()

Friends, Things did not turn so well in Asia this weekend, if we consider lackluster results coming out of China. In Forex currencies, this should translate into bearish pressures over currencies whose economies are net export dependent relative to mainland China, namely AUD and NZD. Yet, looking at the AUDNZD cross, the question is quite clear: Which direction would this pair take, considering their tethered dependence on the broad Asian market? The answer to this question might come from their respective central banks. Recently, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens mentioned that his views on the present high currency rate remains unchanged from comments he had made back in December 2013, and now states that "$0.85 would be closer to the mark than $0.95". In contrast, RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler more than hinted at a rate hike, saying: ""It is becoming unnecessary to maintain the current degree of monetary stimulus" in late December 2013. In fact, more recently, he stated that "The Bank expects to start this adjustment soon." Could this hint be any more explicit? For the Forex pair, this would have the effect of a net BEARISH pressure, which really falls in line with the predictive analysis and forecasting we produced earlier - See the AUDNZD chart here: https://www.tradingview.com/v/pMU3TCeA/ Now, looking at the NZDUSD chart on its own, any cash rate increase from RBNZ is expected to push this pair up, and from a technical standpoint, one has now to wonder: To what heights? TECHNICALS: As of today (08 MAR 2014), our price-independent, fundamentally-ignorant predictive and forecasting system has favored a BULLISH upturn already, churning out the following targets: 1 - One moderate-probability target: "TG-1 = 0.85950 - 08 MAR 14" 2 - One low-probability target, TG-2 = 0.86656 - 08 MAR 14" and 3 - One distant TG-Hi = 0.94565 - 08 MAR 14, with a probability that remains quite low at this point. PATTERN ANALYSIS: The pattern trader might already recognize that the historical structure high offers a handle for a potential Butterfly as its Point-X, with 1.414 x XA lining up closely to our "TG-Hi = 0.94565 - 08 MAR 14" loftiest target. A dashed line from Point-A also suggests a median momental line, pacing a wounding price around it during its potential ascent. A lower target sits down at TG-Lo = 0.57337 representing a potential Janus Pattern, which would potential come to existence if and only if TG-Hi = 0.94565 - 08 MAR 14 got hit. So, we'll keep it ignored in grey for now, but for the record. OVERALL: (cont'd underneath chart as comment) David Alcindor TradingView.com Moderator, Alias: 4xForecaster Predictive Analysis & Market Forecasting PS: If you liked the analysis, feel free to give it a "Thumb Up" and pass of a friendly referral to friends interested in occult market mathematics and hidden geometries. All targets generated are defined by non-price means, and confirmed by either proprietary patterns (Euclid, Janus, Great White, Deep Shark), or other well known patterns. However, we concentrate mainly on Shark, 5-0 and occasional Bats, to complement our predictive analysis and forecasting - Cheers, David Alcindor. ----------------------------------------------------- Get signals, analyses and forecasts on Twitter Alias: @4xForecaster ----------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: Forecasts, analyses and directional opinions generated herein are for educational purposes only and are not trading recommendations. We trust that you will do your own due diligence first, then seek professional advice from a licensed professional, then enter the market at your own perils - David Alcindor - TradingView.com Alias: 4xForecaster

This week, the main Australia data is : Unemployment Rate and Employment Change on Wednesday. I repeat Australia data last week; - Building Permit : 34.6% - GDP :2.8% vs 2.5% forecast - Retail Sales :1.2% - Trade Balance : 1.433M Those positive data would impact on Employment Change . I think A/U would touch SMA200 : 0.9150 level

The main focus regarding NZDUSD next week is: RBNZ Interest Rate decision. NZ economic data recent weeks showed optimistic signals, and this will support for rate hike decision. If RBNZ decides to hike rate first time from 2011, it would be the first tightening by a major central bank since the global financial crisis. I hope RBNZ would choose the rate hike option. If they do that, NZDUSD would reach to 0.86 level. Why 0.86 level ?. Because it is the Gann Square Nine number. In Technical Analysis, there are two things which they never lie you : Fibonacci number and Gann number : Never and Ever lie you. You can see on the chart: 0.77, 0.81 is also two levels of Gann Square Nine , and N/U respects those levels strongly. Wait and observe RBNZ Meeting.

No major Canada economic data this week, and there is just one piece of US economic data : - US Retail Sales. USA is main export destination of Canada industrial sector, if US Retail Sales is positive, it will reinforce for the rally of USDCAD. I wait the confirmation signal. If U/C breaks two trend lines I show on the chart, plus positive US Retail Sales, I will reopen LONG position of USDCAD to 1.12 level. 1.12 level is a strong resistance level: It is 50% Fib retracement on the WEEKLY chart, I don't expect USDCAD breaks this level next weeks, I wait market provide more catalyst. If you like my analysis, please visit my site: http://www.sforex-solution.com/index.html And like my FB page: https://www.facebook.com/sforexsingals Following me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SforexSolution

-Fundamental Analysis: Firstly, I recap what happened last week; basically, we found the light at the end of the tunnel, with many positive economic data, I could be confident to say that: Don’t worry too much about the temporary delay of US economy; we are still on the right path. - Personal Income : positive - Personal spending: positive - ISM Manufacturing PMI: positive - ADP Employment Change : negative - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI : negative - Nonfarm Payrolls : positive - Average Hourly Earning(YoY) : positive - Unemployment Rate :negative The data seem is mixed, but overall it’s positive. Unemployment rate rises to 6.7%, this could be explained that labor force of USA is up sharply last two months: near 800k people enter labor force. Basically, each month, US economy has to create at least 150k jobs to catch up the improvement of US population. However, one or two months of data don’t set any meaningful trend; we should check the data for at least three months. Moreover, we know that FED have a threshold for Unemployment rate : 6.5%, if the unemployment rate falls below that threshold, they have to consider hike short term rate, but FED has no intention of raising rate this year, so higher unemployment rate gives them a little breathing room. In the long term, I still believe that Unemployment rate rapidly falls below 6.5%. Last week, I also pay my attention in the FED’s Beige Book : the report of 12 FED Districts about US economy. In the Beige Book, the severe weather caused the recent temporary delay of US economy, and most of Districts reported improved levels of activity as well as employment. The outlook is optimistic. With information in the Beige Book, I could conclude that the FOMC Minutes this month, FED would continue taper. When the harsh winter is over, construction sector begin to restart, US economy rapidly comes back the recovery path. Next, I evaluate leading indicators of US economy :ISM Manufacturing PMI, Personal Income and Personal Spending, Average Hourly Earning. Last two week, when I saw Durable Goods Orders, I knew surely that ISM Manufacturing PMI will be positive, and I was correct. The manufacturing sector is always very sensitive to the change of economy. If the employers in this sector see the overall economy is pessimistic, they will lay-off workers and vice versa as well as they will order more or decrease materials to meet the demand. I can see the pickup in manufacturing sector, and I know surely that in next months, US economy would expand greatly. Moreover, regarding to Personal Income, Personal Spending, and Average Hourly Earning, those data link to domestic consumer, 80% GDP of USD is contributed by domestic consumer, so if domestic consumer rises up, the US economy would expand as a result. In conclusion, there were positive signals, and we should wait next data to confirm, but I believe in the improvement of US economy. -Technical Analysis If I put my faith in the improvement of US economy, the trend of SPX would be uptrend. I think SPX quickly test 1900 key resistance level. However, I detect some unusual signals. - Three Doji Stars : downside risk. - CCI indicator shows bearish signal: divergence. I think SPX would test 1848 level and bounce back to test 1900 level. If you like my analysis, please visit my site: http://www.sforex-solution.com/index.html And like my FB page: https://www.facebook.com/sforexsingals Following me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SforexSolution

in triangle iHAS possible

entry after bullish candle pattern

Could be a good move up on this …..look for volume to support move and stop 1-2 dollars below breakout

www.stocksetups.com

Break out is still in play and volume is good, although it is a little extended above the 8day. Some consolidation here would be healthy

Apple is still a market darling and many are perma-bulls - I however am not one of them. Once we reach the OTE short zone $580 to $620, I for one shall be watching for a trade-able top to come in. Momentum is current very divergent and I am afraid the public is being sucked into another trap. Consider too the simple fact that AAPL is currently trading at more than 3.5 times book value, this is not a cheap stock. Buyer beware!!!!

The daily time frame of the AUD vs JPY has closed on Friday creating a gravestone doji at the resistance level between 94.090 and 94.457. This candlestick is a representation of supply and demand being equal as price opened and closed near the low of the day. What is significant is how high price moved up but the bears overpowered the bulls and pushed the price nearly 90 pips down from the upper resistance zone at 94.457 to below the zone at 94.090 and closing at 93.599 Just the rejection is impressive and shows that the level above is a strong resistance point. On the chart you see the upper resistance zone between 94.090 and 94.457 and the lower support zone at 90.647 and 91.071 Price has been ranging within this zone since September 2013 with a few breaks but mainly maintaining within the zone. All signs indicate that price will not break the upper level of resistance and we should see a decline in price in the near future. There is the possibility for price to move upwards and test the upper zone but more long term I see a decline on the horizon. Have a great trading week and God bless!

The present grows within the boundaries of the past

Looks like plenty of weakness here. Retest of $513 seems likely.

Has been in a 1.90 Price Range. MA50 coming up from below MA200. Suspect breakout of this Range soon.

GBPCHF----looking for Channelsupport...RSI TL support...not yet over bought once....moving upward...

Friends, Yesterday, we posted a preliminary bearish statement, calling the trader's attention to a possible downtrend. I made it clear that the bearish statement was lacking an early bearish market reversal, and to this day, that signal has not been emitted. Yet - Here is the prior analysis and the option for you to replay the price action: https://www.tradingview.com/v/YWEMtdaE/. ANALYSIS HOLDS AT RANGE: In that analysis, we defined a few structural points, namely the 1.07488-1.07353 resistance range, as well as a cautiously early target as "TG-1 = 1.05260 - 06 MAR 14", drawn against the plotted points of a Bullish Bat. The "Bat vs. my predictive analysis" point here was to emphasize how price is not always the best indicator to define a trend, since the proprietary system applied herein is price-independent. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS CAN TRUMP PRICE: In fact, we just proved yesterday and today a similar point, when our targets for the EURUSD were defined above the multi-year resistance trendline, and yet both target got hit consecutively, one candle at a time. See where the THIRD target rests here: https://www.tradingview.com/v/M9a5MWar/. While we await an early bearish reversal signal followed by a bearish market reversal confirmation, I thought it might be worth a Friday's while to look at a next level of complexity regarding eh Wolfe Waves Patterns. WOLFE WAVES PATTERN: As you may recall from prior explanation, the Wolfe Waves pattern ("WW") represents a rather advanced, complex market geometry, in which trend, counter-trend and trendline all work together to exact an area of reversal and a target. Now, add to that mix "trendline transposition", and you'd become atuned to the next level of WW complexity. Here, I am referring to the use of the 2-4 Line, which if cut and paste, and placed at the tip end of Point-3, projects parallel to its original 2-4 Line, but away from the 1-3-5 Line. DEFINING 3-5' & 3-5'' LINES: In fact, the transposed 2-4 Line now becomes the 3-5-prime (written as 3-5' Line), and "physically acts as a discreet but efficient overhead resistance IN CASE price was to BACA (i.e.: Break Above, Close Above") point-5. The example in the chart is LIVE and supportive of this technical reality, as 5' has dutifully acted as the point of reversal, as it should - There is also a 5-second, or 5" point, which is none other than that same 1-4 Line transposed and originating not from Point-3, but from Point-1, effectively becoming the 1-5'' Line. 3-5' ADVANTAGES: While it seems that these various lines allow the trader to chase after price, remember that these lines are very reliable as a FIRST advantage. In fact, I find 5' more reliable than Point-5, as price often tends t favor that loftier level of reversal. As a SECOND advantage, Point-5, 5' and 5'' allow the trader to set stop-losses quite tightly, thus affording larger rewards to risk ratios. OVERALL: (additional text below chart) ----------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: Forecasts, analyses and directional opinions generated herein are for educational purposes only and are not trading recommendations. We trust that you will do your own due diligence first, then seek professional advice from a licensed professional, then enter the market at your own perils - David Alcindor - TradingView.com Alias: 4xForecaster