Inverted Yield curvefor 711 days!!!! Stay tuned!!!!!More than 700 days with the inverted yield curve. This duration has never been seen!!!! Be careful!!!by NewHOrizons1111
US30Y could push up tomorrow!Let's see how it plays out. Price is in deep discount right now. Lets see!Longby makuchaku2
US10 & US02 YIELD CURVE vs USDJPY / BTCUSDHighlighting the risk on/off to the yield curve vs USDJPY & BTCUSD. by QuantumXTrading1
Small caps about to rip?Could be the start of a U.S. 10-year rate breakdown. It's about time the small caps shine. AMEX:IWM / TVC:RUT could rip soon. 💥🚀 NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:SOFI , let's go!Longby PaperBozz3
US Yields End-Of-Month ReviewMay's price action hammered into the macro EQ @ 4.404% before closing 60%* inside of the previous monthly candlebody. 4.739% 1st buystop liquidity 4.313% 1st sellstop liquidity 13:28by LegendSinceUpdated 0
BTC > NDX. Risk waning again?During the last few weeks the NASDAQ:NDX has been trading closely to $BTC. In fact, dare to say that #BTC is LEADING! Risk is waning again. We see #yields are dropping but are now at RECENT SUPPORT LEVELS! TVC:TNX Let's see how the next few days go!by ROYAL_OAK_INC0
Bund ProjectionsSometimes a drawing can speak better than words, or at least present an idea in a better and more efficient way. This project involves projected tendencies and forces that might affect the price, represented with the curves as attractors and influencers with their respective arrows pointing the direction of the potential simulated pressure applied to the tendencies of the market. Rectangles are projected potential support and resistance in their respective time zone. The white one is different, the exception to the rule, but it could end up having some interesting price action near it (/if the price reaches that zone). The purple cross is interesting with it's time stamp for a potential time zone of interest, while it's marked price level could be relevant if the price reaches it in this project. Orange rectangle is the wild card which could end up being irrelevant as trying to predict potential simulated scenarios of evolution of price action is not a concrete and exact science and we deal with probabilities and tendencies. The purple monster curve wishes to be the big kahuna of the project if it ends up being a success, meaning relevant price action is to be watched near it. All elements can provide signals through Japanese Candlestick analysis and hunt for inflection points / reversals, but the purple one could be the big showdown whether it is a bounce, or a break and retest, the function of the curve is applied with the intention of catching as many as possible potential simulated scenarios and unfoldings of events. Nen projects are for recreational purposes only and the authors are not liable in case of loss of capital caused by the trading decisions inspired by them. Every trader is responsible for his own trades and decisions. May the force of profits be with you! by nenUpdated 17
Build a bond All ideas are strictly my interpretation of price action. I am not a professional trader nor is this professional advice.Longby THE_APIS_TRADER0
Stock Market Going DownStock Market is going down... 2 Year treasury is heading down Nonfarm Payrolls are heading down Unemployment rate is heading up SPY looks like it's topping out NASDAQ:TLT AMEX:TMFShortby carybruckerUpdated 2
TNX 10 year note here we go againThe ten year has done a double pump each time it collapsed. This time it has hit its second top, and down we go to its 50% fib, or there abouts, just as it has in the past. Election coming, gotta make thin gs better than they seem and are. Lower rates in July .25, just a start, then another .25 in September, and then another in November. If they wait until September, the effects of lowering wont be felt by real estate in time to have the affect they want on voters. Commodities will surge, because inflation is still not under control, and this will actually make that worse. In fact it will cause home prices to surge up also. And with brics hitting in October, Gold is gonna skyrocket, silver follows. Idiots. All to stay in power, and cover all the lies with that power, and by that power. They cannot afford to loose. In fact if this doesn't work, along with stimming the economy also with easy to get HLOC loans starting in July (yep Freddie Mac gonna back second mortgages - to squeeze every last drop of equity out of those inflated priced homes - wait didn't we do something similar in 2008?) , its WW3, to cover it up and delay elections. What a world. God bless us all. Shortby claydoctor0
Treasury Yields Search SupportYields on the US 10-Year seem to have broken the January uptrend, threatening another test of key support at 4.26/32 - a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 1998 low-close, and the 61.8% retracement of he 2000 Decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / close below needed to suggest a larger reversal is underway here. Resistance now eyed at the yearly high-week close (HWC) at 4.66 with a breach / weekly close above 4.75/83 ultimately needed to mark uptrend resumption. Michael Boutros @MBForex by FOREXcom9
The Bond DilemmaThis is a simple setup resulted from the analysis, processing, and simulation, of several future scenarios that might unfold. The rectangles are projected support and resistance zones where the price might hit a bump, create a turnaround, or halt it's actions into a consolidation zone, before continuing on its initial path. The small orange one marks a potential milestone for a scenario in which in case it is hit, and only in this scenario, a pivot point might be expected at the marked time stamp. The marked price level is also relevant in case a correction is formed near it, leading to a potential end of it, with a candlestick potential reversal pattern that can signal an opportunity to jump on the action of the next wave. We use Japanese Candlesticks in our analysis to compute the tendencies of the market, the sentiment, the overall context of each wave, but also to assess any potential weakness in a wave (useful and required for position management), or a complete reversal. While the obvious scenarios in which a turnaround can occur at the upper rectangle, a bounce from the red one, or an incursion towards the big green one, might sound appealing to us, we must also not limit ourselves to such scenarios and keep an open mind for any other opportunities signaled by the candlestick analysis, and the overall context of the flows and events in the market. As usual, this project will be followed by short updates for milestones, highlights, or potential red alert scenarios (pivot points or reversals). Trade with care, and may the force of profits be with you!by nenUpdated 5544
Yields selling off, US Dollar weakThe 2Yr Yield has cratered since our last post. As has the 10 Yr #yield $TNX. The pattern breaking, whichever direction, will give us an indication of the likelier direction that #equities will go. Is the US #Dollar giving us an idea?!?!?! You'd think CRYPTOCAP:BTC and AMEX:GLD would be moving better with the selloff of $DXY. Saudi watch...by ROYAL_OAK_INC1
US 10 year Bond BoxesAll horizontal rectangles edges are Levels I will be watching for potential support and resistance action. Wouldn't say I am overly confident in the potential colored path of the boxes (red, cyan, yellow, pink and blue), but will provide step by step updates if anything significant pops up in a discretionary perspective. The project should or might become more relevant with it's levels and zones, in time, if we get to see specific price action at the levels to indicate at least a slight sign of relevance. First one to look out for is potential support at the red zone. Next to watch out for is a bullish toned cyan box perspective. If these fail, all bets are not off, we just let the price action dictate how the market feels inside the boxes and what it does when it escapes one. Thinking outside of the box there might be another potential aspect for this project. What if the information is encrypted so that we don't get to see in advance what can really actually happen? How can we crack the code and why? Take a deep breath. Get A Touch of Zen. Look at the design without having thoughts about it and see what pops up and why and how. I like the O icon and the nen text location. Could be wrong though. This one is similar to the EURUSD project. Linked.by nenUpdated 0
ZB vs US10YZB - Closures in the VOID previous suggest price will most likely seek higher since this area is "balanced" already US1OY - Nice rejection after getting the higher prices we expected last week. Reasonable to assume we could get a closure below the VOID in discount this week by pwizzle342
Long BUNDI expect longer term yields to decline amid ECB rate cuts and slowdown in economy. I thnk the risk/reward is very pleasing, and I will roll-over until target is reached unless we hit stop before.Longby ScienceBasedTrading1
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart. - R2FEducation06:02by Road_2_Funded1
Yields - Bullish - First Week of June 2024smt at lows + respect of bullish fair value. Anticipating completion of MMBMLongby imjesstwoone5
US 10Y back to 5.00%?Similarly to the DXY, the US 10-year yield is showing signs of also setting up for another leg higher which will allow yields to climb back towards the 5.00% handle. The mainstream narrative however is that yields has peaked but another fresh US bond sell-off sparked by global geopolitical tension could easily allow yields to spike higher.Longby Goose960
US 10Y TREASURY: more volatility ahead?The 10Y US Treasuries exhibited some higher volatility during the previous week. Nervousness prior to the release of the PCE data was evident, when yields reached their highest weekly level at 4.62%. However, as the PCE was fully in line with the market expectations, yields cooled down a bit until the level of 4,50% for one more time. Shifts in investors sentiment will continue to be impacted by broader economic conditions and market forecasts, in line with significant policy developments. Economic data which will be posted in the week ahead are non-farm payrolls and unemployment data for May. In case of any surprises on this side, the market might react again with a new jump in Treasury yields. However, in case of no-surprises, the yields should continue their relaxation. Still, the first Fed's rate cut continues to be the major topic on financial markets for the future period. by XBTFX13
Bull Market in Housing to continue till 2027It would surprise many. So far House prices have been holding up with rates going parabolic Strong economies can usually handle a few years of stable rates in around 5% Supercycle's generally last 16-18 years As we saw in the great Bull run of 1982 to 2000 A repeat of this cycle timeframe: would mean #Bitcoin top 2025 (2009 inception) #Stocks 2026 (march 2009) #property 2027 due to lag and time to make a sale. (End of 2011)Longby BallaJiUpdated 1113
Long term perspectiveThe short term pull back can be an effect due to the upcoming interest rate this upcoming june, and this pull back is a good sign of buying opportunity for long-term. The key point in here is that the bond is set to move downward means the dollar might also fall and so the stocks will do the opposite direction. Dollar cost averaging I believe is the best strategy for now due to uncertainty of when will the market executw the direction that we are eyeing. This is a pov, an speculation, invest at your own risk.Longby IMODERAT0RI2