Moshkelgosha

Moshkelgosha Updated 

QQQ has made the similar pattern to 2023, and 2021 which increases the risk of more correction! Which scenario is more likely to happen???

Moshkelgosha Updated 

The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index is a breadth indicator that tracks the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that are on buy signals according to point and figure charting. Point and figure charting is a technical analysis method that focuses on price movements and ignores time. The Bullish Percent Index is thought to be a contrarian indicator, meaning that when...

Moshkelgosha

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become ubiquitous, transforming industries and powering everything from facial recognition to self-driving cars. However, the dream of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) – machines with human-level intelligence and understanding – remains elusive. Let's delve into the key differences between AI and AGI, particularly regarding...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Nassim Taleb's: “My lesson from Soros is to start every meeting at my boutique by convincing everyone that we are a bunch of idiots who know nothing and are mistake-prone, but happen to be endowed with the rare privilege of knowing it.” He also said: "The only economic research that seems to replicate out-of-sample is the work of Daniel Kahneman on behavioral...

Moshkelgosha

Market Data: In March 2024, a total of 9,095 tickers were traded. The top-traded ticker, NVDA, with a trading value of USD 1.098 trillion, accounted for a significant portion of overall activity. The top 5 tickers (NVDA, SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMD) collectively represented 22.4% of the total trading value. The top 100 tickers (including 30 ETFs and 70 stocks) accounted...

Moshkelgosha

Anthropic AI is an American artificial intelligence (AI) safety and research company founded in 2 here in Scotts Valley, California! They focus on developing safe and beneficial AI systems. Here's a breakdown of some key points about Anthropic AI: Mission: Their primary goal is to ensure that advancements in Artificial Intelligence are directed towards...

Moshkelgosha

An inside bar is a two- candlestick pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential breakouts or reversals in the price of a security. The first candlestick, called the "mother bar," is any sized candlestick. The second candlestick, called the "inside bar," is entirely contained within the high and low of the mother bar. This means that the inside bar's...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Investor Psychology and the Recipe for Bubbles: How Emotions Fuel Unsustainable Growth The allure of quick gains and the fear of missing out can create a powerful cocktail that fuels stock market bubbles. These periods of rapid price inflation, often disconnected from a company's fundamentals, are fueled by specific investor behaviors that can be both fascinating...

Moshkelgosha

"Quadruple witching," "volatility," and "max pain" are terms commonly used in financial markets, particularly in options trading, and they are related in the context of market dynamics. 1. **Quadruple Witching**: This term refers to the expiration date of various financial derivatives. Specifically, it occurs on the third Friday of March, June, September, and...

Moshkelgosha

Scenario 1: Continued Ascent Towards $200 This scenario hinges on several positive factors. Firstly, strong iPhone sales, driven by the upcoming release of a highly anticipated new model, could significantly boost revenue. Secondly, the continued growth of Apple's services segment, including iCloud, Apple Music, and App Store, could provide a reliable source of...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

The last 7 weeks: The last 71 weeks: What could happen? Do you want to read more? Chek this article: (Published on Feb 2022)

Moshkelgosha Updated 

From the perspective of Wyckoff analysis, both accumulation and redistribution involve price action within a trading range (TR), but they represent vastly different underlying market dynamics: Accumulation: Underlying Trend: Accumulation typically occurs at the beginning of an uptrend. Supply and Demand: Smart money (institutions, experienced traders) are actively...

Moshkelgosha

Feeling the Burn: Understanding Maximum Pain in Option Trading Imagine a land where options contracts expire worthless, dreams turn to dust, and the collective financial pain reaches its peak. This, my friends, is the realm of Maximum Pain (Max Pain) in option trading. But fear not, for knowledge is power, and understanding Max Pain can help you navigate this...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

A bullish flag is a technical analysis chart pattern that signals a potential continuation of an uptrend. It is characterized by a sharp price increase (the flagpole), followed by a brief period of consolidation (the flag), and then a breakout that confirms the uptrend. The key elements of a bullish flag are: Flagpole: A sharp price increase, usually on high...

Moshkelgosha

The world of options trading often evokes images of fast-paced exchanges and high-stakes gambles. While a thrill exists, successful navigation requires more than just gut feeling. Here's where math steps in, playing a crucial role in transforming options from speculation to strategic maneuvers. Understanding the Underlying Magic: Options grant the right, but not...

Moshkelgosha

Let's think about this: Claude Shannon: “We know the past but cannot control it. We control the future but cannot know it.” Unfortunately, there's no magic bullet for creating a "good" forecasting model in a random financial market. The inherent randomness and complexity make reliable predictions inherently challenging. However, several approaches can help you...

Moshkelgosha

The Federal Reserve's policy of keeping interest rates higher for a longer period could potentially have several effects on buy now, pay later (BNPL) companies: 1. **Cost of Capital**: BNPL companies often rely on borrowing to fund their operations and offer financing to consumers. When interest rates are higher, the cost of borrowing increases for these...

Moshkelgosha

George Soros' theory of the boom-bust cycle, often intertwined with his concept of reflexivity, offers a unique perspective on how markets behave. Here's a breakdown: 1. Boom-Bust Cycle: Soros argues that markets tend to experience self-reinforcing cycles of overconfidence and pessimism. In a boom phase, rising prices generate positive expectations, attracting...