World Economy

Gooby_Trades

China/Europe/EM: The UK and the entirety of Europe are in trouble. The UK now experiencing double-digit inflation and to make matters worse they are facing extreme weather and an energy shortage going into the winter. All the while Putin's war is complicating European energy supply and political ties even further. China is experiencing civil unrest, mostly thanks...

Badcharts Premium

Like Gold & Silver, Crude Oil also tracks your purchasing power. Hyper inflation not required, just time. #fintwit #inflation #crudeoil #gold #silver

SPY_Master Premium

In this post, I will present a market analysis with a focus on recession metrics and indicators. Right now, many of them are sending a recession warning. Home Prices - U.S. home prices are surging higher at the fastest quarterly rate of change on record. (See chart below) This extreme rate of change in home prices is occurring as U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage...

EQTSHARES Premium

American and international corporations are keeping a large number of properties off the market as investments. These unoccupied flats limit supply in sought locations, creating an artificial scarcity as a result of central bank policies that finally caused an Everything Bubble. The number of corporate purchases of houses has increased dramatically. This has...

Cousin_Fat_Fat Pro+

FRED:FEDFUNDS Every 100 basis points, is another $300 Billion in ANNUAL debt service payments. The Fed is trapped. Countdown to Perma-ZIRP begins at the next rate top. (Between 150 - 175 bps)

4XRandalll

This idea is based on a recent Kitco News Interview with Harry Dent. If are not familiar with Harry, he is an Contrarian Investor and Author. I have respected Harry's opinion, and more times than not, he is on the money. Pun intended. From this interview I put together a chart of the S&P 500 with an attempt to convey his forecasts. He is forecasting an...

MarlosClock Pro+

We're quickly approaching all time lows on the 10yr-2yr yield inversion chart. However, in the past the rates inverted at the end of the rate hike cycle. This time we inverted from the start of the hikes and aren't even half way to the Fed's goal of 3.5%. So we are in uncharted territory with the bond market. Note, crashes followed the yield inversion, as rates...

icypopsicle

- Yield curve inversion of US2Y being higher than US10Y. Biggest inversion since the year 2000. Since 1955, equities have peaked six times after the start of an inversion, and the economy has fallen into recession within seven to 24 months. (Fed Chicago) - Yesterday release of US inflation data was a new high of 9.1%. - Almost guaranteed that Fed will raise 75bps...

Vollchaot Premium

This black barchart is the M2 of the largest central banks of the world (USA, China, Europe, Japan.), converted into USD (in Trillions), which is the world reserve currency. So this is a rough expression for global liquidity, which can go and buy assets like stocks or bonds. Any strong decrease in this Liquidity should sooner or later lead to a run for US Dollars...

Moshkelgosha Premium

I remember last month's forecasts of Goldman Sacks for a lower expectations Inflation rate, but the actual number was hotter than expected and also 1.5x of the average of the past 24 months..! In 2 days, CPI data will be out (August 10), and with the current momentum, we should not expect a much lower number for July. The consensus for the July Inflation rate is...

BrainRules Pro

Unemployment Rate (blue Line) compared with the S&P500 (yellow Line). In the previous 3 big crashes the rise of the unemployment rate led to the market fall. In the following weeks/months, pay close attention to the possible employment destruction. Be careful and stay well... as always.

pleasedSeahors Pro+

SP500 Next 6 months - 1 year I think SP500 will still fall to 3600 and then hit it hights. Becareful. not financial advice. just technical analysis .

CarpeMomentum Premium

The ISM manufacturing index or purchasing managers' index is considered a key indicator of the state of the U.S. economy. It indicates the level of demand for products by measuring the amount of ordering activity at the nation's factories. The PMI number, which is announced on the first business day of each month, can greatly influence investor and business...

Badcharts Premium

Silver and US purchasing power setup eerily similar to 1970... #fintwit #stagflation #silver

BrainRules Pro

Be careful with data manipulation (regarding the recent job report), check the "Job Openings: Total Nonfarm" (blue Line) and its relation with the previous big crashes (S&P500; yellow line). Check also the "Hires: Total Nonfarm" data: www.tradingview.com Also watch this video: www.youtube.com I hope that the markets recover soon, nevertheless, calculate very...

Badcharts Premium

Inflation did not break out of a 40 year base for nothing. Producer Price Index versus US equities also agrees. #stagflation #inflation #recession #fintwit #gold

MrAndroid Pro+

This chart of the Nikkei225 stock average shows that this market topped in 1989 and a parallel channel of a down trend that has recently encountered resistance. The question is whether the price can break above this level and resume the recent bull market or whether the continuation of this extremely long term down trend will happen.

JhetoXekri

The inflation rate corrects shortly, but continues its path towards levels seen in the 70's. 🔥 Headlines: Aug 11, 2022: Fed officials say more rate hikes needed, despite slowing inflation. It seems that the 'bettors' will continue to choose the false promises of the Federal Reserve (FED), while the entire economy is destroyed and more and more inflation is...