The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows...
Natural Gas (NG!) hit last week the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Falling Wedge pattern that started on the April 10 2023 Low and was immediately rejected back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it holds, this rejection indicates that technically, the new Bearish Leg should start. Our Target is 1.550 (just above Support 1). If however...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is technically about to complete the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S) that followed the All Time High (ATH) of March 14. The driving vessel behind it is a (dotted) Channel Up whose Bullish Leg peaked at +19.50% and its two Bearish Legs so far have been around -8.00%. As you may realize, there is a high degree of...
Nasdaq (NDX) made the bullish break-out that we largely expected as described on our previous idea (May 15, see chart below) and almost hit our 19100 Target: Right now we see a short-term pull-back, which based on the November - December 2023 fractal (green ellipse), should be at worst a 2 week consolidation. The 1D RSI also shows that symmetrically we should...
Silver (XAGUSD) couldn't have gone better on our last signal we gave (April 17, see chart below) as it did give us the pull-back inside Resistance Zone 1 that we wanted in order to buy and immediately rallied to the top of the Channel Up to hit our 32.00 Target: Since the break-out, the metal entered a more aggressive Diverging Channel Up (blue), which after...
The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below): The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has...
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) has completed a Bull Flag pattern (green Channel), trading right below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been its long-term Resistance since January 24 2024. Based on its 2-year Cyclical pattern, the stock should surge aggressively if it breaks above the 1D MA200. The 1D RSI is posting the exact same formation it had during the...
The AUDCAD pair has been on a structured rise since the September 25 2023 Bottom, which technical is a Double Bottom formation for the long-term. The price is about to test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 20 2023 as well as the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the February 22 2021 High. Every time the pair...
The USDCAD pair gave us a wonderful sell trade on our last analysis (April 17, see chart below) as we caught the exact moment of the rejection and reversal of the 4-month bullish trend: The price has now broken below not just the (dotted) Channel Up but closed below the 1D MA50 too, confirming the trend shift to bearish. As you can see on this 1W chart, the...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is starting the final and most aggressive part of the current Bull Cycle: the Parabolic Rally. The latest and perhaps the strongest signal to confirm that comes from the well known liquidity combo indicators that we have developed these past few years. The Global bonds yields pool (blue trend-line) is reversing upwards again, the first time it...
WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) for a full month. We have previously seen the same king of consolidation in mid-2023 and then November 2023 - January 2024. On both occasions, the price then entered a medium-term Channel Up. Also on all occasions, the 1D RSI was on Higher Lows, while...
Netflix (NFLX) has established trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), turning it into a Support following the rebound since May 01. With the long-term pattern since June 14 2022 being a Channel Up, similar bullish break-outs above the 1D MA50 (blue circles) have been the start of Bullish Legs. Even the 1D RSI has been very consistent at identifying bottoms....
Pepe (PEPEUSD) completed an extremely strong 1D green candle last week, the strongest in fact since February 26 2024. The 1D RSI turned wildly overbought but as long as the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) supports, we expect this raly to continue all the way to the top of the Channel Up (Higher Highs trend-line). Our Target is for this Bullish Leg to complete a +1136%...
The S&P500 index is recovering from the last Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, which even broke below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) last Thursday for the first time since May 02. The 4H MACD is forming the first Bullish Cross since that very same date, which was also a recovery sequence after a bottom on the Channel Up pattern. Having also breached into...
The EURCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 15 months and right now is on a Bullish Leg towards its top. The 1D RSI is approaching the overbought barrier of 70.00 and we believe it will give a sell signal after it breaks above, just like November 21 2023 and July 14 2023. Until then, we will stay bullish, targeting the top of the 15-month...
The GBPJPY pair gave us a solid short-term buy signal last time we looked into it (April 16, see chart below) and easily hit our Target: The prevailing Channel Up has a clear sell signal on its top, which the price is approaching on the current Bullish Leg since the rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MACD sequence is the same as the first...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the 5th Bullish Wave of the current Bull Cycle, following the consolidation of the past 2 months. Since the November 2022 bottom we have had 4 such waves with consolidations ranging from 1 month to 6 months (blue Channel of April 10 - October 10 2023). The current wave can technically take Bitcoin up to $100k alone. What is even more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 40000 Target that we set on our May 06 idea (see chart below) and after that experienced a sharp pull-back: So far this is within the lines of a natural technical correction correction towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which during uptrends tends to be re-tested as a Support. Notice also that this is...