Is it a HS? RSP SPX equal weightHS pattern on the making? Would confirm if neckline is broken to the downside. Shortby j_arrieta1
Opened (IRA): BITO July 19th 24 Short Put... for a 1.44 credit. Comments: High IV at 59.6%. Looking to pick up shares at or below my covered call's current break even of 27.10. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 22.56 Max Profit: 1.44 ($144) ROC at Max: 6.38% ROC at 50% Max: 3.19%Longby NaughtyPinesUpdated 1
$SPY HyperInflation returns AMEX:SPY return of hyper inflation will we see AMEX:SPY my high target of $640.30 or will it die off around $540.70 give or take after we reach those highs we will see pullback back down to $395 if buyers fail to step up to show support we'll be testing 2008 lows back around $285 eventually down to $200 then $86 then $24 (WW3 scenario / end of world scenario/ near default) As bears we've done our job to short squeeze it to highs as news hit about Trump wall st bought up the rumors let's see how long we'll extend the rally. Thinking we got a bit more to go before we short completely after the rate cuts come around fall time you'll see a mass sell off as banks shut down.Longby calmstradesUpdated 5
$SPY Target near Apex.Updating Levels as we got ways to go before we see $600 AMEX:SPY return of hyper inflation will we see AMEX:SPY my high target of $640.30 or will it die off around $540.70 give or take after we reach those highs we will see pullback back down to $395 if buyers fail to step up to show support we'll be testing 2008 lows back around $285 eventually down to $200 then $86 then $24 (WW3 scenario / end of world scenario/ near default) As bears we've done our job to short squeeze it to highs as news hit about Trump wall st bought up the rumors let's see how long we'll extend the rally. Thinking we got a bit more to go before we short completely after the rate cuts come around fall time you'll see a mass sell off as banks shut down.Longby calmstradesUpdated 221
$TLT: $92-100 before $85-$75I'm not sure what's going to happen in the immediate term (1-2 weeks), but after that I think we'll see a bond rally from middle of June into July up above $92 and the possibility of going as high as $100. My base case is that we get a move up to $97ish level, but not ruling out the possibility of retesting the highs of the recent move. However, after July, things don't look great for bonds, I think we'll see a new low in bonds and a new high in rates that will catch many people off guard. I think we reject somewhere in the $92-100 level and then start our next move down to new lows somewhere in the $85-75 range between August and October. Let's see how it plays out.by benjihyamUpdated 778
SPY short hunt is back onI will set an alert at the low of the last two days. At that point of the days internals look soft I will take a beginner level starter put position. The intent is to risk a small amount of $ to try and catch a day trade that I even still want to hold by the end of the day. Alert at 532.50 Shortby alleytraderUpdated 111
$SPY $VIX Today's Trading range in SPY for CPI and FOMC, and PPIAMEX:SPY TVC:VIX Today's Trading range in SPY for CPI and FOMC. CPI just came in better than expected at 3.3 year over year so let's see what Powell has to say today!! GL, y'all... Video version walkthrough version is available. What is your guy's opinion. 3.3 year over year is good - but still unacceptably high when you look at the cumulative effects. I personally hope Powell is Hawkish today!! Shortby SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
DailyTrade Daily TradeDaily TradeDaily TradeDaily TradeDaily Trade Daily TradeDaily TradeDaily Trade by sBNalawadad1
USO petroleon 2024-2025The price of petroleum dropped from $80 per barrel to $40 per barrel due to a combination of reduced global demand for oil and an increase in oil production leading to an oversupply in the market.Shortby alexpv730
SPY Rallying to $608+. Are you ready?My research suggests the SPY will quickly rally above $560 and continue higher to breach $608 (a 100% Fibonacci measured move) before the end of August. The Q2:2024 earnings data and continued US economic strength will drive capital investments in US equities over the next 3+ months. Traders continue highlighting the risks related to US banking issues and the related downside price concerns. I also share these concerns - but continue to follow the price action simply. My analysis suggests the SPY will attempt to rally to levels close to $605+ before finding any major resistance.Long11:32by BradMatheny1
Will NVDA Stock Split Send QQQ to ATH Today??Outlook - With APPL primed for a run to ATH and NVDA stock split I can see a rally to the upside if levels hold. Obviously huge news this week so I will stick to my levels and play whatever side my analysis supports. Upside Targets: * 463.41--464.16--465.7 Downside Targets: * 462.32--461--459.17 Quantum Edge Analytics = T/A supports bullish momentum if 463.41 breaks and holds by QuantumEdgeAnalyticsUpdated 1
SLV to 33.70Sure does appear to be a typical Wave 3 extension formation. 2.618 fib measurement of Wave 1 would put SLV at 33.70 by AssetDesign0
SPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello,Friends! SPY is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 523.11. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅Shortby EliteTradingSignalsUpdated 113
Cancellation of “Head-and-Shoulders” Pattern. Bears trapThe "Head-and-Shoulders" (H&S) pattern is considered a powerful trend reversal indicator. However, it can also become very costly for new traders. Yesterday, the S&P provided a great example of H&S cancellation. Traders who entered short on the break-out of the shoulders line (and Monday's low) incurred losses after the price returned to the previous day's range and rallied all the way up. Such scenarios happen more often than you might think. To avoid being caught in such traps, it is important to consider two things: 1. Higher Level Context : In this example, the H&S pattern formed on the hourly time frame. But if we zoom out, we'll see that on the weekly chart, the price is in a strong uptrend, currently making new historical highs. This is a very bullish context, with buyers having full control over the price. 2. Price Behavior on the Break-out : Upon confirmation of a reversal pattern, you should expect sellers to jump in and drive the price down as fast as possible. It is "abnormal" to see the price returning to the previous range and gaining acceptance. This is a trigger that something is not right. Some people will add volume analysis on the break-out, but I’m personally not a fan of it, especially for SPY. Educationby hermes_trisme3
Market Crash - QQQ Ascending WedgeHere we have yet another rising wedge, this time on QQQ. This pattern started back in October of 2023, so if we fall below, that's most likely going to be a substantial move. The longer the time period you have for a pattern, the bigger the move. An upside breakout is possible, if it breaks this wedge to the upside that'd be quite bullish. Easy to say it's bullish if it hits a new ATH, but when you have a bearish pattern that flips bullish, it usually adds even more movement. The best odds are for it to fall below.Shortby AdvancedPlays1
$SPY June 12, 2024AMEX:SPY June 12, 2024 15 Minutes Looks like AMEX:SPY has sorted out the 532 levels for the moment. It tried to break today and ended up in holding and making 537 ATH. Hence considering 532.04 as new low the rise to 534.77 retraced 50% of the move. And now wave 3 in this move looks like in motion for a target 540-542, provided 533 is held. For the day, considering the rise from 533.05 to 536.63 holding 534 levels uptrend intact for 540+ levels. On downside if 533 is broken I have a target 530 being 200 averages. Bias is long as of now. Oscillator looks like gotten sorted out. Longby RiderTrader336
QQQ still confined to the trading channel since 2010The blue trading channel has been a very reliable resistance since 2010. You can see the many times that it has confined price action, only being broken during the COVID bubble. My guess is that it will continue to be resistance. We will likely see a repeat of the action from 2015 and 2018 where price will slowly work sideways but ever so slightly higher with numerous pullbacks until we see a large pullback to the support side of the channel. Here is what the action looks like on the 1D. You can really see the price trying to break out, but as we saw back in April, it ultimately lost and we had a nice pullback to buy into. Longby Dr_RobotoUpdated 11
USO Oil ShortUSO on the 60 minute chart is currently in a broadening wedge and reflecting down off a reversal at the upper resistance trend line. The MACD lines have crossed over the histogram and are trending down showing moving average convergence. Price is between the mean and first upper band lines and moving down toward the former. Current factors at play include an OPEC+ meeting, Russia working around sanctions, increased demand of the summer driving season, federal rate action projections as well as those in Europe and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. I will short USO here targeting 74 at the bottom of the wedge pattern. Shortby AwesomeAvaniUpdated 2
SPY dip in the AM, Rise till the fed then have a health dip.This will dip in the morning as companies take ATH profits then retest. Market is running to hot and needs a healthy little pull back. by jda746110
Cup and Handle Pattern on Natural Gas near breakout line The chart shows a classic "Cup and Handle" pattern forming on Natural Gas prices, suggesting a potential upside move upon breakout. The pattern consists of a "U"-shaped cup, indicating consolidation and recovery, followed by a handle representing short-term consolidation. The resistance line at the cup's peak marks the breakout point, signaling a bullish continuation once breached. For trading, initiate a long position upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance line and wait for a retest as support. Set the stop-limit just below the resistance line to minimize potential losses. The profit target is around 27, based on the next highest high from January 2024.Longby ThePappyUpdated 111
Shorting URA: 1+ Year Trend Channel BreakoutMonitor URA for a breakdown below the lower boundary of its ascending trend channel. If the price breaks out of the trend channel downward, look for a subsequent bounce back to the $30 price range to test the resistance level. Upon confirmation of resistance at $30, consider entering a short trade using put options to capitalize on the expected downward movement. This strategy aims to take advantage of a failed recovery within the channel, signaling a potential shift in trend.Shortby ThePappyUpdated 2
crude oil 12 month USLearly breakout line + continuation breakout line = very bullish setupby Badcharts0