JaredBooysen

JaredBooysen Updated 

If you look at the Building Permits Leading Indicator, new permits have been decreasing since January 2022. Housing Starts will confirm the same... New Home Sales have decreased since 2020... Building Permits usually lead Housing Completion by 8-16 months... Additionally Interest Rates have nearly peaked, this will also slow down Developer Sentiment and Home...

JaredBooysen Updated 

NYSE:WFG Shorting Wood Products. (Note for self).

JaredBooysen Updated 

AMEX:LQD A good time to become a bond holder, as central banks lower interest rates going into next year newer bonds get issued at lower interest making your existing bonds more valuable over time all whilst receiving a decent coupon paid out as a dividend.

JaredBooysen

US Interest Rates have been raised to 5.25% and inflation has fallen down to 5%... an inflection point has been reached, the US seems to have inflation under control ahead of the UK and the Euro zone. I'm buying the AMEX:LQD Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF as newer issued bonds my be issued at lower interest rates, increasing the value of the bonds I'm...

JaredBooysen Updated 

The charts above represent the following: Blue 32 EMA on the 15m time frame = Blue 8 EMA on the 1h time frame. Red 128 EMA on the 15m time frame = Red 32 EMA on the 1h time frame. The charts below represent the following: Blue 32 EMA on the 1h time frame = Blue 8 EMA on the 4h time frame. Red 128 EMA on the 1h time frame = Red 32 EMA on the 4h time frame.

JaredBooysen

Has ARKK bottomed out? The MACD is in a positive divergence suggesting the market is compressed. Has the market priced in the lows for risky assets? I believe this could be a good opportunity for a long term position, especially when the FED eventually decides to start easing rate hikes.

JaredBooysen

From a professional trading perspective, bear markets are defined by a 20% fall in an index from it's high. The SPX High was reached on 04th of January 2022 trading at 4819. To calculate the bear market level multiply 4819 by 0.8 = 3855. The bear market level was reached on the 13th of June 2022 with a close of 3748. The SPX low was reached on the 13th of...

JaredBooysen Updated 

Bitcoin price is reaching new lows, suggesting the market is compressed whilst the MACD is in positive divergence, could the price pop? Has the market priced in the lows for risky assets?

JaredBooysen Updated 

Looking like a buy... defense companies to increase in value due to global policy increasing military spending!

JaredBooysen Updated 

The ZAR has weakened roughly 6% per annum against the USD since 1990. Using the pitchfork indicator we can see we’ve reached an extreme in the Rand’s valuation on the weekly chart. As the dollar finds normality I believe the Rand will strengthen and find its way back to it's mean, however I expect volatility in the shorter term.

JaredBooysen

I have a long-term positive outlook on the industrial metal sector given the increase in demand towards the electrification of the world. I expect a dampening in shorter-term prospect however a renewed surge to fresh record high's in the new year by miners around the world, most notably from Central and South America as well as Africa. This will lead to copper...

JaredBooysen

The 10Y2Y spread is moving lower, the longer dated bonds are lower than the shorter dated bonds, essentially the shorter term outlook is looking poorer than the longer term outlook due to the flattening yield curve. A recession is on the horizon. Short bias on my US trades.