Gold next move (expecting sell)(18-02-2026)Plz Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (18-02-2026)
Current price- 4960
"if Price stays below 4990-95 then next target is 4940, 4900, 4850 and 4760 and above that 5020 and 5100".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4940 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
AUDUSD Monthly CLS - Model 1 Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4987 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE LIFE CYCLE, STRUCTURE & PRICE LEVELSIt is timely to revisit the typical crypto market cycle, as Bitcoin continues to respect it with remarkable precision.
The macro top was confirmed in October, when BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.
From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.
Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.
Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.
Bitcoin - All ETF investors will get liquidated! (here is why)Bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:
Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)
From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!
Why can Bitcoin go to 58k in the immediate short term? There are 2 very important levels that are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.
After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!
What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?
Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send Bitcoin to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD - Consolidation ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is recovering from weekly lows of 4840 and testing strong resistance at 4944, which is holding back growth ahead of the news. The market is awaiting the publication of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting
The FOMC minutes will provide clues about the timing and scale of rate cuts. The market is still pricing in a ~60 bp cut this year.
The recent CPI report gives positive hope for a dovish tone from the regulator.
The lack of progress in the US-Iran and Russia-US-Ukraine negotiations supports demand for gold as a defensive asset. However, the strengthening of the dollar amid portfolio rebalancing limits gold's growth
Technically, the intermediate trading range of 4944-4856 has been confirmed. A retest of support could form a rebound and bring the price to a retest of 4944, which would only increase the chances of a breakout. If gold can close above 4944, the market will have a chance for a local rally to 5000.
Resistance levels: 4944, 4990, 5090
Support levels: 4906, 4877, 4956
Two key levels: 4877 - 4944. A retest of support will provide an opportunity for strengthening towards resistance, but a breakout of the 4944 level will confirm the end of the correction and allow the market to break out of the downward resistance and trigger growth towards 5K, provided that the fundamental background takes on a positive tone.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Long: Demand Support Signals Potential Upside To 5,000Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold was previously trading within a well-defined ascending channel, where price consistently respected both the dynamic support and resistance boundaries. This structure reflected strong buyer control and orderly bullish continuation, with higher highs and higher lows forming throughout the move. During this phase, multiple breakouts within the channel confirmed sustained demand and aggressive participation from buyers. Eventually, price reached a major pivot high, where bullish momentum peaked and sellers stepped in aggressively. This resulted in a sharp impulsive drop to the downside, breaking the ascending channel and signaling a temporary loss of bullish control.
Currently, gold is trading near the lower boundary of the range, holding above the rising demand line. This behavior suggests that the recent pullback is corrective rather than impulsive. As long as price continues to respect the demand zone and the ascending demand trend line, the broader structure favors buyers. The compression between rising demand and horizontal supply often precedes a directional breakout, and the current structure leans toward bullish continuation.
My primary scenario favors a bullish move as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,880 demand zone and shows acceptance along the demand line. A sustained push higher could drive price back toward the 5,000 supply level (TP1), which represents a key psychological and technical resistance. Partial profit-taking is reasonable near this area due to expected seller reaction. A clean breakout and strong acceptance above 5,000 would confirm renewed bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a decisive breakdown below demand and loss of the rising structure would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal a deeper correction. Until then, structure and demand dynamics continue to favor the upside. Manage your risk!
EUR/USD - Fed Outlook & Geopolitical Calm (18.02.2026)📊 Description✅ Setup OANDA:EURUSD
EURUSD continues to respect a descending channel structure, with price reacting from the upper boundary trendline and resistance zone.
Recent price action shows:
✔ Lower highs & lower lows
✔ Rejection near trendline resistance
✔ Price trading below cloud/dynamic resistance
✔ Bearish market structure intact
🚀Fundamentally, easing geopolitical tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations can create volatility, but technically the pair remains weak below resistance.
🧱 Support & Resistance
🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.1860 – 1.1870
🔻 1st Support: 1.1790
🔻 2nd Support: 1.1770
These are key reaction areas where liquidity may sit.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
#EURUSD #Forex #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #Trendline #FXAnalysis #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts
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Bitcoin (BTC): Wyckoff Is Telling Us Of Upcoming Big DumpNot a first time we've been looking at the wyckoff structure but since the last time we looked, we had a nice break of the neckline (a major signal of trend reversal).
If we were to base our predictions on Wyckoff structure development, we should soon see a smaller recovery and then another bigger downside movement to the regions of $45,000-$63,000.
Swallow Academy
#XAUUSD: 1500+ Intraday Trading Idea, Let's See How It GoesDear Traders,
Gold has been declining since market opening at 4950. We believe the price is likely to continue falling around $4700 which is a strong indication.
Please exercise risk management while trading gold and consider using small target sizes initially such as 300 pips before increasing the target as the trade progresses.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
Gold Price Analysis – Key Levels for Reversal and ContinuationThis analysis highlights critical resistance and support levels for gold prices. The Key Resistance Level at 5,436.306 may lead to price rejection or a breakout. The Support Zone at 5,108.116 is expected to hold, with potential for a bullish bounce. Critical Support at 4,888.856 is crucial for confirming a reversal, while Major Support at 4,700.687 could indicate further downside if broken. The Extreme Support at 4,500.193 represents a significant reversal zone, offering a potential sharp recovery
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish & Bullish Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4864 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 5055 Area
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 5105 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we gave the level of 4920 which is where we wanted price to RIP and give us a long trade into the higher level to complete the pattern test and then make its way back. We managed to get the level, we managed to get the bounce, however, it was short lived and price would have taken us at break even if we held. During the day we’ve completed our red box target levels, and we’ve managed to get some amazing trades on the indi’s, so all in all, a decent day.
For now, we have activated lower, however, price is testing the swing low here and there looks to be a bit of volume entering for the close. The immediate level of resistance which is key now is 4910 which will need to break to go higher. We have a lot on the economic calendar for the remainder of the week, so expect more ranging and choppy price action.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 4923
RED BOXES:
Break above 4935 for 4955, 4960 and 4998 in extension of the move
Break below 4915 for 4910✅, 4902✅, 4880✅ and 4866✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is trading under sustained bearish pressure after breaking below a rising trendline and key intraday support levels. Price action shows a clear shift in structure from higher highs to lower highs, confirming short-term downside momentum.
The recent selloff pushed gold into a strong demand zone around 4,830–4,860, where price is attempting to stabilize. However, sellers remain in control unless the market reclaims the 4,900–4,920 resistance area. A brief consolidation or minor pullback could occur from current levels, but failure to hold above the lower support band may trigger another leg down toward 4,820.
On the upside, a decisive rebound from the demand zone could fuel a corrective rally targeting 4,950 and potentially the 5,000 psychological resistance area. Overall, the short-term bias remains cautious to bearish, with recovery dependent on strong buying interest at the current support region.
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LINK – Weekly Support in PlayLINK is now diving into a major weekly support zone , the same area that previously acted as accumulation.
This is a key level.
As long as this weekly support holds , we will be looking for long-term longs, positioning for the next potential upside cycle.
However , for the bulls to truly take over and kickstart the next impulse, a clear break above the falling red channel is needed.
- Support first.
- Structure break second.
- Impulse follows.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The price has successfully broken above a long-term descending trendline and a major resistance zone, confirming a structural bullish shift in the higher timeframe.
After reaching the recent swing high, the pair entered a healthy corrective phase. We are now witnessing a classic pullback toward the previously broken resistance area — which is currently acting as a key support zone
The green demand zone between 1.1700 – 1.1770, previously a strong resistance area, is now being retested as major support.
Price is retracing inside a minor descending channel. This correction appears technical in nature — likely a liquidity grab and shakeout before continuation.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (1.1770) aligns perfectly with the top of the demand zone, creating a strong confluence area and increasing the probability of bullish reaction.
We anticipate price to stabilize and complete its corrective phase within the current support range.
A decisive breakout above the short-term descending trendline will confirm bullish continuation.
Upside targets would then be the recent swing high and potentially higher expansion levels.
Invalidation occurs if price breaks and closes decisively below the demand zone, which would signal deeper correction.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD - Declining demand led to a correction FX:XAUUSD remains under moderate pressure, staying below the key level of $5,000. The market is awaiting news on the US-Iran negotiations, which will be the immediate driver.
There is a lack of demand from Asia due to the Chinese New Year celebrations. The USD is up slightly amid portfolio rebalancing ahead of important data releases on Friday. Together, this is putting pressure on the metal, which has entered a correction phase but is technically within the 4880-5090 range.
The short-term dynamics of gold will be determined by the outcome of the US-Iran negotiations. Any signs of escalation will bring back demand for the safe-haven asset and push the price above $5,000.
At the moment, gold is trading below the psychological mark of $5,000, but is holding back from a deep fall. Support remains due to cautious market sentiment ahead of negotiations with Iran.
Resistance levels: 4943, 4990, 5090
Support levels: 4879, 4812
The market structure is bearish, with a retest of the 4943-4950 zone of interest forming, from which gold may fall to the 4870 range support for a retest. However, further developments will depend on the fundamental background. A rebound from 4879 and growth to 4990 - 5090 is possible, but if the price closes below 4880, this could trigger a further decline to 4880. Mixed data makes it necessary to monitor local benchmarks.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETH Holding Major Support – 2040 Reclaim Opens Path to 2090ETH Holding Major Support – 2040 Reclaim Opens Path to 2090
ETH is reacting strongly from a well-defined support zone around 1935–1950, which has now been defended multiple times.
The repeated wicks into this area show clear buyer interest and absorption after the sharp sell-off from the highs.
As long as the strong support base holds, the short-term bias remains bullish.
Key levels to watch:
2040
2090
A clean break and consolidation above 2040 would confirm momentum continuation and likely open the move toward 2090 liquidity. Failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish structure and shift momentum back to sellers.
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
EURUSD Short: Bearish Channel Points Toward 1.1790 DemandHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD was previously trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, where price respected both dynamic support and resistance boundaries while forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. This structure reflected controlled bullish momentum and steady buyer participation rather than impulsive expansion. During this phase, several internal breakouts confirmed sustained demand and continuation pressure from buyers. The bullish move eventually reached a major pivot point, where buying momentum weakened and sellers stepped in aggressively. This triggered a sharp downside reaction, breaking the ascending channel and signaling a structural shift. The breakdown pushed price lower into a consolidation range, where the market temporarily balanced between buyers and sellers.
Currently, EURUSD is trading near the lower boundary of this descending structure and approaching the Demand Zone around 1.1790. Price compression inside the channel suggests orderly distribution rather than panic selling, increasing the probability of another push toward support.
My primary scenario favors bearish continuation as long as EURUSD remains below the Supply Zone and respects the descending channel structure. A sustained move lower could drive price toward the 1.1790 Demand Zone (TP1), which represents the nearest liquidity pool and a logical area for buyer reaction or short-term stabilization. However, a decisive breakout above the descending channel and strong acceptance above the supply area would weaken the bearish scenario and signal a potential shift toward a broader recovery phase. Until such confirmation appears, market structure, momentum behavior, and price positioning continue to favor sellers. Manage your risk!
USD/CHF Triangle Breakout on H1 – Bullish Expansion Loading?📊 USD/CHF – H1 Technical Outlook
✅USD/CHF has formed a clear symmetrical triangle on the H1 timeframe, showing prolonged consolidation and price compression. After multiple rejections from descending resistance and higher lows building at support, price has now broken above the upper trendline — signaling a potential bullish continuation move.
✅The breakout suggests momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. As long as price holds above the former triangle resistance, we can expect continuation toward the next key supply zones marked above.
✅The first upside target sits near the immediate resistance zone. If bullish pressure remains strong, price could extend toward the higher key zone, where previous liquidity rests.
However, if price falls back inside the triangle and loses breakout strength, the bullish scenario becomes weaker and may lead to further consolidation. OANDA:USDCHF
Key factors to monitor:
• Federal Reserve policy expectations
• U.S. inflation & labor market data
• Risk appetite in global markets
• Safe-haven flows into CHF
Technical breakout + supportive fundamentals could fuel continuation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Gold Under Resistance - Bearish Pressure Builds Below 5,000Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold recently experienced a strong impulsive drop from the highs, where price failed near a clear swing top and sellers stepped in aggressively. This move shifted short-term momentum bearish and drove price back toward the previously established Seller Zone, which acted as a key structural level during the decline. After breaking below this zone, gold continued lower and eventually reached the major Buyer Zone around the support level, where selling pressure started to fade and buyers began to react. From this demand area, price staged a recovery move, pushing back toward the mid-range of the structure. However, instead of transitioning into a new bullish trend, gold entered a consolidation phase. The market formed a clearly defined range beneath the descending resistance line, showing that buyers lacked sufficient momentum to reclaim higher levels. This behavior indicates controlled correction rather than a true trend reversal. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the descending resistance line and just under the Resistance Level near 5,000, while holding above the Buyer Zone around 4,850. Price action shows compression between horizontal support and dynamic resistance, suggesting that the market is building pressure for the next directional move. The repeated failure to sustain above resistance increases the probability that the range represents distribution rather than accumulation. My primary scenario favors bearish continuation as long as gold remains below the descending resistance line and the 5,000 Resistance Level. A rejection from current levels or from a retest of resistance could trigger another downside leg toward the 4,850 Buyer Zone (TP1), which represents the nearest liquidity and reaction area. A decisive breakdown and acceptance below this support would expose deeper downside levels and confirm continuation of the bearish structure. However, a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance line and the 5,000 level would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest a broader bullish recovery. Until such confirmation appears, price behavior and structure continue to favor sellers, with rallies viewed as corrective moves inside a bearish framework. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀






















