BTC another drop loading, but a potential pump firstBTC / USDT
Check my last very successful analysis ( see here )
What's next?
We now observe that the price is forming a triangle pattern, a highly tricky pattern in shorter timeframes. These patterns usually begin with a false breakout (fakeout to upside)
Following this, we expect the price to continue its decline to between 58K - 57k where its main liquidity is concentrated.
Crypto market
BTCUSDT Long: Bounce from Demand Open Path to the 64K Supply Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a descending channel and reached a major pivot point near the lower boundary. After breaking above the channel resistance, price formed a new consolidation structure between the supply and demand lines.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 64,000 supply zone while holding above the 61,900 demand zone. Following a brief breakout test near the lower ascending channel line, price found support near the demand zone and is attempting a short-term recovery.
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 61,900 demand zone and continues to respect the bullish market structure, the bullish scenario remains valid. A bounce from current levels could push price back toward the 64,000 supply zone (TP1). Manage your risk!
Bitcoin: Triangle Breakout Suggests More Upside AheadBitcoin: Triangle Breakout Suggests More Upside Ahead
After a long time, BTC is showing another clear position, at least for short-term trading.
The price has already broken out of a triangle pattern that indicates a possible upward move.
If the price does not develop further in this area, then BTC could rise further in the coming days.
It should move today, but let's see if the market will have the right volume to move BTC.
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment
BTC | Bitcoin Stays Bearish Below the Protected High !📊 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily, #BTC (Bitcoin) was in a complete uptrend until it topped out at $126,255.99. From there, price printed an iCHoCH followed by an iBOS, and then confirmed a full bearish structural shift with an external CHoCH once it lost its protected low. Since then, the daily trend has flipped firmly bearish — printing BOS after BOS to the downside.
Along the way, price retraced twice into supply before continuing lower: first into the FVG / Protected High zone around $96,791, and later into the Order Block (OB) near $83,016 — both rejected cleanly, keeping the bears in full control.
Bitcoin is currently trading around $62,669. The key reference is the Protected High at $96,791 — as long as price holds below it, the downtrend remains fully intact. If price closes a full daily candle below $59,848.64, the protected high relocates down to the OB at $83,016.61, confirming continuation.
From here, two scenarios are in play:
Scenario A — Direct drop: Price continues straight down to hunt the liquidity resting below at $58,778.36, then the deeper pool at $52,374.00.
Scenario B — Corrective bounce first: Price retraces up into the Flip Zone (~$72,500 – $74,000, above the 50% Fib at $71,070.60), then resumes the downtrend toward those same lower targets.
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
On the 1H, price has broken its descending channel — but that alone is NOT enough to confirm a move up into the daily zone above. Confirmation only comes if price breaks the 1H Protected High at $64,762.03 with momentum and clean candle closes.
If that happens — that is a clear CHoCH. We then wait for a confirming iBOS (to avoid getting caught in deep retracements), and only then look for longs targeting the daily OB zone above ($80,987 – $83,016).
The alternative — and the move that stays aligned with the dominant trend — is a direct drop lower to sweep both the 1H and daily liquidity resting below.
🎯 The Bias
Primary: bearish while price holds below the Protected High ($96,791).
A full daily close below $59,848.64 shifts the protected high to $83,016.61 and confirms continuation.
Downside liquidity targets: $58,778.36, then $52,374.00.
Short-term bullish invalidation: a momentum 1H break and close above $64,762.03 (CHoCH → iBOS) opens a move toward the daily OB.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The bearish structure lines up with a heavy macro and on-chain backdrop. Bitcoin has fallen roughly 50% from its October 2025 all-time high near $126,200, pressured by sustained outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs (around 13 straight days of net outflows), Strategy's disclosure of its first BTC sale in nearly four years, renewed Mt. Gox wallet-movement concerns, and cascading liquidations — all against a risk-off macro tone of sticky inflation, Fed uncertainty, and a firmer dollar. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index recently dropped into Extreme Fear. In short, the news flow remains a probable headwind that supports the bearish technical bias.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Bitcoin heading next!
Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳
BTC Near Resistance Again_ This Triangle Could Decide the NextIn the past couple of days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been largely influenced by Middle Eastern news and U.S. indices, especially the S&P 500 ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ). Recently, Bitcoin has begun an upward movement, and at the moment, it’s near the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($64,560-$63,430), resistance zone($64,200-$63,280), and the upper line of a descending channel, right at the resistance lines.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin could be forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern. Since the prior trend was downward, we could anticipate further decline in the coming weeks based on that pattern.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin still seems to be in the completion of its main wave 4.
I expect that after approaching the key level of $63,320 and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($64,560-$63,430), Bitcoin will begin to decline, dropping at least to $62,230. If the momentum of the break is strong, we might even see further decline toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($64,560-$63,430).
First Target: $62,230
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($64,560-$63,430)
Stop Loss(SL): $64,720(Worst)
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin? Can it stay above $65,000, or should we expect a deeper drop? Let me know your view!
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTCUSD Range Resistance Signals Possible PullbackBitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined resistance range after a strong bullish recovery from the ascending channel. Price has repeatedly tested the upper boundary of the range, indicating that buyers are struggling to achieve a decisive breakout.
As long as the resistance zone continues to hold, a short-term pullback toward the lower range support remains possible. A rejection from current levels could trigger a deeper correction into nearby demand areas. However, a confirmed breakout and sustained acceptance above resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook and favor further upside continuation.
Key Focus:
Resistance zone remains the critical decision area.
Range-bound price action signals indecision.
Rejection may lead to a move toward lower support levels.
Breakout confirmation is required before considering bullish continuation.
This analysis is based solely on price action and market structure. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk appropriately before making trading decisions.
Title Ideas:
NEAR Bullish Retest Continuation NEAR Protocol (NEAR) is currently displaying constructive price action after successfully flipping a key daily support level and confirming it with a bullish retest. This type of price behavior is often viewed as a positive technical signal, suggesting that previous resistance has now transitioned into support and that buyers remain in control of the short-term trend.
From a market structure perspective, the recent retest strengthens the bullish case. Price has managed to hold above support despite recent volatility, indicating that demand continues to absorb selling pressure at lower levels. As long as this support region remains intact, the probability favors continuation toward higher levels rather than a deeper corrective move.
An additional factor supporting the bullish outlook is the likelihood that NEAR has established a higher low above the deviation low, a structure that often precedes trend continuation. This suggests that the recent weakness may have been a liquidity grab rather than the start of a broader reversal.
If support continues to hold, the next major upside objective sits at approximately $3.56, which represents the range highof the current trading structure. A move into this region would complete a full rotation of the range and confirm continued strength within the broader market structure.
For now, NEAR remains bullish in the immediate short term, with price action favoring a continuation higher while daily support continues to hold.
Bitcoin Sellers Still Control the Trend Below $64KHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (3H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a descending channel, where sellers controlled the trend. After consolidating inside a range, price broke below support, confirming bearish momentum and extending the decline. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading inside a rising channel between the 61,500 Buyer Zone and the 64,000 Seller Zone. Price has rebounded from support and is now testing the upper channel boundary near a key resistance area. As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 64,000 Seller Zone and respects the channel resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward the 61,500 Buyer Zone (TP1). A breakout above 64,000 would weaken this bearish outlook. Please share this idea with your friends and click “Boost” 🚀
A Market Can Move Higher While Becoming WeakerOne of the easiest mistakes traders make during a strong trend is assuming that new highs automatically confirm a healthy market. As long as price continues moving upward, confidence remains high and attention stays focused on direction rather than the quality of the movement itself. The problem is that trends often begin weakening long before they actually reverse, and those changes rarely appear obvious when viewed through price alone.
A healthy trend tends to progress efficiently. Impulses create meaningful distance, pullbacks remain controlled, and buyers consistently defend structure. The market advances through a balanced sequence of expansion and retracement that allows participation to develop naturally. As trends mature, however, that efficiency often begins to change. Price may still be making higher highs, but each push starts producing less progress than before. Momentum fades, pullbacks reach deeper into previous structure, and continuation requires increasingly aggressive buying pressure to achieve the same result. The trend remains intact visually, yet the effort required to maintain it continues rising.
This is where many traders become trapped. Because the market is still moving upward, the deterioration underneath the move receives very little attention. Breakouts continue attracting buyers, sentiment becomes increasingly bullish, and participation grows because the trend now appears obvious. Momentum itself becomes the reason for entering rather than the quality of the underlying structure. The market may still be advancing, but it is increasingly dependent on emotional participation rather than stable expansion.
As positioning becomes more crowded, the environment grows more fragile. The final stage of many mature trends often looks exceptionally strong on the surface. Price accelerates, momentum expands, and breakout participation increases sharply. To most traders, this appears to confirm that the trend remains healthy. In reality, aggressive acceleration frequently develops near the later stages of a move rather than at the beginning. The market is consuming liquidity rapidly as late participants rush to join what already looks like an established trend. Expansion remains visible, but the foundation supporting that expansion becomes increasingly dependent on urgency rather than stability.
Eventually, continuation becomes difficult to sustain. Earlier participants begin reducing exposure while fewer new buyers are willing to continue purchasing at increasingly elevated prices. Once momentum slows, the weakness that developed gradually beneath the surface becomes visible very quickly. Pullbacks deepen, structure begins failing, and confidence disappears far faster than it was built. What feels like a sudden reversal is often the final stage of a deterioration process that has been developing for much longer.
This is why experienced traders pay close attention to efficiency rather than direction alone. They do not evaluate strength solely by whether price is still moving higher. They evaluate how the market is achieving those highs. Are pullbacks remaining controlled? Is continuation still producing meaningful progress? Is participation balanced, or is momentum becoming increasingly dependent on emotional buying? These questions reveal far more about the condition of a trend than price itself.
Two markets can both be making new highs while existing in completely different conditions. One may be supported by healthy participation and stable structure. The other may be advancing through diminishing momentum and increasingly crowded positioning. Both can continue moving upward temporarily, but only one remains sustainable over time.
Technical analysis is not only about identifying direction. It is also about understanding the condition of that direction while the move is still developing. The strongest trends are not necessarily the fastest ones. They are the ones that continue progressing efficiently without requiring increasing effort to maintain momentum.
#VELVETUSDT 1h#VELVETUSDT 1h
VELVET has grown around 1800% in 11 days.
Red zones are suitable for short positions, and blue zones are suitable for long positions after confirmation.
Leverage: 5x or up to 10x.
Long entries are generally easier with 1–2% risk per trade. Shorts require more caution since the main trend is bullish, so risk should be kept small.
On this timeframe, we are seeing a CAPS pattern, which is more suitable for traders who are strong in price action.
We’re watching it closely.
#VELVET
CRYPTOCAP:VELVET
BTCUSDT: Support Holds — Retest of $64,400 Resistance BecomesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT has been trading under a well-defined descending trendline after breaking down from a broad consolidation range near the recent highs. Several bearish breakouts below key structures confirmed strong selling pressure, while every recovery attempt was capped by the prevailing downtrend.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading between the 64,400 Resistance Zone and the 59,800 Support Zone. After finding support at the lower boundary, price formed a local recovery and is attempting to build higher lows along an ascending triangle support line, signaling improving short-term momentum.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT remains above the 59,800 Support Zone and continues to respect the ascending triangle support line, the bullish recovery scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 64,400 Resistance Zone (TP1) for a retest.
However, if BTCUSDT breaks below the 59,800 Support Zone, the recovery outlook would weaken and a new bearish leg could follow.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN The 5-year Pivot that guides the rest of the Bear Cycle.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit last week its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 16 2023 and seems to be finding Support as this week it's consolidating on top of it.
The rejection that led to that 1W MA200 test took place on the 5-year Pivot that started on the April 12 2021 High. This is a trend-line of high importance as it has provided so far 4 rejections (including the current one) and two rebounds. Last time we had a rejection on it (March 11 2024), BTC hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from that spot, as it did last week.
With the 1W MACD just completing a Bearish Cross, we expect that level to break and as with the 2021 rejections, target the next Fib levels of 0.382 and on a more bearish scenario, the 0.5.
The 1W MA350 (red trend-line) is now exactly on the 0.382 Fib and that is the trend-line that priced the November 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. We have stated on numerous reports that we expect the market to test it at $50000, which is our minimum Target of this Bear Cycle. If the decline is prolonged and tests the 0.5 Fib as in May 2021, then it can do so within the $42000 - $40000 Zone.
But what do you think? Will BTC test at least the 0.382 Fib at around $50000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Why Higher Timeframes Control Lower Timeframe MovesThe 15m chart can show your entry. The higher timeframe decides if that entry is fighting the real move.
🔵 Higher Timeframe Is The Map
Many traders make the same mistake. They open the 5m or 15m chart, find a small support level, and enter like that level controls the whole market. Then price breaks through it easily, and they wonder why the setup failed.
The problem is not always the entry. The problem is the context. A lower timeframe level can look clean by itself, but if it sits against a strong daily or 4H zone, the trade can be weak before it even starts.
Higher timeframes show the bigger structure. They show where the main trend is going, where the stronger support and resistance zones are, and where price may react with more force. Lower timeframes show smaller movement inside that bigger picture.
If the higher timeframe is bullish, shorting every small 15m resistance can become dangerous. If the higher timeframe is bearish, buying every small 15m support can become weak. The smaller chart may give a reaction, but the bigger chart usually decides how much power that reaction has.
🔵 Big Levels Carry More Weight
A 15m support level may hold for a few candles. A daily support level may hold for days, weeks, or even longer. That difference matters.
Higher timeframe levels usually come from larger moves and bigger reactions. More traders can see them, more orders can sit around them, and more important decisions may happen there. This is why a daily support zone is usually more important than a small intraday support level.
This does not mean lower timeframe levels are useless. They can be very useful for entries, stops, and short-term trades. But they should not be treated like they have the same strength as a level from the 4H, daily, or weekly chart. A simple way to think about it is this: the higher the timeframe, the bigger the story behind the level. The lower the timeframe, the smaller the local reaction.
🔵 Lower Timeframes Are For Entries
Lower timeframes work best when they are used for timing, not for building the whole idea. For example, a trader may mark a 4H support zone first, then go to the 15m chart to wait for a clean reaction, market structure shift, or retest.
That is different from opening the 15m chart first and guessing direction from small candles. The first approach uses lower timeframe detail inside a bigger plan. The second approach often makes the trader react to every small move.
This is where lower timeframes become powerful. They help you enter with better timing while the higher timeframe gives the reason for the trade. The 15m chart should support the bigger idea, not fight it.
So is the lower timeframe wrong? No. It is just weaker when used alone.
🔵 When Timeframes Fight Each Other
A lot of losing trades happen when traders ignore timeframe conflict. The 15m chart shows a small bullish setup, but the 4H chart is pushing into strong resistance. The trader buys the small breakout, but price rejects from the larger zone and drops. From the 15m view, the trade may look fair. From the higher timeframe view, it looks like buying into a wall.
This is why top-down analysis matters. Before taking a lower timeframe trade, check where price is on the higher timeframe. Is it near major support? Is it near major resistance? Is it inside a range? Is it moving with the bigger trend or directly against it?
The lower timeframe can still win sometimes, but the trade is usually harder. You are trading against a bigger zone, and that means the reaction can be sharper than expected.
🔵 Simple Rule For Multi-Timeframe Trading
The cleanest way to use timeframes is simple. Use the higher timeframe for direction and key zones. Use the lower timeframe for entry and execution.
For many traders, that can look like this: weekly or daily for major zones, 4H for structure, and 15m for entry timing. You do not need ten charts open. Too many timeframes can make the analysis messy.
The goal is to know who is in control before you enter. If the higher timeframe is bullish and price is reacting from a strong support zone, lower timeframe long setups make more sense. If the higher timeframe is bearish and price is rejecting from resistance, lower timeframe short setups make more sense.
A small chart can show the trigger, but the bigger chart should explain why the trigger matters.
🔵 Final Take
Higher timeframes control lower timeframe moves because they show the bigger trend, stronger zones, and main market context. The lower timeframe helps with entry. The higher timeframe tells you if that entry is worth taking.
Trade the small chart, but respect the big one.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSD Support Zone Rejection | Bullish Rebound SetupBTCUSD has pulled back into a key support area after rejecting higher levels. The price is currently trading near the EMA200 support zone (~62,735 USD) after failing to sustain momentum above 64,000 USD. This support area aligns with projected levels, suggesting a potential bounce if buyers defend this zone. If support holds, the pair may rebound toward the first and second projected targets in the coming sessions. 📉 BTCUSD
· 🟢 1st Projection : 67,253.41
· 🟢 2nd Projection : 71,606.45
· 🔴 Support Area : 62,735.29 – 63,550.00
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Live Headlines
· Bitcoin Consolidates Below Resistance – BTC remains range-bound as traders await clearer directional cues amid low volatility.
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⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only
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DN DeepNode: $0.65 a decentralized AI network designed as an infrastructure for open intelligence
allows any participant — including researchers, data scientists,
developers, or organizations — to contribute AI models, datasets,
or computational resources
strategy: size in
tactic: roll with the punches
XRPUSDT — Chart BEARISH SETUP....📊 XRPUSDT — Target Plan (Educational Analysis)
Current structure shows price trading below the resistance zone (1.14–1.15) with weak momentum and possible bearish continuation.
🎯 Sell Targets:
• TP1: 1.090 ✅
• TP2: 1.060 🎯
• TP3: 1.050 🚀
🛑 Invalidation:
If price breaks and holds above 1.150–1.180 resistance, the bearish setup becomes weaker.
📝 Professional Description:
Price remains under key resistance while momentum is slowing. A rejection from this zone may lead to another
Binance Coin - A wonderful break and retest!🏅Binance Coin ( CRYPTO:BNBUSD ) creates a textbook pattern:
🔎Analysis summary:
For roughly six years, Binance Coin has been moving completely sideways. But during this time, you were also able to catch obvious rallied of +550% and +150%. With the current all time high break and retest, Binance Coin is now setting up for another parabolic bullrun.
📝Levels to watch:
$600
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
Bitcoin: Rejection at Key Levels Signals PullbackBitcoin is facing strong rejection at the current overhead supply zone. The lack of aggressive buying volume at these levels confirms that the bulls are stepping back. This distribution pattern typically precedes a downward move. I anticipate a breakdown of the immediate support to test deeper value areas.
XRPUSD Bullish Reversal | Strong Bounce from Demand ZoneXRPUSD Bullish Reversal | Strong Bounce from Demand Zone 📈
Description:
XRPUSD is showing clear signs of bullish accumulation and reversal on the 45m timeframe after testing a major unmitigated HTF demand zone. Sellers tried to push the price lower, but buyers actively defended the lower boundary, leaving a strong structural rejection and initiating a clean displacement upwards. With market structure shifting back in favor of the bulls, the immediate momentum points toward an expansion to sweep internal buy-side liquidity pools and retest upper key structural levels.
Key Structural Levels:
🔴 Demand Invalidation Zone: 1.0850 – 1.0900 (Body close below demand zone)
📈 Current Reaction Level: 1.1134
🔵 1st Bullish Objective: 1.1459
🔵 2nd Bullish Objective: 1.1846
Trading Perspective:
Look for execution setups on lower timeframes (M5/M1) inside the current accumulation leg or on a minor corrective pullback to catch the impulsive expansion toward the targets. A clear hourly candle body close below the structural demand zone will completely invalidate this long setup.
This analysis is based on technical structure and market behavior, not financial advice.
Relationship Between Bitcoin and the S&P 500Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and S&P 500 (SPX) tend to trend together. BTCUSD peaks before SPX.
BTCUSD and SPX bottom at approximately the same time.
BTCUSD 2018 to 2021 bull market lasted 35 – months followed by a 12 – month bear market.
The BTCUSD 2022 to 2025 bull market lasted 35 – months. Assuming the decline is not complete, when could it bottom?
If BTCUSD continues in the same time frame of the prior bear market, it could make a major bottom in October 2026.
If SPX has just begun a significant drop in June 2026, it could make a major bottom in October 2026.
ETHUSD Support Break | Bearish Continuation SetupETHUSD Support Break | Bearish Continuation Setup
ETHUSD has broken below a key support level on the 4-hour timeframe. The price is currently trading around 1,670 USD after failing to hold above the 1,680–1,700 zone. This support break suggests sellers have gained control, and bearish momentum may continue. If the breakdown holds, the pair could extend downward toward the projected targets in the coming sessions.
· 🟢 1st Projection : 1,740.0
· 🟢 2nd Projection : 1,894.6 – 1,932.1
· 🔴 Broken Support : 1,670.3
Live Headlines
· Ethereum Weakens as Support Gives Way – ETH slides below key structural level as selling pressure intensifies across crypto markets.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only
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BTC - OUTLOOKAfter sweeping the prior swing low, BTC has reclaimed the area and continues to close daily candles above demand. As long as this zone holds, an upside recovery remains the favored scenario.
The key level remains $59k. A daily close below it would turn the outlook bearish again. Until then, the market remains sideways to bullish.
BEAT – Is a 50% Correction Coming? BEAT has experienced a strong rally, but parabolic moves rarely continue without periods of consolidation or correction. If momentum fades and key support levels break, a correction of up to 50% could be possible.
Such pullbacks are common in volatile altcoins and often serve to reset market sentiment, remove excess leverage, and establish a healthier foundation for future growth. The critical factor now is whether buyers can continue defending major support zones.
Watch price action closely—holding support could lead to consolidation, while a breakdown may trigger a deeper retracement.






















