... for a 1.12 credit. Comments: Squeezing in another rung in the December monthly at the 28 delta 89 strike ... . Since I'm getting kind of a spaghetti works here, will primarily look to add in the 45 DTE weeklies and manage the rest of the pasta as duration in those positions shortens.
Comments: Targeting the 16 delta strike here in successive expiries to generate free cash flow and emulate dollar cost averaging into 20 year+ maturity paper. October 20th 89: .77 credit. November 17th 87: .76 credit. December 15th 86: .84 credit. Since these aren't paying buckets of cash on a per contract basis, I'll look to manage these on extrinsic...
Comments: Targeting the 16 delta strikes in November and December to erect rungs at strikes better than what I currently have on to emulate dollar cost averaging into 20 year+ maturity paper. November 17th 86: .83 credit December 15th 84: .79 credit Here, I'm fine with getting assigned and proceeding to sell short call against, but want to get in at the biggest...
--- ### Market Analysis: TVC:US10Y Nears Crucial Pivot Point #### Critical Juncture for the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) is currently at a pivotal position that could significantly influence market sentiment. This important pivot point is marked by a specific blue line on the chart, serving as a key indicator for...
There is a Bearish Bat with Bearish Divergence on the TLT, which could perhaps be signaling that the 20-year Bond Auction is going to demand higher yield than the current level.
... for a .32 credit. Comments: Rolling down and out where it makes sense; out "as is" where it doesn't. Collected .83 originally (See Post Below). With the .32 here, 1.15 total. I'm generally looking to try to avoid taking on shares above my current cost basis for the shares I've been assigned already and/or to take on shares at the best possible price that...
... for a .96 credit. Comments: How ... low ... can you go? Targeting the 16 delta strike out in February at a strike better than what I currently have on in shorter duration expiries.
Comments: Targeting the strikes paying around 1% of the strike price in credit at strikes better than what I currently have on. The basic bet here: that interest rates decline ... at some point. (And, yes, it's been a somewhat painful trade so far ... ). December 15th 77: .85 credit January 19th 75: .84 credit
The NASDAQ:TLT , or the 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF, appears to be undergoing a significant shift in its trend dynamics based on your description. Here's a breakdown of what you're observing: 1. **Bearish to Bullish Reversal**: This indicates that the ETF, which was previously in a downtrend (bearish phase), is showing signs of reversing to an uptrend (bullish...
NASDAQ:TLT chart mapping/analysis. Note: TradingView chart dividend adjusted. Price action bouncing off Golden Pocket (66% Fib) support Heavy trading volume = institutional activity (ie positioning?) Rejection wicks on previous weekly candles = selling pressure still present (correlation with long-end yields holding strength) Looking for re-test of...
US Bonds probably the "Most Highly Bought Bonds" by any Countries's govermnt in the world (as safe haven). Time to buy US Bond ETF? E.g TLT, AGG, IEF etc?. What do you think saving money in US FIXED deposit bank aiming for 5% +/- gain ( while waiting for US dolar depreciate against most currencies pair) or buying US Bonds ( which is the inverse of US Bonds...
20-YEAR AMERICAN TREASURY BONDS: SHARK detected. We are in a potential turnaround zone. The EMA.200 and EMA.50 are possible targets, as well as the red PRZ above. To watch, as well as the ICHIMOKU / Bollinger / Fibonacci Levels
In December 2022, Howard Marks told in an interview that a "sea change" is underway in markets. When I have seen below charts of TVC:US10Y , I have remembered that interview: (Unfortunately I needed to remove the graph due to lacking reputation points. Maybe you can view with //x/HZKlWa8U ) TVC:US10Y was in a downtrend in a channel since 1980 and this...
I am accumulating TLT, I have accumulated in the areas: 83,84,85,86,87 and I will continue to accumulate as long as the price remains below 92. Over 92, I will stop accumulating. Macro speaking, we have this falling wedge and once the interest rate cuts on the dollar will start, I expect TLT to react positively. First of all, we need uS10years to start a correction.
"The TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence Played Out as we observed a scenario where the momentum indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), had been showing bearish divergence with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. This indicated a potential weakening of the yield's upward momentum, despite higher prices initially. Subsequently, the divergence 'played out'...
The chart posted is the VIX of the VIX the VVIX has the cycle which I stated on monday and friday last week a short squeeze is now setup as the13.8 to 15.2 week decline would see a sharp rally. And that the IYT RSP BA and TNX were making a ending of a 5WAVES pattern we are only going to see an ABC rally and the last 5 days have been wave A so...
Every 40+ investor and a pair of eye glasses is pounding the long TLT! call options TLT!. You sure about that? you sure you can handle 4-5 years of a complete dead TLT? Federal Reserve seems to be only interested in bailing out banks collateral directly instead of starting YCC so the TLT traders "bond market is the safest in the world" has just completely...
This publication is for Euro against U.S. dollar, and quick and simple as well as all other publications by @Pandorra 2023 is about the end, so let's take a look on technical perspectives for FX:EURUSD . The main graph is EURUSD semi-annual 6-month chart (yes, they also exist on TradingView, as well as quarterly 3-month charts and annual 12-month...