QQQ Scalping Zones 5/2Upside Targets: * 426.43427.14/429.60 Downside Targets: * 424.5/423.6/422.75 Daily Trend Tracker - *QQQ- *DXY+ *VIX+ *US10Y-by QuantumEdgeAnalytics0
โ๏ธ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded. The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts. I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ). NASDAQ:QQQ The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NASDAQ:SMTC SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NASDAQ:KLAC KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NASDAQ:SMCI The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NYSE:GS Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NYSE:CRM CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NYSE:LLY Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume. โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ NASDAQ:MRNA Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point by SimplerSignalsUpdated 3
PILL 3x Leverage Medical/ Pharma ETF for swing LONGAMEX:PILL On the 4H Chart, current market price is sitting on the support of order blocks and the EMA200, while in an uptend from a double bottom in the sprint. It is moving into the high volume area of the voluxme profile. For the swing trade, the stop loss is $0.10 below the EMA200 while the targets are marked based on a combination of the horizontal resistances of prior swing pivots along with sell order blocks and the structure of the volume profile. Accordingly, this trade risks $0.60 for about $ 4 to $ 5 of upside making for an excellent swing setup especially since healthcare, medical and pharmacueticals are known to be recession resilient and ETFs are inherently diversified making leveraging a risk probably worth taking. Longby AwesomeAvaniUpdated 1
XBI the ETF for Biotechnology LONGBiotechnology is expected to be a hot subsector this year as healthcare recovered further from the COVID pandemic anything from startups to big pharma- from vaccines to new drugs for diabetes, liver disease and obesity. This is shown on a weekly chart to show the long term trend with XBI pivoting to bullish back in early November. I add long positions when I see a dip on the 3-4hr chart. My targets are the fib retracement expectation at 116 confluent with the first upper VWAP band line and then the 135-138 zone underneath the second upper line shown in thin red on the chart. This ETF smooths out the volatility characteristic of some of the smaller biotechnology firms making it safer albeit with lesser rewards expectations. Positions in NVAX and MRNA are having a good start to the week and will reflect in a small way in this ETF which has broad constituent stocks within its portfolio. Longby AwesomeAvaniUpdated 114
$USO Oil targets hit. Sideways plus downside, maybe two weeks Breakout was a success and we saw $80s for a good moment there. Plenty of time to have taken any profit on any positions I had. The pullback in between also happened according to the bar chart. Letโs see if the rest of my pattern can make its way through into a plummet for late May.by TazmanianTraderUpdated 0
$QQQ Bear Flag to the 200DMANASDAQ:QQQ Bear Flag to the 200DMA Do in last nightโs video I went over this in much more detail, but before I take the bear flag off of my chart I want to publish it to see how it plays out. And the bear flag also looks like the handle to an inverted cup and handle. 200DMA is a very real target. Shortby SPYder_QQQueen_Trading558
MSOS gaining momentulWere in up channel, long consolidation, but I believe we are seeing potential to make some gains. There is clear rotation from cad LPs into MSO, I expect MSO to do well until earning season begins. May 08-09 Longby abigreenUpdated 443
Buy around $8.32 with 2 fistsMSOS loves bouncing off that trend line. I bet you it'll happen right when DEA reschedules. Because the market is a bit*ch like that. Smoke more weed. Flying to Chicago today, never been. Longby sonidofrankoUpdated 0
SPY - LONGFeds talk already priced in today, 500 holding strong, lets hit 515-520 by EOM yeah? alright sounds good.Longby Smart_Money_Cpyder556
VIX UVIX UVXY Will lead to a bullish day in the markets tomorrowVIX UVIX UVXY Will lead to a bullish day in the markets tomorrow. Powell was balanced and the VIX is low, but the VIX is a function of the SP500 it's swings can be big and go the other was just as fast. Here's UVIX. I won't go long UVIX Calls until the VIX is sub $12Shortby candlestickninja1
could the MJ sector etf still have a leg up left overaccording to history, yes. according to current price action, no. it would not be a good short, but its also not a good long without a break of character to the upside. looking at all volume weights and the price the downtrend remains very much intact. tommorow the top of the range may be hit, although resistance would be stiff, and a breakout to the upside would have little chance to regain tuesdays highs. this is still clearly an attractive long at many levels for a lot of reasons, and thats why ive sided with buy after this particulare daily extreme and rejection candle, sliding down toward an equally uneven bull market lower.Longby cerealmarket0
SPY - Still shortEven though the Stochastic says good time to buy, smart money knows the dumping has only started. AMEX:SPY is still below the 20DMA, in the lower Bollinger band. Shortby SPY_Trader1
$SPY dead cat bounce into head n shoulder top predictionThis is my prediction. Bounce here should've been expected as GAP UP is support... If we dont make it past the right shoulder, HEAVY PUTS... This feel's like a dead cat bounce and will create a well know top pattern. Paytience - Prof Plan is to juice on puts, when panic hits, buy the BAT. Shortby Prophecies_R_UsUpdated 113
$HYG will get a boost this summer when rates are cut due to BOJI see the BOJ dumping treasuries this summer, which'll force down the USDJPY pair, and increase inflation here at home. When rates go down, borrowing money is easier, especially for junk corporations avoiding default due to decades high interest rates. Could AMEX:HYG fall back into the box one last time? Absolutely, if the dollar ticks higher after FED hawkishness. But then, AMEX:HYG will catapult. When HYG is ready I'll give out some options plays to capitalize on the bullish trend.Longby EmptyEternity0
SMH heads up at $209.43: Golden Genesis fib may Break-n-RetestSMH just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $209.43. That fib is reinforced by a Covid Stimulus fib. This is a major landmark in this ETF's history. $ 209.43 - 212.89 is the immediate resistance. $ 236.36 - 238.96 is the next major resistance. $ 191.21 - 191.90 below is the first good support. It is PROBABLE that we orbit this zone for a while. It is POSSIBLE that we break and retest for late buy. It is PLAUSIBLE that we get a pullback here and now. Here is a full view of the Genesis Sequence: ==========================================================================================by EuroMotifUpdated 8
I am long calls SPY and now TLT The chart posted is that of the DIA as I have said this chart is and has been very clear in regards to the Pattern forming . In march at the spring Equinox on the 21 we peaked above the bb bands on the monthly and also peaked just under the super cycle channel into the fib projections 39580 to 40480 right in the middle 39880 . So we have a cycle turn that goes back to oct 13 low 2022 this is due may 8 plus or minus 2.2 days . I do NOT see us breaking this channel posted NOT YET .I have posted the pattern to which I see us following .We have had two equal legs up to the tick in the spx 500 cash But the dji has formed something different . I did try to short the other day into 5120 but covered with a minor loss .35 of 1 pct and did go Long calls from 5080 25 % and had to 40 % at 5065 and then to 50 % at 5060 as the math had a target 5059 that held and then broke rather sharp and accelerated at that point sharp .I maintain my 50 % long calls and see the DECLINE still forming a wave abc for WAVE B low we should have a sharp rally in wave C up to 5146. if we break above 5146 we should see a alt min 5196 after this we would see a retest of 5264 and most likely print the final top 5330 . the 5262 peak was a perfect relationship to the 2000 peak and on the GANN day march 21 . Best of trades WAVETIMER by wavetimer3
SPY Scalping Zones 5/1 Stay Safe Today!!Upside Targets: * 502.62/503.48/504.75 Downside Targets: *500.85/500.14/498.67 Daily Trend Tracker - *SPY- DXY+ VIX+ US10Y+ by QuantumEdgeAnalytics0
IWM Bear FlagSmall cap tickers look about to drop further with this bear flag on the daily. by RocknStockChik0
MSO Looking to break outPredicted this a month ago and have been buying this tickers up. News came out yesterday and the chart told the story earlier. by RocknStockChik0
SPY Bear flagSpy has a bear flag forming on the daily. The next couple of days will be telling. by RocknStockChik0
SPY gave us a solid sell. Is it still bearish?Last time we looked at SPY (April 11, see chart below), we got what we wanted, a break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that met our exact bearish expectation which was a -5.93% decline, absolutely symmetrical with August 18 2023: As the subsequent rebound got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line on the chart above), the question is the following: Is SPY still bearish? Technically, yes as long as it closes weekly (1W) candles below the 1D MA50. But at the same time, being supported on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line on the chart above), keeps short term neutral/ ranged thus the expectations for a bullish break-out live. But it has to close above the 1D MA50 to confirm that. As you can see, a comparison with recovery patterns following systemic Cycle corrections like the one in 2022, offers valuable conclusions. Basically, since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis, the three major corrections of the current Cycle, have followed similar patterns (2011 - 2013, 2015 - 2017 and 2022 - 2024). The key common characteristic is that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been the major Support. After two pull-backs that hit the 1W MA50 straight after the correction's bottom, both the 2011 - 2013 and 2015 - 2017 fractals made a smaller pull-back (green Rectangle) that hit the 1D MA100. It appears that this is where the index is currently at. If this correlation continues to hold and the index won't dive further to the 1W MA50, it might hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension as its first Target, which is what the other two fractals aimed at. That is at 555.00. Notice also the similarities between the 1W RSI patterns. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ , SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐by TradingShot1114
KRE trade ideaThe min target is $22.25 for the H&S top (grey lines). The red trendline is a great level to place a stop loss. This trade if it works out has great risk/reward potential. Not investing advice. All your trades are at your own risk as nothing is guaranteed with any analysis.Shortby WavesPatternsCandlesIndicators0
NASDAQ breaking below YTD supportUS stocks, led by mega cap tech companies and the NASDAQ writ large, started 2024 on a hot streak. But as momentum slowed, an arc pattern supporting the market became clear, only to be decisively broken. Analysis of key support and resistance levels provides price targets for the coming weeks.Shortby BarryStocksUpdated 141419