Microsoft has broken down from a distribution range / double top zone and is now forming a critical pullback retesting the broken support. This area will determine the medium-term direction.
Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
Rejection from 505–510:
• Target 1: 480
• Target 2: 455
• Target 3: 430
• Stop-loss: Daily close above 515
Bullish Scenario
If price closes above 515:
• Target 1: 525
• Target 2: 545
• Stop-loss: Close below 500
Short Fundamental View
• Strong position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software.
• Copilot and Azure growth remain strong.
• But valuation is stretched at highs, increasing correction risk.
Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
Rejection from 505–510:
• Target 1: 480
• Target 2: 455
• Target 3: 430
• Stop-loss: Daily close above 515
Bullish Scenario
If price closes above 515:
• Target 1: 525
• Target 2: 545
• Stop-loss: Close below 500
Short Fundamental View
• Strong position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software.
• Copilot and Azure growth remain strong.
• But valuation is stretched at highs, increasing correction risk.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.