konhow

09:41

konhow Wizard

What is happening to the food prices since liberation day. Soybeans are a benchmark for food prices — not only because China and many of us consume large quantities, but also because the U.S. exports a significant amount to China. After the Liberation Day announcement on 2nd April, soybean prices initially dropped but quickly rebounded and surged higher. Even...

konhow Wizard

When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a...

06:46

konhow Wizard

When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a...

konhow Wizard

The Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s. More recently, however, the Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that? Why have the USD/CHF and USD/SGD strengthened against the US Dollar over the past few decades? One reason is that both countries...

08:34

konhow Wizard

Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that? The Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s. U.S. Treasury Futures & Options Ticker: 6E Minimum fluctuation: 0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a...

konhow Wizard

The downward pressure did not start with the Liberation Day tariffs on 2nd April. Based on the 30-year long-term bond price chart, the market peaked in 2020, then broke below a major support line—established since the 1980s—in 2022. Since that break, US bonds have been on a downward trajectory. So, what happened in 2020 and 2022 that set the bond market on...

08:42

konhow Wizard

The downward pressure did not start with the Liberation Day tariffs on 2nd April. Based on the 30-year long-term bond price chart, the market peaked in 2020, then broke below a major support line—established since the 1980s—in 2022. Since that break, US bonds have been on a downward trajectory. So, what happened in 2020 and 2022 that set the bond market on...

konhow Wizard

E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options Ticker: YM Minimum fluctuation: 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and...

09:27

konhow Wizard

How to identify double top formation? Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come? In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear. 3 parts of today tutorial: 1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed...

09:27

konhow Wizard

How to track inflation number? When the Fed mentions their 2% inflation target, are they referring to the commonly published CPI that we often read about, or are they referring to Core CPI or Core PCE? 10-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here...

07:31

konhow Wizard

According to the World Gold Council, more than 600 tons of gold — valued at around $60 billion — have been transported into vaults in New York. Why are they doing that? Since Donald Trump election in November, there is around $60 billion worth of gold that has flowed into a giant stockpile in New York. The reason why physical gold is flowing into the US is...

08:32

konhow Wizard

Inflation leading indicator data is not derived solely from CPI numbers; more importantly, we must consider what drives these CPI numbers. By understanding this, we can stay ahead of the mass market. Looking at past trends, we can observe that CPI numbers and agricultural commodities tend to move in tandem. In this discussion, we will explore why agricultural...

konhow Wizard

The final trading day of February. I always take the opportunity to analyze the monthly chart closely. We saw an inverted hammer. From the cash chart, clearly, we can see the inverted hammer. Beyond that, it also appears to be a potential double top for the Nasdaq. E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: NQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro...

06:06

konhow Wizard

Last Friday marked the final trading day of February. I always take the opportunity to analyze the monthly chart closely. We saw an inverted hammer. From the cash chart, clearly, we can see the inverted hammer. Beyond that, it also appears to be a potential double top for the Nasdaq. E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: NQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index...

konhow Wizard

Stock Markets Track Consumer Sentiment Closely The relationship between consumer sentiment and the stock market is evident in this observation. Historically, consumer sentiment tends to lead stock market movements, providing valuable insights into potential trends. Personally, I consider the Russell 2000 Index as a reflection of mass consumer sentiment, given...

08:36

konhow Wizard

Businesses and producers around the world always cheer when U.S. consumer sentiment is in the 80 to 100 zone, as U.S. consumers play a big part in the global economic ecosystem. The United States remains the largest consumer market in the world, but since the pandemic, this index has not recovered above the 80 level. Does it mean that, there is a risks economy to...

konhow Wizard

Gold Surges with Three Major Crises Over the past 25 years, we have witnessed three significant financial crises: the Dot-Com Bubble, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and the recent 9% inflation crisis. In each of these events, a distinct pattern emerged—gold surged before the crisis reached its full intensity. Historically, gold's price has experienced notable gains...

09:02

konhow Wizard

These are the 3 major crisis over the last 25 years. The dot com, 08 and the recent 9% inflation crisis. Before each crisis get into its full swing, I have observed there was a surge in gold. In this tutorial, I will share: 1) Why a surge in gold before each crisis? 2) What are the key variables that we should be looking out for this year? and 3) I hope I...