Capital One May Be Entering Price Discovery

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Capital One has spent months near late-winter highs, and some traders may think it’s ready for the wild blue yonder.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the jump to new record highs on July 23 after quarterly results beat estimates. Prices got sucked lower because momentum (as measured by MACD) was bearish at the time. However the oscillator is now turning higher.

Second, the financial stock has cleared a falling trendline and now seems to be bouncing at it.

Third, prices have tracked the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with an intermediate-term uptrend.

Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. That may be consistent with a short-term uptrend.

Finally, COF made a weekly closing high of $203.71 on January 31. It stalled at that level in mid-May and mid-June. Prices then pulled back to hold that level at the beginning of this month. Has old resistance become new support?

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