty bearish on Thursday after.yields.apiked and the fed fund futures changed rate cut expectations again. TNX was on a good run and had a bull flag breakout on the 15m, but ultimately failed. I'll look for TNX.to continue to weaken if I consider opening new longs.