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Launch Chart
19 hours ago
EURJPY, 240 Long
17 643
There are several EURO news events this morning (pmi´s and retail sales). Depending on whether they are favorable or unfavorable as a whole, we could have an opportunity to trade out of those news events with the reversal of an advanced price pattern that is nearing its completion on the 4H timeframe. Price is already testing the potential reversal zone and this set up qualifies as a “trade candidate” and goes on my watch list.

When defining the potential reversal zone (PRZ) for a Gartley pattern, we look at the projection of three harmonic levels. I: the 786 retracement of XA, II: an AB = CD pattern and III: a BC expansion converging in the same area (in this case 1272 BC). This defines a tight zone, about 26 pips wide, represented by the orange lines in the chart. Should price action reverse convincingly, I would enter long. SL goes 10 pips behind the next support level. TP1 = 382 retracement of AD and TP2 = 618 retracement of AD.

There are 220 pips to be made (if this pair follows the script) and the trade has a reward – risk ratio of 2.0!
1 day ago
SPY, D Neutral
33 1478
So I Saw Yet Another $1000 Dollar System For Sale.

This Marketer Actually Had A Decent System…But Left A Lot Of Key…And I Mean Important Information Out. Likely To Get People To Pay For His Weekly Picks.
***I’m Tired Of These Marketers Hyping Up A System…Charging A Premium…And Taking Money From People Who After Taking The Course Don’t Even Realize How Much They Haven’t Been Taught.

***I’ve been Selling Option Premium For Income For A Long Time. Wanted To See If There Is Any Interest From The Community...

NOTE-This is only 1 Rule To The System. Wanted To See If We Have Any Weekly Options Premium Sellers. If We Do Leave Comment Below and I will Code The Rest Of Rules.

Rules Included On Chart:
- Just Text Saying When Conditions = Selling Bull Put Spreads (Credit)
- The Condition Stays True Until Either Of The EMA’s Turn Yellow


Rules I Would Need To Add if There Is Interest
- Condition When To Sell Premium Both Above and Below
- Condition When Market is In Downtrend Condition = Selling Bearish Call Spreads (Credit)
- Days Of Week Ideal For Selling Weekly Premium.
- Adding in Complete Market Index Filters To The Individual Stocks (VERY IMPORTANT)

Happy To Do…But A Lot Of Work If We Don’t Have Any Options Premium Sellers.

Leave Comment Below If You Have Any Interest In A Weekly Options System
7 hours ago
BTCUSD, 60 Neutral
1 660
I don't often go to the 1hr time frame, but I'm hunting around for a better long entry on a retracement. This is just something to keep on the radar for the time being. A move above 'C' will invalidate this pattern, and really both 'C' and 'B' are ever so slightly not "perfect" (see below). On the whole this looks to be a well formed pattern. This would be a long trade/buy opportunity, which would only be taken at the 'D' completion point... if price gets there.

The butterfly contains an ABCD pattern preceded by a significant low (X) or high. This pattern is found only at significant market tops or bottoms.
Requirements:

'B' point should be a .786 retracement of the XA leg
'C' point should be either .382 or .886 retracement of AB
Swing from A to D should be a 1.272 or 1.618 extension of XA
'D' Must be below 'X'
A valid ABCD must be observed in the extension move (AD)
*Ideally*, the two triangles will be nearly equal in time, XAB and BCD. Otherwise, look for BCD to complete between 1.272 and 1.618.
A move beyond 1.618 renders the pattern invalid and suggests a strong trend continuation in progress.
4 hours ago
EURUSD, 30 Neutral
6 330
1. As a novice trader, one of the biggest mistakes you can make, especially after having had a number of successful trades, is thinking you know what you are doing when you actually don´t. This will be the cause of every trading error you have the potential to make.

2. It takes absolutely no skill at all to place a winning trade. It does to consistently do it.

3. Be unoriginal. Save the innovative strategies and custom indicators for when you have learned how to trade.

4. Do not judge a trade on its result. A good trade can turn out a loser. A bad trade can turn out a winner.

5. Don’t focus too much on making money in the beginning. As you are still improving, it should not be your goal to make money. It should be your goal to make good trades.

6. In trading, there is no supervisor or manager reviewing every decision before it’s made. Success, for better or worse, is totally self-dependent. This is not for everybody. Find out if it’s for you.

7. Though this site has many of its members emphasizing on technical analysis, don’t underestimate the impact of fundamentals on price action. Understanding them will increase your edge in trading.

8. Don’t overemphasize the importance of finding the best trading system. Equally important are psychology and money management.

9. Online chat rooms can be good learning tools and from time to time very entertaining, but beware of entering trades that are not part of your trading plan or trade setups that you have not studied for yourself.

10. Eliminate your mistakes. Do this on a daily basis, mistake per mistake. Eventually you will run out of mistakes to make.
16 hours ago
BTCUSD, 240 Short
7 544
Potential bearish Bat Pattern completion at a pretty decent resistance level.

There's not much at all that has caught my attention in the Forex market and I've got about an hour left before my trading day starts, so just having some fun by looking around and seeing what else is out there.

2 hours ago
USDJPY, 60 Short
17 251
Multiple potential advanced patterns setting up on the USDJPY all around the same area. We've yet to break out of this consolidation, but if we do before Friday's Jobs number, we have a good location to look for our next short.

Before I get a million nasty messages no, I don't think dollar weakness and Yen strength long term, but that's what makes me a "Trader" and not an "investor" I don't have a long term bias when trading on shorter term charts. I take the setups as they come bullish or bearish despite my personal fundamental outlook.
15 hours ago
USDCAD, 240 Short
4 396
This pair has been trading sideways for a couple of days, oscillating around the 1.25 level. And as we know, consolidation breeds advanced price patterns. Today there is a host of Canadian and US data coming out that could give it an impulse. The key US data point today will be the ADP employment change. Its the prelude to NFP and might give us a hint of what that figure will be like on Friday. The key Canadian news event will be the rate statement by the BoC, where we will find out whether the BoC will cut or hold. Yesterdays positive GDP figure could mean they wont cut (yet). We shall see.

On the technical side, we have the contour of a bearish Gartley pattern developing on the 4H timeframe. Price has travelled 40% from C towards the potential reversal zone (PRZ) and this set up qualifies as a “trade candidate” for my watch list. When defining the potential reversal zone (PRZ) for a Gartley pattern, we look at the projection of three harmonic levels. I: the 786 retracement of XA, II: an AB = CD pattern and III: a BC expansion converging in the same area (in this case 1414 BC). This defines a tight zone, about 20 pips wide, represented by the orange lines in the chart. Should price action test the PRZ and reverse convincingly, I would enter short. SL goes 10 pips behind X. TP1 = 382 retracement of AD and TP2 = 618 retracement of AD.

There are 134 pips to be made (if this pair follows the script) and the trade has a reward – risk ratio of 2.0!
20 hours ago
BTCUSD, 120 Long
7 335
i have two prelim targets for the end of wave a of 5 depending on where (iv) ends (it might need updating). a more conservative target is 306 which is where wave fives more commonly end (61.8% of 1~3). i have another target of 324 if wave (v) extends 100% of (1~3). i like 324 because it's close to the ideal 320 target and has the right look ending near the ((i)) to ((iii)) connecting line but not actually touching
5 hours ago
GBPAUD, D Short
8 151
I am looking to short as the price has completed a double top at the top of rising channel. Stochastic crossed overbought region confirming the sell signal. Good luck
13 hours ago
SPX500, W Neutral
3 273

As SP500 has been losing momentum in the last 6 months and seems to be reaching what could be the TOP (In time and price), it becomes increasingly relevant to take a step back a reevaluate extreme scenarios.

In any case what seems clear is that SP500 could be above 10,000 in the years 2030.

The question is whether SP500 is going to suffer a 50%+ dive in the next 2 to 4 years and if that correction will be slow/painful or will come as a fast shock (maybe the second then the first).

As Governments have already used all their easing ammunitions, if there is a problem, it may take longer to resolve.

This is all vague at this stage. The take away is that markets often work in trio and a third leg down of 50% is possible.

Of course, thinking of 50% down seems ridiculous when most managers currently wonder if SP500 will reach 2300 this year but it was the same in 2000 and 2007: nobody could foresee what was coming and everybody was looking up.

Note: in 2013 and 2014, many prominent analysts were forecasting large corrections... They are instinct now. The move is therefore more likely to occur.
1 day ago
BTCUSD, D Neutral
6 1157
Still currently in a long position since $260 and waiting for signs of a reversal. We could either fade out here or go parabolic into the $300s. Considering the news catalyst, I think we will probably go parabolic sooner rather than later and meet resistance around the same place as last time, where I will start looking for shorts. If the trend stays healthy and volume isn't extraordinary, I may keep partial longs and wait for another breakout.

Either way, the top of this channel looks like a good target for longs if you've been long. What happens after that is what will decide the overall trend. We will either make a higher low and continue up or crash down below baseline support, which is a bad sign.

It all depends on the speed. If we approach $310-$320 sooner rather than later with large volume, then it's a short signal with a lower low on shorter time frames for confirmation.

BTC donations welcome:
15kykEJ8EnPcpx2e4jpVRx3EVCeuSWEdx5
17 hours ago
GER30, 1M Neutral
0 195

Removing the 1998/2000 excess allows to extract an hypothetical channel.

The bigger channel is there for the general idea.

The Channel that actually matters for trading (the dashed one), would also be at 12,500 in Jul15.

To keep on the radar if manages to reaches that target on time.

Other note: by july at 12,500 the rally from Oct14 to Jul15 will look similar to the Sep99/Mar00 climax
6 hours ago
BTCUSD, 120 Neutral
3 178
Does not feel like the 50 period SMA can hold this up... sticking to original call from March 1st on the pull back.
11 hours ago
AUDUSD, 240 Long
7 287
With multiple bounces of various support levels and the breakout of the long term downtrend trendline, finally we should see some strength in AUDUSD. I have two main targets for an upside swing, however, pair might retrace back to 0.7780 before / if going to hit the target. On the downside note, breakout below 0.7740 would invalidate these analyses and could once again send pair lower toward 0.7640 area.
22 hours ago
GBPUSD, 240 Short
0 466
GBP/USD has formed Head and shoulder pattern in 4 hours chart. The neckline is around 1.5350 and any break below will confirm the short term bearishness.

On the downside break below will target 1.5300/1.5240 in short term.

The pair’s minor resistance is around 1.5460 and above that would pave way for 1.5505/1.5550 in short term.

Indicators (4 hour chart)
CCI (50) – Sell
CCI (14) – Sell
Ichimoku- Sell

Recommendation: Sell GBP/USD around 1.5375-85, SL 1.5460, Targets 1.5305/1.5255.
17 hours ago
SPX500, D Neutral
2 220
Update:

The top is likely to be in place.

Top stickiness above 2090.

Key levels:
2090 - Below which dynamics could be faster.
2000 - Support likey to be broken decisively this time
1900 - Probably a buy to 2140 / Jul15
5 hours ago
USDCAD, 60 Long
1 130
With the huge drop of this pair thanks to the relatively good numbers announced for USD and the unchanged interest rate for CAD, we are sooner near to completion of this Cypher pattern than expected. It's not quite in the reversal zone yet but a little further down during tomorrow's early session is certainly possible.
9 hours ago
BTCUSD, 60 Short
5 155
My feeling is that this may be happening.
Everyone has been expecting $300 plus, but to me this looks like a 3 wave impulse ending at 295.
Also there's the divergence on the CCI that has been present the whole way up.
CCI failign on the red overhead resistance too.
And RSI is topping .
If so I'm looking for a buy in the retrace zone.
Comments please. (ignore my EW numbering as usual DanV) :-)
Thanks a lot
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