Bitcoin - Buy now! Ready to pump to 125 000 (alt season)I recommend buying Bitcoin as the price is ready to go much higher in February. The current price is 98,000, and I expect Bitcoin to hit 111,000 in the immediate short term. 111k is a strong resistance because it's the top of the ascending parallel channel. Bitcoin has been in this channel for 91 days since November 2024. Then later this year in summer, Bitcoin will reach 125k.
But we should focus on altcoins in the next months! Why? Because a huge alt season is starting! Let's take a look at the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart because this is the major indicator of altcoin seasons. As per my analysis, the price recently hit a strong resistance and needs to go down to 48%. We could experience the greatest alt season in years, so be ready! Make sure you have the right altcoins. Ethereum is definitely one of the altcoins that will outperform Bitcoin in the next months.
I am very bullish on Bitcoin and on the overall crypto market for the next weeks and months! Now is the time to buy, but let me know in the comment section, what do you think?
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
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GOLD → News ahead. Price is testing the risk zone 2881FX:XAUUSD within the correction is testing the key risk zone from which either a continuation of the trend or a deeper correction will take place.
In the center of attention is the US CPI data, which may give a new impetus to prices.
Markets remain in uncertainty over Trump's possible tariffs and Fed policy. According to WSJ, the president's administration is preparing new tariffs and this is another dose of risks for the global economy.
Powell said that the Fed is in no hurry to change course, which raised expectations of a single rate cut in July and strengthened bond yields. Gold's further movement depends on inflation data and Trump's tariffs. If CPI exceeds forecasts, the dollar will strengthen and gold will fall in price. Weak data, on the contrary, may support the metal's growth.
Resistance levels: 2898, 2910, 2929
Support levels: 2881, 2870, 2855
A false break of the support at 2881 would mean that the market is still bullish and quite aggressive. If the bulls keep the price above 2881 - 2885, then in the short and medium term we should expect a rise to 2930 - 2950.
If gold breaks 2881 and sticks below this zone, then liquidation may take place in the market and the price may decline to 2855, 2848.
The situation is stalemate, as there is news ahead and that is why we should consider 2 scenarios.
Regards R. Linda!
30% Bitcoin correction to circa $72kOn the above 2 day chart price action has printed 100% gain since September. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook in the near term. They include:
1) Price action failed support.
2) RSI and MFI failed support.
3) Strong bearish divergence with price action. 10 oscillators price negative divergence with price action at this time.
4) The $72k forecast is the 50% Fibonacci level.
5) What will happen to overbought alt tokens? Nothing good.
Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs like most Youtube shills are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has been moving in a range-bound and choppy manner over the past week. However, as long as the price does not break below the identified support level, we expect it to rise at least toward the specified target zone.
A break above the key resistance area could provide a buying opportunity, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish trend. If this resistance is breached, further upside movement may be expected.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Mobileye: The GAP is a TrapNASDAQ:MBLY : Calling it again!
The GAP is a Trap!
I'll gladly buy more with my Covered Calls Premium I made after that last POP! 😋
$20+ is coming! 🎯
Recent Lyft Robotaxi partnership news had them ripping to a tune of 18% at one point yesterday.
A massive pullback today, and I believe we will fill this GAP before continuing higher.
Not financial advice
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we update you on our 4h chart idea that we shared earlier this week.
Once again we started with our Bullish target hit at 2867 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2894, which was hit perfectly with a further cross and lock above 2894 opening 2924 also hit completing this range. No further cross and lock above 2924 confirmed the rejection for the move down.
The lower Goldturns are providing support for the bounce and establishing a range between 2867 and 2924. We will look for a test and cross and lock on either level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2867 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2894 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2924 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2952
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2952 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2979
BEARISH TARGETS
2833
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2800
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2771 - 2743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Tesla Stock Rattled as Insiders Dump Shares. What’s Going On?EV maker’s sales in Europe have made a sharp U-turn this year with some regions selling half the volumes from a year ago. Is Musk’s political ambition causing car buyers to look elsewhere for electric wheels?
Tesla stock TSLA is off to a bumpy start of the year with 10% shaved off its market valuation since the first trading bell of 2025. It’s all likely tied to Elon Musk’s shifting focus from his electric-car giant and into US politics (and, some would say, beyond that and into European affairs).
To make matters worse, key insiders and directors dumped tons of shares this month, cashing out cold hard dollars. Elon Musk’s brother, Kimbal Musk, who’s a Tesla board member, together with two other key figures, Robyn Denholm and chief financial officer Vaibhav Taneja, sold roughly 200,000 shares.
Kimbal Musk offloaded 75,000 shares worth $27.6 million on February 6. Before that, on February 3, Denholm sold 112,390 shares worth more than $43 million. On the same day, Taneja parted ways with 7,000 shares worth $2.8 million.
The share sale is happening at a time when it’s getting increasingly difficult for Tesla to keep its brand equity out of Elon Musk’s public image. In January, Musk was making headline after headline on the politics pages of big media outlets.
His efforts to reshape the White House administration spilled over into interfering with UK politics (where he attacked UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer over his alleged involvement with “mass rapes in exchange for votes” ).
The Tesla CEO also hosted a discussion on X with Germany’s far-right candidate Alice Weidel. It happened about a month before Germany’s federal election on February 23. The live event pulled in roughly 100,000 streamers and sparked a debate over whether it was right to give a free platform to a far-right political party of a foreign country. There’s also Musk’s gesture likened to a Nazi salute he pulled off at Trump’s inauguration — that one really turned heads globally.
Enough politics, let’s dive into the numbers.
Tesla sales were shockingly bad in January. All around Europe, car buyers opted for cheaper Chinese alternatives in a sea of looming competition in the auto industry .
In the UK, sales dipped about 8% from last year’s January. Chinese EV maker BYD BYD saw a massive jump by 550% to 1,614 cars sold. In Germany, sales of Tesla vehicles dropped 60%, while BYD sales rose 69%. France logged a 63% decline in sales of Tesla while Spain saw the steepest drop of 75%. Norway registered a 38% drop in Tesla sales while Tesla’s market in Sweden shrunk 44%. In China, where Tesla commands a towering presence, sales were down 11.5% in the first month of 2025.
Moving outside Europe and across the Atlantic — California marked a decline in Tesla sales to the tune of 11.6%. It was the only carmaker with tumbling sales in the state.
"All of the decrease in the state market last year was attributable to Tesla, which had an 11.6 percent decline," the California New Car Dealers Association said. "Registrations for all other brands increased 1.4 percent."
By the looks of it, Tesla isn’t in a good place fundamentally and shares are down 28% from their record high in December. It’s also coming from a pretty battering fourth quarter where profits plunged 71% while sales barely made it above the flatline with a 2% growth year over year.
Do you believe Tesla’s fortunes are tied to Elon Musk’s ventures into politics? And if you had to choose, are you long or short Tesla? Share your thoughts below!
Lingrid | GOLD capitalizing on the PULLBACK. Potential LONG The price has perfectly fulfilled my previous forecast . It quickly reached the target zone, surging and testing the area just below the next key resistance level above. The rapid pullback from the resistance suggests that we might be experiencing a buying climax. Nevertheless, the market is forming an ABCD pullback, with completion point potentially aligning with the previous weekly high. This area could present an opportunity to go long in anticipation of a retest of the recent resistance zone. However, with Fed Chair Powell's testimony coming up, there’s a possibility the price could dip even lower, reaching around 2825. If we see a rejection at the support zone 2870 - 2880, we can expect a continuation of the prevailing trend. My goal is resistace zone around 2950
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BTC’s Next Move Mapped Out—Don’t Miss This Breakout!Hey guys,
If we look at BTC structure we could believe with me that BTCUSDT is setting up for a massive breakout with a classic flag-and-pole formation in play! After a 27% explosive rally from the external demand zone, price faced rejection at the external supply area, forming a perfect bull flag, a potential textbook sign of bullish continuation.
The recent corrective phase has been smart money accumulation, with liquidity grabs shaking out weak hands before the next big move!
The immediate demand zone has held strong, and that fakedown? Pure liquidity engineering!
With a breakout from the descending channel, bulls are regaining control, setting up for a surge toward $108,089 first, before aiming for the flag-and-pole target at $120,843! If BTC flips the external supply zone into support, we could see new highs unlocked!
Is this the moment before liftoff?
What’s your take—are you bullish or still waiting for confirmation?
Drop your thoughts below!
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD - H4, H1 forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasIntraday forecast
The downtrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave.
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
2- Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs
SL: Below 1.0331
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Bitcoin will continue to grow and exit from triangle patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke this level, and dropped until to support line of the triangle, breaking the support level too. Next, BTC turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking 95000 and 100000 levels, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price later fell below the 100K level, breaking it, and continued to fall next. Later BTC rose to the 100K resistance level, but at once turned around and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from the buyer zone and reached the resistance line of the triangle, and then corrected back. Then Bitcoin started to grow, so, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rise to the resistance line and break it, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern. Then BTC will continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 99K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 Chart - Channel Breakout (12.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2835
2nd Support – 2797
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Are you ready for $180,000 Bitcoin?BTC remains firmly bullish, and the market structure continues to align with the Elliott Wave framework, despite short-term volatility. The rounding bottom formation is still in play, and its full potential has yet to unfold. Price has completed sub-wave 4, and we are now awaiting the final leg to complete this mini-cycle before the emergence of the larger macro waves.
The broader expectation remains a rally towards $180,000, a level that will likely be reached when market sentiment is at its weakest, as institutions and whales continue accumulating retail sell-offs.
Patience is key—stay ahead of the market and play smart.
TESLA Is this the right time to buy again?Right at the start of the year (January 02, see chart below) we issued a Sell Target on Tesla (TSLA) at $330:
This was based on the 1-year Parabolic Growth Channel of the stock, which formed a Higher High and was already in the rejection phase. The 330 Target was hit yesterday, the price touched the bottom of the Channel and we already see a recovery attempt today.
The condition that completes the strong buy sentiment that is emerging on Tesla, is that it hit yesterday the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since October 23 2024. As you can see, the last two times that the stock traded on its 1D MA100, it was the most optimal buy opportunity.
Following a -33% decline on the previous two corrections of the Parabolic Channel, we've always seen an immediate rebound of at least +43.38%. As a result, we expect Tesla to initiate the new Bullish Leg, which, before a Higher High, can target on the short-term $465 (+43.38%).
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Scalper’s Paradise – Insights on Evolving Technical LevelsThis is my first post, and I’ll do my best. However, I might not know how to update the post or even view the comments. So, in advance, I apologize for any issues that may arise. :)
Now, let’s dive in with a snapshot of a 1-minute chart. Here, you can see the developing VPOC line along with the VWAP line. These aren’t just random indicators—they are volume-based indicators, meaning the data comes directly from the exchange system. This makes them highly relevant for traders, as they provide crucial insights into market activity.
But what exactly does this mean?
The developing VPOC line (Volume Point of Control) represents the price level with the highest traded volume of the day. It is often displayed when using a Volume Profile.
On the other hand, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a standalone indicator that calculates the average price based on volume. Essentially, the VWAP line divides the chart into two key areas:
Above VWAP → Favorable for short positions (or considered expensive for long positions).
Below VWAP → Favorable for long positions (or considered expensive for sellers).
These levels help traders gauge price efficiency and market sentiment throughout the day.
Insights from My Time as an Institutional Junior Trader
As a junior trader in the institution, my job was simple: follow orders. This meant I was told what to trade and in which direction—I was responsible for executing the trades at the best possible price.
Now, as an institutional trader, I execute thousands of trades a day, which naturally results in an average price due to the sheer number of trades executed at different price levels.
So, how is my execution evaluated throughout the day? Exactly—against the Volume Profile and VWAP.
For example, if I need to buy a large quantity and my executions are concentrated in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart, it means I’ve done a good job—I’ve secured a better-than-average price. On the other hand, if my trades are mostly in the upper area, it means I haven't performed well, as I couldn’t even beat the average price.
Let’s put on our thinking cap and bring everything together.
Imagine you need to accumulate a long position, and you’ve been buying thousands of times, resulting in an average price.
Now, let’s assume you are an institutional junior trader, and your boss instructs you to buy. You’ve already accumulated 85% of the position, and your average price is in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart. Suddenly, the price has risen, and you have the opportunity to buy the remaining 15% at the VWAP.
Would you take the trade? Of course, you would.
Why? Because 15% won’t significantly move your average price, and you’re still buying at a reasonable level.
And that’s exactly how institutional traders operate all the time. They are constantly evaluated against these key indicators (VWAP & Volume Profile)—just like I was.
How You Can Apply This as a Retail Trader
So far, we’ve discussed just a small aspect of trading, but now you understand that levels matter and that institutional traders think differently when it comes to buying.
While retail traders often focus on getting the best price, institutional traders prioritize average price. This fundamental difference leads to completely different trading styles.
Now that you know how institutions operate, you can start watching the key levels provided by indicators like VWAP and Volume Profile. These aren’t just static levels—they are developing levels, meaning you can use them multiple times throughout the day.
Monitor these key levels throughout the session.
Pay close attention to order flow when price approaches these levels.
Identify who is in control—buyers or sellers—so you can take action accordingly.
By combining these insights with the order flow, you can make more informed and precise trading decisions—just like the institutions do. 🚀
Sincerely,
Marco
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
A bit of a dissapointing CPI even though it moved, it didn't break the range! So now we're back in the accumulation range with MA's surrounding the candles pending another breakout. We've near enough played the range box box yesterday and completed nearly all KOG's bias of the day and red box targets for the day, so not bad to end.
Now, we have support below 2890 and resistance at 2903 with range high at 2918. We would say as long as support can hold we will potentially see more upside to stretch out those traders targeting that wick.
Not much more to say team.
KOGs Bias of the day:
Bearish below 2910 with targets below 2885(HIT) and below that 2870(HIT)
Bullish on break of 2910 with targets above 2934, 2945 and above that 2947
RED BOXES:
Break above 2890 for 2895, 2902 and 2905 and 2912 in extension of the move
Break below 2980 for 2875(HIT) and 2867(HIT) and 2865(HIT) and 2860 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
"Pinnacle Wave Theory: $110 Framework" The Long Position Target: $110,357
Let’s talk about the significance of the $110,357 level and why I’ve chosen this as the next important milestone in Bitcoin’s price action. Originally, the ultimate target of $114,000 is still valid, but we’re adjusting expectations and bringing it down slightly to $110,357. Here’s why:
Why Adjust from $114,000 to $110,357?
The $114,000 target represents the broader potential for Bitcoin, but to stay practical and avoid overanalyzing, $110,357 provides a more realistic short-term focus.
This level aligns with liquidity zones where the market is likely to pause. It’s a safer point to monitor for a potential pullback rather than waiting for a full extension to $114,000.
What Makes $110,357 Significant?
Liquidity Measurement: This price represents a key area where stop-loss clusters, take-profit orders, and late trader entries are likely to occur. These factors make it a magnet for price action before any major reversal.
Psychological Impact: $110,357 is a natural level below $114,000 that allows for a controlled move without overextending.
Dynamic Pinnacle Channels: The dynamic channels I’ve constructed show bearish pressure building at higher levels, making $110,357 a natural point of exhaustion for bulls.
Guidance from the Trendline and Wick Alignment
The dotted white trendline offers a clear directional guide for price movement. It connects wick levels to candlestick body facts, which reinforces the breakout target of $104,369 and, subsequently, the push toward $110,357.
Wicks provide confirmation of bullish momentum, showing how price is being guided within the trendline structure.
The Role of Dynamic Pinnacle Channels
The Dynamic Pinnacle Channels are critical in understanding market sentiment and identifying key levels for price interaction:
Bearish Signals: These appear at the top of the channels, highlighting zones where selling pressure dominates. These levels often act as resistance points, where bullish momentum starts to slow down.
Bullish Signals: Found at the bottom of the channels, these represent areas of buying interest and market support, helping to pinpoint potential reversals.
These channels act as trend dynamics, allowing traders to visualize the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers. By watching how price interacts with the channels, you can better anticipate directional moves and prepare for critical moments in the trend.
Wick Guidance and Trendline Importance
The ray-dotted white trendline provides essential guidance for understanding the current trend and price action:
Wick Guidance:
The trendline connects the wicks of the candles, providing insight into the market’s true momentum. Wicks often reflect the market's attempts to reach specific levels before retracing.
In this case, the wicks highlight Bitcoin’s upward push toward $104,369, signaling the potential for further bullish movement.
Candlestick Body Facts:
The trendline also aligns with the candlestick bodies, offering confirmation of the prevailing trend. This alignment strengthens the narrative of a breakout toward $104,369 and subsequently $110,357.
By connecting the most recent pinnacle to the trendline, we see a clear path that price is likely to follow, reinforcing the overall direction of the market.
How Does $110,357 Fit Into the Bigger Picture?
The $110,357 level acts as a stepping stone toward the larger target of $114,000. By focusing on this intermediate level, we can make realistic decisions based on current market dynamics.
It also helps us manage expectations. Rather than getting caught up in the broader move to $114,000, we’re prioritizing a level that the market can reasonably reach before pulling back.
Trading Strategy Around $110,357
Long Position to $110,357
The breakout from $104,369 is the key confirmation for the move toward $110,357. Traders can aim for this target as part of a continued bullish trend.
I recommend using tight trailing stops as price approaches $110,357 to lock in profits and avoid getting caught in a sudden reversal.
Watch for the Pullback
After testing $110,357, a pullback is highly likely. Where this pullback ends will depend on liquidity at that time, and I’ll be measuring those levels carefully to identify potential short opportunities.
The pullback could align with the earlier target of $105,252 or stabilize lower, depending on how aggressive the bullish momentum is.
Short-Term Focus to Avoid Overthinking
By focusing on $110,357 instead of $114,000, we prevent overanalyzing or waiting for extreme moves. This ensures a practical trading approach while maintaining flexibility to adapt if the market conditions change.
Why Liquidity Matters Here
Liquidity zones play a critical role in these price movements. Levels like $99,139, $105,252, and $110,357 are magnets for price action because they hold:
Stop-loss orders from shorts
Take-profit orders from longs
Breakout entries from late traders
False breakouts often occur as price overshoots these levels by a small margin (e.g., $1,000) to grab liquidity. For example, Bitcoin could push slightly above $110,357 before reversing, trapping late buyers. This is why it’s crucial to stay vigilant at these key levels.
Final Thoughts
Pay close attention to the Dynamic Pinnacle Channels, as they continue to provide valuable context:
Bearish signals appear at the top of the channels, indicating selling pressure is building.
Bullish signals at the bottom show where buying strength is concentrated.
Additionally, the white dotted trendline remains a critical guide, showing how price action aligns with both wicks and candlestick bodies.
For now, the focus remains on $110,357 as a realistic and achievable target. Once we reach this level, we’ll reassess liquidity and market sentiment to determine the next steps, whether it’s preparing for a short position or waiting for a pullback to stabilize.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SPX: Market Reflexivity & Fractal PatternsIn this idea I would like to walk you through some principles which I use to find and relate historical complexities within rhyming cycles.
Market Reflexivity
Market reflexivity is a concept introduced by George Soros that defies the traditional TA notion of efficient markets by revealing that price movements do not merely reflect fundamentals — they actively shape them. As prices rise, optimism fuels further buying, creating a self-reinforcing loop inflating bubbles. Conversely, declining prices trigger fear, accelerating downturns. Reflexivity explains why trends persist and why reversals can be abrupt, as self-sustaining cycles eventually reach a exhaustion point.
To put it simply, there is a feedback loop between market participants’ perceptions and actual market conditions, suggesting that financial markets are not always in equilibrium because collective investor behavior actively drives price movements, which in turn influences future investor behavior.
Feedback Loops
Each massive rally eventually creates conditions that lead to overvaluation, resulting in sharp corrections.
Self-Fulfilling Expectations
Market participants, reacting to past price behavior, reinforce trends until a breaking point.
Structural Adaptation
Every major correction resets valuations, allowing for the next cycle to begin with renewed confidence and capital inflows.
Practical Application of Reflexivity
Compared to many tickers, SPX has exhibited relatively stable growth throughout history. Over the past 70 years, the most significant panic-driven decline occurred after its 2007 peak, with a 57% drop that defined a major cycle. Growth resumed in 2009, making this swing a key reference point for establishing historical relationships.
I see the Dotcom and Housing crisis-induced declines as part of a broader complexity, shaped by prior long-term growth. The two cycles appear as they do because they stem from an extended structural uptrend, not just the 250% surge from 1994 to the bubble top, which lacked a significant preceding decline. Cause-and-effect logic suggests that these crashes were a reaction to a much larger uptrend that began in 1974. A 2447% rally provides a more compelling reason for mass panic and selling, as corrections of such magnitude are rare.
Intuitively, the 2447% long-term upswing should have been preceded by a decline similar to the Dotcom and Housing crashes. This holds true, as the market experienced a nearly 50% drop after peaking in 1973 and 37% in 1968, following the same cyclical pattern of deep corrections leading to extended expansions. These corrections were relatively smaller than the Dotcom and Housing crashes because they are followed by a comparatively smaller 1452% rally from the end of WWII.
Multi-Fractals
Multifractals in market analysis describe the non-linear, self-similar nature of price movements, where volatility and risk vary across different scales. Unlike simple fractals with a constant fractal dimension, multifractals exhibit multiple fractal dimensions, creating varying levels of roughness. Benoit Mandelbrot introduced multifractal Time Series to refine the classic random walk theory, recognizing that price movements occur in bursts of volatility followed by calm periods. Instead of a single Hurst exponent, markets display a spectrum of exponents, reflecting diverse scaling behaviors and explaining why price action appears random at times but reveals structured patterns over different time horizons.
This justifies viewing price action within its structural cause-and-effect framework, where micro and macro cycles are interdependent, while oscillating at different frequencies. Therefore, we will apply the building blocks independently from boundaries of Full Fractal Cycle.
Since volatility varies, this reserves us the right to extract patterns with identical slope and roughness, and by method of exclusion relate to recent cycles starting from covid.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A perfect finish to this chart idea with our final target at 2923 now complete.
Yesterday we started with our Bullish target 2872 and then cross and lock confirmed 2885 and 2898, which was hit perfectly. This followed with ema5 lock above 2898 opening 2911 and 2923. We got the 2911 target and stated that if 2898 and 2885 Goldturns provide support now, we may get the momentum for the 2923 test sooner rather then later.
- 2898 provided the support and we got the final target at 2923 to complete this chart idea.
We spent the rest of the day buying dips from the lower weighted Goldturns, which is providing the support and bounce.
We are back within this chart range and therefore can continue to track the movement here. However we also have our 4h chart idea to track the remaining range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2885 - DONE
2898 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2898 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2911 - DONE
2923 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2836 - 2819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2794
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2782 - 2764
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX