Banking Crisis II begins… 👀 Long BTC?Banking Crisis II begins… 👀 Will history repeat today as we saw in the Banking crisis in 2023?🤔 Let see what recent history can teach us about today 🧭Longby JK_Market_Recap0
BRIC Replacing The US Is SillyThere has been a lot of propaganda of late talking about the BRICs will replace the US or China Yuan will etc.. this is flat-out silly talk designed to influence unsuspecting people for political purposes. This chart BKF/SPY is a comparison chart BRIC and the US. However, BRIC is now BIC since Russia has been cut out by US sanctions. In my view, BIC is appropriate Flick my BIC used to be a commercial for lighters back in the day. FLICK is all that BIC can do. Why? 1. US has only 5% of the Global population which produces 25% of the Global GDP. No BRIC country can even compare. 2. US is not going to be invaded by Mexico, Canada, or Cuba. 3. The Global economy cannot function without a World reserve stable currency. For that to occur a currency must I repeat MUST be able to be a net import thereby EXPORTING $s to the rest of the world and still, reaching max employment of 3.5%. In other words, US production & consumption is so high we need to export low-level jobs to other parts of the world to meet our consumption demands while freeing up labor to do more technologically advanced production. Not a single BRIC nation can even come close to matching the US in this regard. 4. BRIC has a long history who will print more relative to their counterparts rendering their currency worthless relative to the USD. Even China with 1.4 Billion people are totally dependent on US consumption. China only floats 2% of the Yuan currently. totally insufficient to meet global demand even if people desired it. Floating the Yuan for China and leaving it to market forces to value it would be a complete disaster for the totalitarian Regime. 5. BRIC are well known for their rampant corruption problems. its one thing to agree we all hate the US and another, to agree with themselves on what the rate of their currency is. Honestly, they would kill each other at the onset. All those who disagree are more than welcome to put their money where their mouth is and go out and buy BIC. It's one thing to say what you believe and another to have skin in the game and accept the financial consequences in what they say and believe. As the great poet Mike Tyson Famously said "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". Don't be fooled by propagandists and lose your hard-earned money!Shortby RealMacroUpdated 6624
MNRS ETF breakout setupusing the line chart to reduce noise. triangle setup is now in place. 3 times the price has tried to break resistance. lets see how we go this time. US miners will track US gold prices. it made new high this week @ 2080. in the next few months we will find out. Longby RogueCleanerUpdated 335
mnrs etf close to a break out Gold has broken and the gold miners have started to show buying interests. MNRS etf is going to break out soon. Resistance level is going to be broken probably next week. anyone who has gone shopping in the past month will know prices are skyrocketing. Fruit and Vege are expensive and the quality of the produce is really poor. The only reason why migration has been non restrictive is because Governments need cheap labour to maintain a slave class to work for peanuts. this is not investment advice. Longby RogueCleaner2
SPY: Week of April 22Hey everyone, Wasn't going to post actually, despite promising haha. The chart is very unclear, there are no HA indications of direction and I am not a strong believer in trendlines (Which is why I completely ignored the major trendline in my last week idea when i said SPY was going to 504, had I cared about it, I would have been bullish, so you see the problems with these pesky trendlines). So this idea is 100% based on my little computer models. SO here is what it says: Going into Monday, it's expecting some pronounced bullishness (I would guess, not the model but me myself, that it's simply a DCB). Retracement of 497 is almost a given. There is a strong favouring of a rangey preference on the week with an over-arching bearish bias. This means, expect no major move until catalysts. What are the catalysts? A ton of mag 7 earnings coming up. 490 is PL2 on the 3 month. Mean reversion since SPY's nassence is being placed at 480 using quadratic regression. So this is an area I would watch very very closely if we can get to. Don't expect as profound of moves as last week because the range being predicted is extremely narrow. Unless we get some massive disappointments in earnings or some other catastrophic thing happens, its just not likely that we see further extreme downside this week (at least, according to the projections). Now for my opinion: 480 is a great mean. PL3 or the bottom of the 3 month range is below 480. If we fall out of the three month range (meaning we fall below around 477) this would be signs of an impending bearish market. However, if we manage to stay within the range and bounce anywhere between 480 to 490, bull market back on and we are making a move to 532. Those are my thoughts, safe trades everyone! by SteverstevesUpdated 202062
$SPY bounced of resistance againLooks like AMEX:SPY will go down after bouncing off the 20 DMA. Bears rejoice!Shortby SPY_Trader221
Nasdaq100 shortA little short never killed nobody Buying the level between 2-3 standard deviation Shortby st4ndard0
Opening (IRA): SMH June 21st 180 Short Put... for a 2.01 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 75.1/35.1. Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF. I may look to ladder out at intervals if premium remains decent.Longby NaughtyPinesUpdated 0
SOXL: Tactical approach to scale in and outStudying recent price action in SOXL (3X ETF on SMH - semiconductor segment). Example of an uptrend that ended (as defined by 34EMA wave), and then a retracement from 200MA back up to the 34. In this scenario, be cautious about buying into the bounce as it can often drop back down after reaching the 34 again from the bottom. Past support becomes current resistance. Capture gains tactically but exiting a portion of the position once reaching that potential resistance, and again if the breakdown does occur. Determination of what is considered a breakdown, and how much to reduce is suggested as 2 candles showing downtrend, and 50% reduction. by cch313
Insights into Market Analysis: SPDR XLK Sector trend analysisThe upward trend of XLK experienced a halt in mid-April, marked by a price breakout below the swing low at $197.3. By retracing the price action from January 2022 to October 13, 2022, a potential pattern emerges, suggesting the formation of a 'Head & Shoulders' reversal pattern. XLK had been on an upward trajectory from October 2022 until April 2024, largely driven by the robust performance of the tech sector. However, with the application of sector rotation principles, it appears that XLK is exhibiting signs of technical weakness. Currently, other sectors such as XLE and XLU are demonstrating stronger performance compared to the overall market.Shortby MESHANL2
heading to 420 looking to short 180 days out to 90 days out i think we will see but see a another touch up to area OF B before going to 420Shortby cw1sss1
Software tech sector possible pathI think we are going to have a false break out next week and then a hard pull back to uptrend line. This market loves to set up bears and bulls traps. Be careful.by ArturoL0
QQQ Scalping Zones 4/26Scalping zones worked pretty will this morning. Upside Targets: * Downside Targets: * Daily Trend Tracker *DXY - Bullish - *VIX - Bearish - *US10Y - Bullishby QuantumEdgeAnalytics0
Market Direction using SPY historical trend patternsFrom a technical perspective, there hasn't been a definitive signal indicating a trend reversal for the SPY 500. Back in May to October 2023, the SPY exhibited a clear "M" pattern or double top, experiencing a drop of approximately 5%, retracing back, and then dropping around 10%, forming the M pattern. If we compare this M pattern with the current price action, we observe a striking resemblance in the market behavior, as the price retraces from a similar percentage drop of around 5%. The question arises: Is the market genuinely recovering, or are we merely witnessing the formation of another M-shaped pattern! by MESHANL3311
Spy is at breaking Point 470$ coming if it dont go above 512$ then we can see 470$ coming month.Shortby stocktrendcheck1985113
Largest Purchases of VIXM Ever since conceptionThe white box I inserted is where a 41 million dollar purchase was made at the price of $16.20 BUT, a second large purchase was made of 8.3 million dollars at the price of $16.00. After these purchases, the price was able to stay above the purchase price and this is a bullish sign on medium term volatility. Circled in the volume candles is the exact trades that I mentioned and I will be watching very closely on how this move prior to and at FOMC. Its pretty obvious the NVIDIA event will be bullish for the markets until FOMC. Little pop..... and a DROP. Longby LeapTradesUpdated 3
GLD - SHORT POOTSGold prices have been on the decline recently, influenced by several key factors: 1. **Correction from Highs**: Gold had reached a record high last week, trading at $2,413.80 per ounce. Such spikes are often followed by corrections, as seen with the current downward movement. 2. *Rising Dollar and Treasury Yields**: The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields have both increased, which typically makes gold less attractive. As the dollar strengthens, gold, which is priced in dollars, becomes more expensive for investors using other currencies, reducing demand. Higher Treasury yields also make gold less appealing since it does not offer interest or dividends, unlike bonds. 3. **Economic Data Influencing Fed Policy Expectations**: Recent U.S. economic data indicated a 1.6% growth in GDP for the first quarter, which was below expectations. This situation affects market predictions regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Initially, weaker GDP growth might suggest potential rate cuts, which would typically support gold prices as a safe haven and hedge against currency devaluation. However, the current market sentiment suggests that investors are possibly adjusting their expectations about the extent and timing of such cuts. 4. **Geopolitical Tensions**: The easing of tensions between Israel and Iran has also played a role. With fewer concerns about a potential wider conflict in the Middle East, the demand for gold as a safe haven asset has diminished. 5. **Technical Support Levels**: Despite the recent drops, gold prices are still holding above the $2300 mark. Analysts from Saxo Bank noted that there is key support around the $2250-$2260 area, indicating that prices might stabilize if they reach these levels. Can see easily a demand area at 202 area, longer term. Puts bought on todays micro double top. good luck! Shortby Smart_Money_CpyderUpdated 2
LONG SDS target 30In my opinion with no cut rates for 2024, stock markets should drop 10-15% from current levels. So the best play will be long SDS. Regards,Longby PACDealer0
Opening (IRA): SMH July 19th 165 Short Put... for a 1.69 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 78.9/34.5. Adding a rung out in July to my SMH position, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF. Generally, will look to take profit on the short put at 50% max. Longby NaughtyPinesUpdated 0
SPY THIS WEEKWe should stay in 502-508 range today, consolidate. First move in the morning could be down. 508 is a strong resistance. I am wondering if we do another leg down or do V. Usually ACB should have another leg, but the move yesterday was strong, so I am 50/50 sitting on the fence.by abigreen3
$SPY should be a big dumpBollinger Bands and Stochastic are suggesting that downward movement in AMEX:SPYby SPY_Trader4
Where will QQQ go from here?Slight correction is expected but long term trend line remains with target price of USD520 by 2025 Longby Badassmofo0
$SPY April 26, 2024AMEX:SPY April 26, 2024 15 Minutes. The expected long was nullified by gap down. But AMEX:SPY managed to close near 502 levels. Now we have all moving averages consolidated together. I have Elliott oscillator green, CCI green and stochastics above 75 with no black bar on top. Now for the rise from 493.86 to 507.37 AMEX:SPY retraced more than 61.8%. Also, we have multiple resistance around 506 levels in chart as it can be seen. For the fall from 515.30 to 493.86 we have 61.8% retracement around 507 levels. I expect AMEX:SPY to be in the range 507 to 510 on upside today, provided it holds 502 levels. If that happens then we can assume AMEX:SPY managed to hold 100 days in daily and 21 in weekly, there by setting up a buy above 515 levels for next week. I will go long only above 514 - 515 levels. For the day as moving averages have converged, if AMEX:SPY opened gap up I will wait for first 15 minutes, and if close of bar is near low I will short for 503-504 as targets provided the gap open is around 507 to 510 levels with SL high of bar or 511. The reason is for the fall 524 to 493, 512 is approximately 61.8% of retracement for the fall. Hence I have a buy only above 514 levels.by RiderTrader3