Bitcoin's Third Attempt to Break All-Time HighBitcoin has tried breaking its all-time high twice already. The first time, it reached a Measured Move target but pulled back to the previous High. The second attempt pushed to the all-time high but failed to hold (false breakout).
Now Bitcoin is making its third attempt. Here's my strategy:
If BTC retraces to the 50% level, I'm planning to enter a long position:
- Take Profit Target: $176,000
- Stop Loss: $108,600
However, if this third attempt fails to break higher and hit my SL, I expect Bitcoin to drop significantly, potentially down to $70,000. At that point, forget BTC.
This is a high-risk, high-reward setup. Third attempts often either break through strongly or reject hard. I am watching the 50% retracement level closely for entry timing.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Range Analysis: 110k-124k Breakout WatchHello everyone, as we can see, Bitcoin has bounced off the last major support at 109-110k. Currently, the latest resistance is at 124k, so the range to play in at the moment is 110-124k. We are waiting to see if the range will be broken upwards or downwards.
BTC just achieved a new all time high on its way to 153kFeels like it may be validating the breakout above the blue line as it also seems to be climbing up the dotted measured move line here on the last few candles. So probability is quite good that we validate the breakout on this impulse. If so the full measured move target is around 152.9k or more or less 153k. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin: 125K ATH Then Comes A Pin Bar?Bitcoin straight to new highs above 125K and now showing a bearish pin bar. This is qualifies as a failed high or fake out so far, especially if this candle closes like this. This recent price action signifies that the current consolidation is a wave 4 and this bullish move is likely the beginning of wave 5 which can see a test of the 130Ks UPON a successful breakout. IF the pin bar confirms, a retrace back into the 118K support (old resistance) is likely to play out this week.
The illustration on the chart represents the pullback scenario I am anticipating. The arrow points to the pin bar and new all time high. This outlook is best utilized for day and swing traders and requires confirmations on intraday time frames like 15M, 4H, etc. As far as the risk on the bigger picture goes, this is a range high and the failed breakout means any new longs taken here for the purpose of investing contain the highest amount of risk.
How you play this game is highly dependent on your personal relationship with RISK. If you can handle throwing 10K into Bitcoin now and watch it get reduce to 8K or 5K over the next few months (assuming no leverage), then you have tolerance for risk. Maybe Bitcoin rallies to the 130K area or potentially higher BUT keep in mind, in my opinion, the risk taken a new highs like these is not worth the potential reward. For example, sitting in a 20K retrace is not worth hoping for a 10 or 15K point profit. I personally prefer to get better prices that offer greater probability and potential. The question is are you willing to WAIT? Many are not.
I am not bearish on Bitcoin, I just don't like buying potential tops. Also there is some potential for surprises in the next week or two with the delayed NFP report and the next CPI. While these may have a position effect on the general market, there is potential for a negative surprise. May be enough of a catalyst for Bitcoin as well. Just something to think about.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 123,111.85 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 124,060.63 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 12278 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 11884
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS $BTC the daily and monthly charts are#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS
CRYPTOCAP:BTC the daily and monthly charts are now confirming that view. Bitcoin is trading around 123K, right at the upper resistance zone that has triggered every major correction since 2018.
🔸 Weekly Chart View:
BTC has once again touched the long-term trendline that has acted as a selling for every bull cycle top (2018, 2021, and now 2025). Each red arrow marks a rejection, and this latest test looks no different. Until we see a clean weekly close above this trendline, the risk of another major pullback remains high.
🔸 Daily Chart View:
On the lower timeframe, price is trading inside the green supply box between 110K and 125K, the same area that rejected BTC multiple times this year. Structure remains weak, holding below 125K still high chances of big correction.
And it’s not just the trendline or resistance we’re also seeing typical top signals: overly bullish headlines, extreme optimism, and calls for “1M BTC soon.” These usually show up near market tops, not bottoms.
📉 My Trade:
I’m still holding my shorts. All limit orders are filled and my average entry is around 122K. I’ll share updates if I make any changes or close the position.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Continuation in FocusBitcoin continues to demonstrate strength following its recent recovery. After periods of consolidation and controlled retracement, the market shows clear signs of accumulation, with buyers maintaining momentum. Each upward leg has been supported by liquidity absorption, reflecting steady confidence in higher valuations.
The current structure suggests that even if retracements occur, they are likely to serve as a foundation for further expansion. Market behavior highlights resilience, with the broader trend still pointing toward bullish continuation. Bitcoin remains positioned for progressive growth, with sentiment and structure both aligning in favor of buyers.
Weekly Crypto Market Outlook: Trend Structures and Expectations The market continues to follow a macro-pattern similar to the previous bull cycles that unfolded in Q4 of 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021. I discussed this structure in detail in my August 18 update:
Specifically: a summer rally, several weeks of September correction and consolidation, followed by the beginning of a new upside leg in early October.
Updated BTC chart:
Another key development is the stablecoin market capitalization approaching a major technical zone. A confirmed breakout above it could signal a strong liquidity rotation into crypto assets — potentially marking the start of a new wave of growth across the crypto space, similar to the dynamics seen in 2023 and 2024.
Inverse correlation of BTC and stablecoin market cap:
Perhaps the most compelling factor is Bitcoin’s relationship with gold. Despite massive institutional adoption through ETFs, the BTC/GOLD ratio has remained stagnant since early 2021. This suggests that Bitcoin remains significantly undervalued relative to gold, leaving substantial room for appreciation as the digital asset continues its mainstream integration.
BTC/GOLD chart:
These factors — combined with the fact that most altcoins have already broken above their local resistance zones mentioned in the previous review — point to a potential recovery of upside momentum across the crypto market and higher targets into Q4.
As long as prices hold above their local and mid-term support zones, I expect continuation of the rally toward the next resistance levels. Breaking these support zones, will push odds in favor of more prolonged consolidation. But as long as BTC is not closing bellow its 50DMA for more than two weeks, macro bull cycles remains intact.
Below are the key technical levels for the main assets this week:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Chart:
Short-term support: 122–119.5K
Mid-term support: 117–115K
Resistance: 131–135K
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Chart:
Support: 4400–4375
Resistance: 4870–5070
BINANCE:BNBUSD
Chart:
Support: 1142–1089
Resistance: 1225–1275
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Chart:
Support: 2.92–2.88
Resistance: 3.20–3.35
CRYPTO:HYPEHUSD
Chart:
Support: 48.5–47.35–46
Resistance: 55.5–60
BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Chart:
Short-term support: 223–219
Mid-term support: 212–207
Resistance: 247–260
Thank you for reading - wishing you a great Sunday and a strong start to the new trading week.
15-30 days to go and we start taking profits As you can see I expect a push to 150K and then btc.d goes down and we see alts pump but this is the time to lower the risk appetite and make sure to lock your profits. I will try to be out 65-70% in alts positions and convert some to bitcoin.
I wish you, all the best.
BTCUSDT Bullish Momentum: Will It Break Through Resistance?👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current trend of BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Bitcoin has recently experienced a strong surge, breaking through key resistance levels and pushing toward new highs. The main drivers of this bullish move are the expectations of a Fed rate cut and the increasing involvement of institutional players in the cryptocurrency market. As of writing, BTCUSDT is trading around $122,000, which is a strong resistance zone.
At this level, the price may experience a slight pullback to the Fibonacci support levels at 0.618 – 0.5, which could present a good opportunity for the next buying entry. If these levels hold, we could witness a strong breakout above the resistance zone.
With the market structure remaining highly positive, Bitcoin’s uptrend could continue and push to even higher levels. Do you agree with this view?
BTC Bulls in Control: 140K–150K Next?In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that 125K was the next target and that as long as 112K remains intact, bulls have nothing to worry about.
Since then, the price continued its ascent and is now flirting with the all-time high.
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1️⃣ Is BTC Going to Make a New ATH?
From my point of view, it’s no longer a question of if , but how high it can go.
The trend is strong, momentum is building, and technically, we’re entering uncharted territory.
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2️⃣ T echnical Context
After nearly three months of consolidation, clearly visible on the weekly chart, the breakout above the rectangle pattern gives us a measured target around 140K.
That’s the logical projection based on structure and continuation strength.
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3️⃣ Can BTC Reach 150K?
Absolutely possible.
That’s only about a 20% move from current levels, and for Bitcoin, such moves are almost routine.
As long as 112K support holds, bulls remain fully in control.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
BTC seems ready to explore new highs.
Now the only question is — how far can this go? 🚀
BTCUSD: Market of Sellers
The analysis of the BTCUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SUI Testing Monthly Resistance$SUI/USDT Monthly Chart
SUI is holding firm above the demand zone near $2.2, showing solid buyer interest. Price is now testing a descending resistance line that has capped previous rallies.
A monthly close above $3.8–$4 would signal a potential breakout and shift momentum toward the $5 zone. Until then, pullbacks to the demand area remain healthy for accumulation.
DYOR, NFA
The Bitcoin bull runBitcoin began its bull run in November of 2022, we are currently 45% of the way through the bull run.
I think the bull run will end around the end of 2026.
Long entry: 122k USD
Take profit: between 1 million and 2 million USD
In my opinion there is a high probability that it will reach between 1 and 2 million, 1.2 million could be a likely target.
This is my personal opinion and this is not a financial advice! Good trading!
BTC/USD – 15m Symmetrical Triangle SetupPattern: Symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish impulse. Market is consolidating inside narrowing support & resistance. A breakout is likely soon.
Bullish Scenario
• 📈 Entry: Buy above 123,000–123,100 (confirmed breakout)
• ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below 122,500
• 🎯 Take-Profit 1: 123,892 (major resistance)
• 🎯 Take-Profit 2: 124,500+ if momentum continues
• 🔄 Option: Wait for retest of 122,750 zone before entry
Bearish Scenario
• 📉 Entry: Sell below 121,700–121,800 (confirmed breakdown)
• ⛔ Stop-Loss: Above 122,300
• 🎯 Take-Profit 1: 120,764 (major support)
• 🎯 Take-Profit 2: 120,000 psychological round number
Break up = aim for 123,892+
Break down = aim for 120,764
Bitcoin Technical: Double Bottom Setting Up for $124.6K?Hi guys!
Bullish Divergence
Bitcoin has recently formed a bullish divergence, which signals that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are stepping in.
Double Bottom Formation
A double bottom pattern is clearly visible, but the critical neckline resistance around $118,163 hasn’t been broken yet. This area is the key confirmation level.
Potential Breakout
Thanks to the bullish divergence, there’s a strong possibility that BTC will break above this neckline in the coming sessions.
Long Position Strategy
The safest long entry would be after the neckline breakout and a small pullback (correction) to confirm support. This reduces the risk of a false breakout.
Target Projection
If confirmed, the double bottom pattern projects a target around $124,600, offering a solid upside potential from the current levels.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD Technical Forecast: Navigating the Upper EchelonsAsset: BTCUSD | Current Price: 122,491.82 | Analysis Date: | Timezone: UTC+4
🎯 Executive Summary & Market Context
BTCUSD is trading at a formidable all-time high level near $122,500. This analysis examines whether this rally has the fuel to continue or if a significant correction is imminent. The confluence of several technical patterns and indicators suggests we are at a critical juncture. Geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, including institutional adoption and regulatory clarity, continue to provide a strong bullish undercurrent, but technical exhaustion signals are beginning to flash.
📊 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown
Swing Trading (4H, Daily, Weekly) - The Big Picture
Primary Trend: Strongly Bullish on higher timeframes (Daily, Weekly).
Key Pattern Confluence:
Elliott Wave Theory: The rally from the last major swing low is best counted as a powerful Wave 3. We are now likely in a late-stage Wave 5 or a complex corrective Wave 4. A decisive break below the key support at $118,000 would signal that Wave 4 correction is underway, targeting the 0.382 Fibonacci level near $110,000.
Wyckoff Theory: Analysis suggests we may be in a Re-Distribution phase. The sharp rise (Upthrust) is being tested. A failure to hold above $120,000 with decreasing volume could confirm this, leading to a Sign of Weakness (SOW).
Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): The price is far above the Kumo (Cloud), indicating a strong trend but also signaling an overextended market. The Tenkan-sen (blue line) is acting as dynamic support near $119,500. A break below this would be the first sign of weakening momentum.
Head and Shoulders? A potential, large-scale bearish Head and Shoulders top is tentatively forming, with the left shoulder around $115k, the head at this peak (~$123k), and a potential right shoulder to form. This pattern would only be confirmed by a break below the neckline, which would be projected around $105,000.
Swing Trading Key Levels:
Resistance (R1): 124,200 (Recent High)
Resistance (R2): 127,500 (Psychological & Gann Angle)
Support (S1): 119,500 (Ichimoku Tenkan-sen)
Support (S2): 118,000 (Critical Wave 4 Invalidation)
Support (S3): 110,000 (0.382 Fib & Major Swing Zone)
Swing Trade Idea:
Scenario A (Bullish Continuation): Wait for a pullback to the S1 ($119,500) or S2 ($118,000) support confluence with bullish reversal candlesticks (e.g., Hammer, Bullish Engulfing). Enter long with a stop loss below S2, targeting R1 and R2.
Scenario B (Bearish Reversal): If price rejects R1 and breaks below S2 ($118,000) on high volume, consider a short position for a swing down towards S3 ($110,000), with a stop loss above R1.
Intraday Trading (5M, 15M, 1H) - Precision Execution
Intraday Bias: Neutral to Cautiously Bullish, but highly volatile. Be nimble.
Key Indicators & Patterns:
Anchored VWAP (from yesterday's low): The price is trading above the VWAP, indicating a Weak Bullish intraday trend. A break below the VWAP would shift the intraday bias to bearish, targeting the lower Bollinger Band.
Bollinger Bands (20,2) on 1H: The price is hugging the upper band, suggesting sustained buying pressure but also overbought conditions. A move to the middle band (20 SMA) around $121,200 is a likely intraday pullback target.
RSI (14) on 1H: Reading is near 65. It is not severely overbought (>70), but shows room for a minor correction before the next leg up.
Candlestick Patterns: Watch for Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star patterns at the R1 resistance for short signals. Conversely, Bull Flags or Bullish Hammers near the VWAP or 20 SMA provide long entry signals.
Intraday Key Levels:
Resistance (R1): 123,000 (Psychological)
Resistance (R2): 123,800 (Today's High)
Support (S1): 121,800 (Current Session Low)
Support (S2): 121,200 (1H 20 SMA / Bollinger Midline)
Support (S3): 120,500 (VWAP & Strong Intraday Support)
Intraday Trade Plan for the Session:
Long Entry: On a bounce from S2 ($121,200) with a bullish candlestick confirmation. Target: $122,500 - $123,000. Stop Loss: 20 pips below entry.
Short Entry: On a rejection at R2 ($123,800) with a bearish candlestick confirmation, or a break below the VWAP (S3). Target: S2 ($121,200). Stop Loss: 20 pips above entry or R2.
⚠️ Critical Risk Analysis: Trap Formations
Bull Trap: A classic bull trap is set if the price makes a swift, low-volume spike above $124,200 (R1), luring in late bulls, before sharply reversing to close below $120,000. The Wyckoff Re-Distribution scenario aligns with this risk.
Bear Trap: A bear trap occurs if the price wicks down sharply, breaking below $118,000 (S2) and triggering stop losses, only to reverse aggressively and reclaim that level, squeezing shorts and fueling the next leg up. This would invalidate the bearish Elliott Wave 4 count.
📈 Indicator Snapshot & Confluence
✅ Conclusion & Final Outlook
Bullish Case: The trend is your friend. The price remains above all critical moving averages and the Ichimoku Tenkan-sen. A hold above $118,000 opens the path for a test of $127,500.
Bearish Case: The market is overextended. The potential for an Elliott Wave 4 correction, a Wyckoff Re-Distribution, or a large-scale Head and Shoulders pattern presents significant downside risk towards $110,000.
Trading Recommendation:
For swing traders, the risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback to stronger support zones ($118k-$119.5k) before entering new long positions, or waiting for a confirmed break of support to play the short side. For intraday traders, trade the range between the key levels defined above, using the VWAP and Bollinger Bands as dynamic guides. Position sizing and strict stop-losses are non-negotiable at these elevated levels.