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Launch Chart
22 hours ago
EURUSD, 240 Long
13 875
After the steep decline yesterday I was wondering why this pair stopped where it did and I found 3 reasons for it.

- A bullish Gartley pattern
- A bullish Butterfly pattern where D is the 1.618 extension of AB
- A previous gap that can act as support

Furthermore, the Fib extensions for both patterns (1.272 for Gartley and 1.618 for Butterfly align nicely)

22 hours ago
7 659

1 - 575.65 - 27 FEB 2015


2 - 405.95 - 27 FEB 2015


Large simple symmetrical a-b = c-d patterns aim for similar vicinity.

1 - The largest in light blue projects into the Model's range of 575.65 to 405.95

2 - The smallest in light purple projects slight above the Model's first target of 575.95

Averaged projection of the blue terminal and purple terminal levels is (623.69 + 501.17)/2 = 562.43, or slightly right at the Model's first target of 575.95


Momental lines (representing dominant rated of change in price throughout any timeframe, running independent from channel lines) can be seen in the chart as running from bottom left to upper right. This is to contrast with a long-term bearish channel which is running from top-left to bottom-right.

These momental lines are likely to remain in force in this case, as in any other cases, imposing their omni-present forces on price, ... in this particular case acting as an overhead resistance.


Price action is likely to seek a denouement in the shaded area. The arrow shows the probable direction of price. Invalidation of this would need to meet two important tests:

1 - Transgression of the momental line


2 - Committed accession above the 1944 level, whereby price would Break-Across + Close-Across ("BACA").

Stay tuned,

David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA


David Alcindor

22 hours ago
6 640
I have been publishing multiple forecasts for the past few days, the price indeed reached my targeted resistance area at the 50-days SMA and 0.7620 before forming a bearish pin bar, which suggest a potential setback and resumption of the overall bear trend. For previous analysis check the related links below..

I already placed my limit sell order at 0.7575 level.

Thank you for reading , be one of the first members of my new trading portal, check my new website http://thefxchannel.com/ , vote and subscribe. Thank you

Trading Criteria:
1. Trades are taken in two units
2. First unit would be closed at first target
3. Stop loss is then moved to break-even
4. Second unit would be closed at second target
5) If 90 percent of first target is reached I move stop loss to breakeven.
6) If 90 percent of first target is reached without triggering entry I cancel the trade.
7) Remember: Losing is a main part of the game
Good luck, keep your stops tight..
My best regards
1 day ago
EURUSD, 240 Long
30 1237
Hey gang, lot's of dollar strength today and after big moves we typically see some relief. Below is a link to my weekly trading video where I'll walk you through the 3 different opportunities that the EURUSD will offer us to get long.

"What The Internet Won't Tell You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUA_hZ3DaNY&feature=youtu.be
22 hours ago
EURAUD, 240 Neutral
7 156
2 bat patterns on EURAUD together with a current downtrend of lower highs lower lows might indicate that there is some further downside to this pair.
We might be looking at a reversal around the completion of the red bat pattern (structure present) or even a little deeper to complete the blue one ...

Are these patterns going to complete ? Nobody knows ... but I'll certainly keep an eye on it
1 day ago
BTCUSD, D Neutral
10 1456
On the left is our $266 high in 2013, on the right is our current volatile drop to $166 flipped upside down. A month ago I made a thread about how I believed we were in the middle of a shorting\bearish bubble, posted here:

And today, with our 20\20 retrospect goggles on, we can see that having formed out in the charts. These moves are partly harmonic\fractal because of the nature of markets to find a equilibrium, but I believe it shows the bubble cycle mentality that is so common in Bitcoin. In the past, the only way to participate in the price action was to buy. There was no ability to short on any exchange until basically 2014, where we saw the advent of the bear market. This means that the bears, like the bulls, need to have their chance at the extremely volatile, bubble-like nature of Bitcoin, and undergo a shorting bubble just like the bulls had a longing bubble.

I threw the ascending wedge pattern in there for shits and giggles, but I honestly do not know where this consolidation pattern will lead us (as my related idea below shows). I just find it fascinating how Bitcoin loves to repeat it's patterns; it loves it's fractals.

I used the April 2013 bubble because it fit the shape I was looking for more in form than the Nov 2013 one did where we twin-topped (inb4 accusations of form-fitting). If you scroll to Nov on the left chart then you can see what I am talking about, I added a few of my markings for comparison.

Let me know what you think! I'm liking the historical analysis "series" I've been doing, for some reason I keep finding these things. Like, comment, and follow!
1 day ago
SPX500, W Neutral
8 200
except from grinding higher, SPX is going to find it very difficult to climb significantly higher in the next 5 weeks.
21 hours ago
0 499
Breaking out from a 5 wave Symmetrical Triangle(down median bias), clearing 20-50 sma, downtrend_line(s), above/at 50%. RSI at 55, clearing horizontal resistance.
13 hours ago
GER30, D Neutral
5 200
The last few days were very strong and came as a surprise in posture where all indices could have corrected.

The correction is still pending and could happen any time although grinding higher is very possible now that the motion is in place.

The blue trajectory is just speculation for now.

As per my previous trade with stop 10400 on close - today it worked. let's see monday.
19 hours ago
GBPUSD, 15 Long
9 174
In this chart I decided to focus on timing momentum via the use of fundamental events.
These are the pieces of information the market will be expecting before deciding in its direction.
The events in red are the ones that will create the strongest volatility when announced, non-farm payrolls and the interest rate decision by the BoE.
Smaller news mostly have an impact on retail traders who create the small momentum surges we see here, while the larger timeframe trader (institutions and large speculators) continue in the direction they had established before, which created the trend in the first place.
Small surges of supply create the peaks and troughs, but paradigm shifts will be fueled by fundamental events, observable in the chart as well.
As long as the 1.54 level holds, and if we see price move away from it, upwards, I expect cable to rally further, easily reaching 1.58 in the short term.
Let's see how this unfolds, shall we?
20 hours ago
EURUSD, 60 Short
1 441
EUR/USD has broken major support 1.1260(S1) ,this confirms short term bearishness and reach till 1.1100 cannot be ruled out .

On the upside minor resistance is around 1.12600 (R1 Support turned into resistance) and aby break above could open way for another test of 1.1300/1.1346 (200 day HMA).

Indicators (1 hour chart)
CCI (50) – Sell
CCI (14) – Sell
Ichimoku- Sell

Recommendation: Sell EUR/USD around 1.1260, SL 1.1305, Target 1.100.

1 day ago
5 866
The NZD/USD has been in a significant downtrend since July of 2014 as the USD strength continues to rule the FX Market.

We have seen quite a dramatic pullback within the NZD/USD that has now set us up for an excellent selling opportunity to trade back in line with the overall downtrend.

We have 8 factors of confluence on the daily chart that support a bearish bias.

1. Trading With The Trend
2. Pinbar Sell Signal
3. Double Top Formation
4. Rejection of 50 EMA
5. Rejection of .5-.618 Fib Retracement
6. Rejection of Key Resistance at .7600 (Previous Key Support)
7. Rejection of Descending Channel Trendline
8. Bearish Wedge Continuation Pattern

We have two entry options available to use, both offering great risk-reward ratios.

I expect this market to breakdown and target the next KEY weekly support at 72 cents. Breaking below 72 cents opens up the gates for 70 cents as the next downside target.
11 hours ago
3 201
Gold been tough for longs in the last 3 weeks.

The last chance is probably here.

Long 20% 1213 stop 1175 on close.
1 day ago
EURUSD, 240 Short
6 188
Target: 1.0830
Risk: 1.1675

Technical Reasons:

The price succeeded to exit the sideways range by breaking its support line, and the next target is the recently recorded bottom at 1.1096.

The exponential moving averages 50 and 100 form negative pressure, and MACD offers bearish trend signals that reinforce the expected decline.

16 hours ago
NUGT, D Long
4 51
ABCD patterns repeating, if we confirm escape velocity from the trend line to the upside, another ABCD completion looking good, then green arrow down, and repeat yet again? Top long term trend resistance at D, but red or blue? we will see. IMO.
10 hours ago
AAPL, M Long
5 120
AAPL is now worth over $700 Billion. The company had a record quarter ( understatement) thanks in part to sales of their iPhone 6 . The return on the stock this month is ~ 10.3 %.

Apple will hold an event in a few weeks to introduce new products. You can expect more detail and official launch date for the Apple watch , Macbook air "2", and perhaps an 12.9" iPad ( running full OS X ??) .

REUTERS reports that the tech giant asked its Asian suppliers to make 6 million units of its three Apple Watch models. At a starting price of $349 , the Apple watch is quite expensive and may be a concern for some investors. Can Apple really sell a watch that needs a different charger AND needs to be charged EVERY night ? o_O , only time will tell.

If the Apple Watch is a success , this could potentially add approx $ 5 billion/quarter. In any case , Apple remains a solid long positions, and may reach $150 by the end of the year , as many have suggested. Still long.


12 hours ago
USOIL, D Neutral
1 118

Trading is tough here except with tight stop (which are likely taken away)

I would buy again if trades below 43
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