Civilian Unemployment Rate

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Onajourney Onajourney UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: Using the Unemployment Rate as a Contraindicator
26 0 3
UNRATE, M
Using the Unemployment Rate as a Contraindicator

This is my first time using TradingView, or posting here so please forgive any flaws or failings in my format. This chart highlights the U.S. Unemployment rate (bottom section) compared to the S&P 500 (top section). The Unemployment Rate also has a 12-month moving average overlaying it. I’m posting this idea as much to be an inquiry as anything. But, it ...

stockspy stockspy PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: $SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.
27 0 3
UNRATE, D
$SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.

So we going to keep that bottomed out for next 4 straight years?

Roll-The-Bones Roll-The-Bones UNRATE, M, Short ,
UNRATE: Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.
167 0 2
UNRATE, M Short
Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

When unemployment rate crosses 12 month ma signals long term trend change in SP500. Rate just crossed to upside, expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

gurple gurple PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: WARNING: Beware of Recession
177 0 1
UNRATE, M
WARNING: Beware of Recession

Whenever the unemployment rate has crossed above the 12 month moving average, almost always a recession has soon followed. Here we are now.

Streetsurfer Streetsurfer UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: Recession Looming.
72 0 1
UNRATE, D
Recession Looming.

Private Update of a chart copied earlier from someone here on TV a while back Can't remember who

Streetsurfer Streetsurfer UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: 12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross
52 0 0
UNRATE, D
12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross

12 month 3 month unemployment cross

CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub FRED/UNRATE, M,
FRED/UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS
47 0 1
FRED/UNRATE, M
UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS

Historically, a cross over 5.5% unemployment, negative MoM % US Industrial Production, and the cross over of a 49.8 PMI renders a 97.1% probability of recession

J_Sims J_Sims UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: MACD and StochRSI accurately predict unemployment rates
74 0 6
UNRATE, M
MACD and StochRSI accurately predict unemployment rates

Next month's unemployment rate will determine if the MACD crosses and if we could potentially enter into a recession

BTCMarket BTCMarket UNRATE, 3M,
UNRATE: Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts
349 0 21
UNRATE, 3M
Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts

When the 3 Month Unemployment Average Goes Above The 3 Year Moving Average A Recession Is In Progress. The chart above shows every recession from 1953 to 2008 and shows when the moving average occurrence takes place it's a recession.

Koi_Capital Koi_Capital PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!
205 1 8
UNRATE, M
Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!

This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy! Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession. On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate: Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50 ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/UNRATE, M, Short ,
FRED/UNRATE: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): UNEMPLOYMENT RAGE BACK TO LOWS
31 0 1
FRED/UNRATE, M Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): UNEMPLOYMENT RAGE BACK TO LOWS

Unemployment rate has declined below 6%, thus returning to levels usually associated with historical lows since 1970ies. 6% is an important number, as it is one of the targets of Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. 6% unemployment and 2% inflation are the numbers the FED is targeting to start unwinding monetary stimulus measures.

JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'
1259 5 15
UNRATE, D
Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'

The Fed's rate hike timing is 'data dependent'. Few data points are as comprehensive and influential for determining monetary policy than the BLS's monthly labor statistics. The unemployment rate is good for the employment element of the mandate, but there is also an inflation gauge: wage growth. Will this data offer enough of a push to shift interest rate ...

charttrader charttrader PRO UNRATE, D, Short ,
UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE
134 3 14
UNRATE, D Short
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE

October was the ninth consecutive month where the headline payrolls figure came in above 200k, rendering this year’s January to October period the strongest in fifteen years. The US NAIRU may be 5.2% or it may be 5.7%. But wherever it lies, the actual unemployment rate is moving swiftly towards it. Friday’s Employment Situation Report showed that the US economy ...

khboker khboker UNRATE, M, Long ,
UNRATE: unemployment vs Spy
112 0 3
UNRATE, M Long
unemployment vs Spy

Just an interesting chart

khboker khboker UNRATE, M, Long ,
UNRATE: Unemployment rate vs Market
46 2 3
UNRATE, M Long
Unemployment rate vs Market

Showing how the market responds to the unemployment rate.

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