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Launch Chart
22 hours ago
EURUSD, 240 Neutral
11 1178
Today the calendar is scheduled the Yellen speaking, and this event will put the dollar in the spotlight (and all related currencies). Until now, even after reading the minutes, we have two key aspects:

- The Fed does not like a dollar too strong
- Economic data releases are less strong than expected

These values are in support of maintaining the current interest rates. We argue that the Fed will keep rates low until at least September, if not until December.
In trading is difficult to have the "certainties", but what we can say is that in the medium to long term, the divergence of the central banks (FED and ECB) should maintain this dollar supported against the major currencies.
Only "contradiction" is that the expansionary monetary policy of Draghi will attract many investors and this could "restrict" the weakness of euro against dollar (medium-long term).
It will be important to monitor the CPI (inflation)!!!!

Click and Play our setup analysis:

I do appreciate all views be it a like or comment, and if you subscribe to this analysis, you will receive all of our real-time update !

20 hours ago
AUDUSD, 60 Long
23 824
Sorry for being quiet this week trading view but I've been running things on the road. Also the markets have been pretty quiet this week so there just hasn't been a lot to share. Today seems to be a little bit better and I wanted to bring a potential buying opportunity on AUDUSD to your attention.

I'm already long this pair from earlier in the week. My position has been doing absolutely nothing but sitting there, but with our recent movement in price action another opportunity has appeared as well. This structure based opportunity can be looked at like a 2618. Price action has come down to previous structure support and held, followed by a HHHC and is now retracing.

The HHHC gives us a bullish rotation and the present retracement is a perfect chance to hop aboard. Also the fact that the RSI is showing us hidden divergence gives me some added confidence and potentially added points for those of you that trade the Combined Technical Scoring System (CTS).

The risk reward looks good on this trade no matter where you look to get long, so the only question left is "How Can I Get Long?" And the answer to that should be simple. What does your trading plan say are your rules for entry on this type of trade? "But Akil, what if I don't have a rule for this in my trading plan?" Well I'm sorry but you shouldn't be taking the trade then.

With structure being at the core of my trading philosophy I'd be looking for targets at resistance & stops below support. Best of luck if you do get involved and until next time. "Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan"

Akil Stokes
17 hours ago
EURUSD, D Neutral
7 809
We have already published our idea and we can not cancel the possibility to see another bullish leg and the market could give us a clear signal during Yellen speaking. The CPI released today is very strong, especially the CPI CORE, but this may not be enough ...

Search on smaller time frame, possible reversal pattern that would justify a change of trend.
19 hours ago
15 604
EUR/USD has broken trend line support 1.11000 and this confirms short term bearishness ,a decline till 1.1060/1.1000 cannot be ruled out .

Major short term reversal only above 1.1150 level.

It is good to sell around 1.1100-120 with stop around 1.1150 for the targets 1.1061/1.1000
1 day ago
EURAUD, 240 Neutral
2 462
This is a possible way the corrective structure on the EURAUD can develop . I will be following it for short sell and then the buy .
20 hours ago
GBPUSD, 240 Neutral
2 430
To understand what we are talking about, you have to analyze the graph below:

and the swing:

I do appreciate all views be it a like or comment, and if you subscribe to this analysis, you will receive all of our real-time update!

Signal Suisse
13 hours ago
TSLA, 15 Short
4 254
Been following TESLA for a while I love TESLA :D .. Elon Musk is IRON Man ..

FInally rolling over to the downside as the move is bearish

W2 so the retrace could be strong lets look for entry @ 247.9 or top of i from the previous impulse down

That gives us close to a 786 retrace .. If we break previous highs the sequence is invalid @ 250

There is a lot of down for this

T1 242
T2 Roll stops and let the good times roll on down to china town .. Dont be surprised if we get close to 200

18 hours ago
EURUSD, 240 Neutral
4 170
#EURUSD Possibility of Bigger Bat Pattern Forming (50sma,200sma)


This is in compliance with previous trade ideas as attached:
1 day ago
13 2285
(Click and Play it)

In support Area Cluser, buy on any pullback (see levels on intraday chart)

I do appreciate all views be it a like or comment, and if you subscribe to this analysis, you will receive all of our real-time update !

1 day ago
23 232
We have interesting news releases coming out tonight, and thoughout tomorrow's session.
The technical chart shows an uptrend that is showing signs of exhaustion after correcting the strong decline from the December high from March 16 onwards.
The advance was halted when price reached an area of weekly low volume resistance, where the market was extremely one sided. These areas can reject price and stop the bulls' advance very reliably.

Now the market remains motionless after a strong selloff, which confirmed an hourly downtrend signal, while the 4h chart shows a volume buildup on the lows, increasing selling pressure after the sharp leg down completion started a sideways correction. I expect to see a strong move coming out of this juncture, fueled by the news releases.

23:00 US USD FOMC Member Williams speech 1
02:00 CN CNY CB Leading Economic Index (Apr) 1 0.2
n/a JP JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Statement 3
03:00 JP JPY BoJ Press Conference 3
06:00 DE EUR Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY) (Q1) 2 1.1%
06:00 DE EUR Gross Domestic Product s.a (QoQ) (Q1) 3 0.3% 0.3%
06:00 DE EUR Gross Domestic Product n.s.a (YoY) (Q1) 2 1.1%
06:45 FR EUR Business Climate (May) 1 101 101
08:00 DE EUR IFO - Expectations (May) 2 103.1 103.5
08:00 DE EUR IFO - Current Assessment (May) 2 113.6 113.9
08:00 DE EUR IFO - Business Climate (May) 2 108.3 108.6
08:00 IT EUR Industrial Sales s.a. (MoM) (Mar) 1 0.4%
08:00 IT EUR Industrial Orders s.a (MoM) (Mar) 1 0.8%
08:00 IT EUR Industrial Sales n.s.a. (YoY) (Mar) 1 -0.9%
08:00 IT EUR Industrial Orders n.s.a (YoY) (Mar) 1 2%
08:00 EMU EUR ECB President Draghi's Speech 3
09:00 IT EUR Retail Sales n.s.a (YoY) (Mar) 1 0.1%
09:00 IT EUR Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (Mar) 1 0.2% -0.2%
n/a GR EUR Current Account (YoY) (Mar) 1 €-0.929B
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index Core s.a (Apr) 1 240.79
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Apr) 2 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) (Apr) 1 236.71 236.12
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM) (Apr) 2 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Apr) 3 -0.1% -0.1%
12:30 US USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (Apr) 3 1.7% 1.8%
13:30 JP JPY Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda Speech 3
13:30 EMU EUR ECB President Draghi's Speech 3
19:00 AR ARS Trade Balance (MoM) (Apr) 1

Previous ideas:
14 hours ago
DAL, W Short
2 101
Delta is just off of an extreme level of valuation as it backs down to $43.36 today, May 22, 2015.

If you look at the Total Revenue chart, you can see that revenue gains were steady and have increased by 42% since 5 years ago in May. Over the same time frame, however, the stock price has risen by 267%. After-tax margins went from losses to profits and margins briefly climbed over 20% (after-tax).

Next questions: Did DAL use up all of their tax-loss carry forwards? Will the drop in oil prices lead consumers to spend more on travel? Will people fly on vacations more or will driving still be the best choice.

DAL has been a monster winner for any portfolio up until now, but Airlines are a cyclical business and the business cycle hasn't been outlawed. Consolidation and efficiencies have driven up profitability, and shareholders have been richly rewarded. It looks like there are more "shareholders" than "share-buyers" at this level and the recent price action is alerting us to sellers unloading shares. $46 seems to be the common price where the sellers are unloading shares and the strong buyers are down at $34-$30. So, from $43.30 here, the upside seems less than the risk to the downside.

Here's hoping you look at the fundamentals too when you examine a chart and not just the "technimentals"....


Tim 5/22/2015 2:02 PM EST 43.31 last DAL

PS - Note - I have been picking a top in DAL over the past year +. Check out my charts.
23 hours ago
BTCUSD, 240 Long
0 265
Based on the width of the triangle trend lines at point of origin it's possible to estimate the triangle's thrust starting from wave (e) of the triangle. I wouldn't rely on this because expanding diagonals are more volatile but gives a general idea of the what's coming
18 hours ago
5 201
A bit of a speculative long reversal play which has burned me more than a few times already but this position is a more ideal spot to go long than my previous long position which was doing perfectly fine until news came out.

Re-entering the same position just to see how it plays out. Still like this fib powered play and went long closer to structured support which was not broken despite news drop.

WARNING: I really should have waited until fed speech but I still overall like the play purely on price action.
23 hours ago
3 180
This idea is based on combination of impulsive waves and fib spirals.

At this point there are no signs this will come true so trade it only if your own analysis are similar to this idea.

1 day ago
GBPUSD, 240 Neutral
3 285
GBP/USD is consolidating between 1.5700 and 1.5630 and any weakness can be seen only below 1.5630.

On the higher side it is facing resistance around 1.5700 and break above would extend gains till 1.5750/1.5805 in short term.

Strategy for intraday: We prefer to Buy GBP/USD above 1.5700 with stop around 1.5650 for the targets of 1.5750/1.5805
Sell only below 1.5630 with stop around 1.5701 for the target of 1.5525
14 hours ago
TFM, W Long
1 103
Here is my chart from 9 months ago when TFM was in the low $30's prior to the run up over $40. I only added that TFM is the cheapest it has been so far. It is consistently profitable and total revenues continue to grind ahead.

You want to buy these quality stocks when others are selling and when they represent great value.

It's time again to back up the truck and load up on some TFM shares and look for a 5%-10% gain over the next 3-6 months. If it gets cheaper still, I will keep adding to the position.

Stay tuned.

Tim 31.98 last TFM May 22, 2015 1:42PM EST
16 hours ago
GER30, 60 Long
1 93
Update of DAX analysis: nothing relevant to comment today. The Index has been moving in a range and the relevant levels to watch in the short term are the 11885 and 11750.
1 day ago
TYX-TNX, D Neutral
9 293
Interest Rate Spread - Difference in TYX-TNX (30Yr%-10Yr% US Gov't Bond Yields)

The decline in US 30 year bond yield (TYX) relative to US 10 year bond yields was alerting us to a weakening US economy and was setting up this monster trade to sell short Crude Oil (CL1! = front month NYMEX crude oil futures)

Thanks to user @jangseohee who asked me to look at this relationship of TNX to Crude Oil to find this amazing relationship that will hopefully set up future trades. I think this picture tells a story all by itself. The basic story is that if long term rates drop relative to shorter term rates, it means a cooling economy ahead and perhaps lower demand for oil. If long term rates pick up relative to shorter term rates, then the economy is picking up steam and oil prices can rise.

Scroll further back and see how this sets up other trades. For now, they are back together, the profits are already taken.

Tim 10:25PM EST, May 21, 2015
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