1-BTCUSD
$BTC not too late to get outWe've been seeing a downward channel and bounce down off the top wedge. Technicals confirm this as well as UltraShort signals. There's a bit more to give (bleed). If you're up now, it's a good time to get out and stay on the sides. With the looming gov shutdown and ultra high markets, the recipe for a good pullback is high. Inverse ETFs CBOE:MSTZ CBOE:UVIX could play nicely.
BTC to go Parabolic to $333K, ~100 oz Gold by EOY 2025 Gold and Bitcoin are both valuable hard assets and from my observation, the Bitcoin chart to Gold is much better predictable than it's price to USD. The reason might be because Gold holds it's purchasing power over time through the history, and in fact it is the base line for the purchasing power, but Dollar depends on how much it gets printed and cannot be reliably predicted. That's why when you look at BTC/Gold chart, most of the times you see exact double tops or exact double bottoms.
I was predicting BTC would get to $100K USD when it hits it's previous top to Gold (37 oz) and so I was predicting about 8 month before it happens that BTC will be $100K when Gold is 2650 and it happened. I was surprised myself that it held true.
Looking into Gold price history, we can reliably say that Gold will not stop here and will march to $8000 within couple of years. However I think it has hit it's top for the year, or max $4000 will be the 2025 top. Then when Gold pulls back, BTC will get the chance to go parabolic, and has it's last rise of this bull market, and I expect it should take BTC to near 100 oz Gold. So if we want to put all together, Gold = 3350 where it pulls back and BTC= 100 oz = $335,000. I know the Bitcoin whales are playful sometimes, so we might get into $333,333 per BTC.
I remember in Nov 2013 everyone was talking about bitcoin flipping gold (1 BTC getting to 1 oz Gold) and well, it didn't happen at that time and it had to come back in 2017, but it got close enough. We might have the same kind of situation here so starting to drop anywhere from $270k to $330k might be what we get.
I don't publish many analysis's on TV, but I thought I'd put this here, it might get me famous ;)
BTCUSD: Watching for the Dip and Bounce to the Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a large Range, just below a major descending Trend Line. This indicates a period of balance and energy build-up after a significant prior move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback within this Range. It is heading towards the lower support levels, a key area where buyers have previously shown strength and absorbed selling pressure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this consolidation is a bullish accumulation phase. I think that before the main rally continues, the market will make a small corrective movement down to test the Support zone.
I'm looking for a confirmed bounce from this Support zone around the 109000 level. This would be the key signal that the pullback is over and that buyers are ready to take control for a move towards the upper boundary of the consolidation.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the 115500 trend line at the top of the Range.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
September 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There are no Nasdaq indicators released today.
I developed a strategy based on the rising pattern.
*Red finger movement path:
One-way long position strategy
1. $111,597.2 long position entry point / Stop loss if the purple support line is broken
2. $113,733.7 long position first target -> Good second target
If the strategy is successful, the 112,8K level indicated
can be used as a long position re-entry point.
Up to the first section below, the price is moving sideways to the right.
From the bottom section touch, there's a high probability of a decline to the Gap 8 retracement level.
Please check the bottom support line and section 2 indicated below.
Up to this point,
I ask that you use my analysis for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
BITCOIN Did the 1W MA20 just save the day??On one of our recent analyses we talked about the importance of the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the continuation of its non-stop bullish trend since the April 07 2025 Low.
As mentioned then, BTC was likely to extend the trend as long as the 1W candles keep closing above the 1W MA20. The three times a candle didn't, since June 2023, the price declined more to hit (or come very close to) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last week was again a successful 1W candle close above the 1W MA50, third time in a month (since August 25) to do so. Technically that solidifies it as a Support and as long as it holds, Bitcoin has more probabilities to repeat at least a +96.38% rally ('weakest' rally it had on this Bull Cycle) and test $145000.
So do you think the 1W MA50 just saved the day and a new rally is ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin can Bounce from Support and Start to GrowHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price structure has been defined by a complex and volatile consolidation following a prior downtrend. After initially forming a downward wedge, the price action has seen multiple breakouts and reversals, testing both the major 108800 buyer zone and the 118000 seller zone. This prolonged period of indecision has established a solid support base at the 108800 support level. Currently, after a recent sharp drop was absorbed by this support, the price of BTC has started to show signs of a renewed bullish attempt, moving up from the lows. In my mind, this successful test of the major support is the most critical recent event. I expect that the price will first make a final small dip to re-test this 108800 support level to confirm buyer strength. I think a confirmed bounce from this area will lead to a significant rally, as sellers appear to be exhausted. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 114000, targeting a key area of prior price congestion located near the resistance line of the larger wedge structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
ANFIBO | BTCUSD will go to 109,000 USD?Hi guys, Anfibo's here ! This is my BITSTAMP:BTCUSD – In-Depth Analysis & Trading Plan
In the most recent session, BTC showed a positive reaction at the $111,000 support level, bouncing back above $112,000. This indicates that short-term buying pressure remains present around this key zone. However, on the H4 timeframe, I believe BTC is likely to form a double bottom pattern around the $109,000 region – which is precisely where I am waiting for a strategic buy entry with a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Here's My Trading Plan:
>>> BUY ZONES:
- ENTRY: 108,000 - 110,000
- SL: below 107,000 (depending on risk appetite)
- TP1: 117,500
- TP2: 122,000
- TP3: 128,000
Key Resistance Levels Before Reaching TP
For BTC to achieve the targets, it must first clear several intermediate resistance levels:
$117,500
$119,000
$122,000
These will serve as critical checkpoints, as price reactions here will determine whether the recovery trend can sustain momentum.
Important Support Zones to Watch
In the event of further weakness, the following support levels will be crucial:
$109,500
$105,000
$101,000
Notably, $101,000 is a decisive level on the higher timeframe. Should this support break convincingly, we must prepare for a major trend reversal scenario, potentially opening the door to a deeper decline.
Conclusion, Personal Outlook
BTC is currently moving within a key support area and is showing signs of forming a short-term bottom. My primary strategy is to buy around $109,000, aiming for a recovery toward the $120,000 – $125,000 range, while maintaining strict risk management in case the $101,000 level is broken.
In this environment, short-term traders can take advantage of corrective rallies, while long-term investors should remain patient and monitor the 101k zone closely – as it represents a potential “line in the sand” that could redefine the next major cycle.
WISH ALL YOU THE BEST, MY FRIENDS!
XAUUSD – Bullish Setup (1H Trendline Play) ..Gold is moving inside an ascending channel, respecting the bullish trendline structure. Market has not broken the trendline yet, which confirms that buyers are still in control.
📌 Entry Zone: 3746 – 3744 (buying interest building near the trendline support)
📌 Target/Resistance: 3794 (next key resistance level)
As long as price holds above the trendline, we expect a bullish continuation towards the resistance zone. Breakout from 3794 will further strengthen the upside momentum, while failure at this level may trigger pullbacks.
This setup offers a clean risk-to-reward trade for buyers with a defined structure based on trendline support and overhead resistance.
BITCOIN Is Still Bearish (1D)All these upward moves look like a pullback to the supply zone that had not yet been tested. It is expected that after some ranging around this area, the price will drop, breaking the liquidity pool forming beneath the candles and moving toward TP 1.
This outlook remains valid as long as no daily candle closes above the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$Btc Turning PointBitcoin has bounced from its lower low and is now pressing toward the upper wall, but here’s the catch — it still hasn’t printed a higher high. The market seems to be preparing for a potential higher low formation, yet the RSI slipping from the overbought zone hints at profit-taking.
What does this mean? If CRYPTOCAP:BTC confirms a new lower high and holds, we could witness a push upward as buyers regain control. But if that setup fails and a fresh lower low forms, a clear bearish phase might kick in. The coming sessions will reveal whether Bitcoin is setting up for a healthy continuation or a deeper downturn.
Keep a close watch — this zone could define the next big move.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCAnalysis #TradingView
BTC Trade Setup: Dip Buy Zone at 113.8K, Breakout Above 115K1. Trend
BTC is currently in a short-term uptrend (multiple BOS and higher highs).
Price is stalling around Fib 0.5–0.618 zone (114,800 – 114,900).
The uptrend line is still holding for now.
2. Key Levels
Resistance: 114,800 – 115,000 (Fib 0.5–0.618).
Support zones:
113,800 – 114,000 (nearest FVG).
113,200 – 113,400 (previous structure + FVG).
111,800 – 112,200 (deeper FVG if correction extends).
3. Trading Plan (scenarios)
Scenario 1 – Buy with trend:
Wait for retracement into 113,800 – 114,000 zone.
Entry: Buy inside this zone.
SL: Below 113,600.
TP1: 114,800 – 115,000.
TP2: 115,500+.
Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell:
If price breaks below the trendline + closes under 114,000.
Entry: Sell on pullback.
TP1: 113,200.
TP2: 112,200.
4. Outlook
Short-term: Likely to retrace into 113,800 – 114,000 FVG before retesting 114,800 – 115,000 resistance.
If breaks above 115,000, next bullish target is 115,600 – 116,000.
If loses 113,800, a deeper correction toward 113,200 – 112,200 is expected.
Bitcoin to Surge? Price Forecast and Key News You Can't Miss!Hello everyone, let's go through some important information regarding Bitcoin recently.
Technical Analysis:
The 109,000 USD support level is a key point as FVG zones have appeared, and there has been a clear recovery response. If Bitcoin holds above this level, there is potential for it to continue rising, with nearby resistance levels at 110,000 USD and 112,000 USD. If these levels are broken, Bitcoin may expand its rally towards 115,000 USD. The candlestick chart currently shows positive reversal signals, and technical indicators are supporting the uptrend.
News Impact:
Several factors are influencing the market:
PCE Data and US Inflation: The August PCE showed a slight increase to 2.7%, higher than 2.6% in July. This indicates that inflation pressure isn't easing quickly, which could lead the Fed to maintain high interest rates. This may put short-term pressure on Bitcoin, but if subsequent data shows inflation isn’t accelerating, Bitcoin could maintain its bullish momentum.
US Government Shutdown Risk: The market is closely watching the potential for a government shutdown on 1st October 2025. If this happens, investors might reduce their holdings in risky assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, if the situation is resolved, it could create a positive market sentiment.
Large Liquidations in Derivatives: On 22nd September 2025, the crypto market saw more than 1.5 billion USD in long positions liquidated, creating significant volatility and driving Bitcoin down temporarily. However, as the liquidation wave subsides, it could present an opportunity for fresh capital to enter at support levels.
Bitcoin ETFs and Coinbase Forecast: Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity’s Fund, continue to attract institutional investment. Additionally, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong forecasts Bitcoin could reach 1 million USD by 2030, driven by clearer regulatory frameworks and increasing demand from financial institutions. This presents a long-term support factor for Bitcoin.
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Fund: President Trump’s executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve fund has sparked new expectations. If implemented, this could provide a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s price as it becomes part of the strategic national reserves.
In conclusion, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery if it maintains support at 109,000 USD. Factors such as inflation data, Fed policies, the risk of a government shutdown, ETF inflows, and the US Bitcoin reserve fund will all play a crucial role in shaping its upcoming trend.
Do you think Bitcoin could reach 112,000 USD in this recovery phase? Feel free to share your thoughts.
Will BTC come out of the downward channel?• In the chart you can see how we are close to the upper limit of the downward channel. This is a key signal - if the breaking persists, it may mean a change in the trend.
• We have several support levels from below (marked with red lines):
• 112,238 USD
• USD 108,981
• USD 107,040
• From the top you can see resistance (green lines):
• 115,266 USD (local resistance - the course is just approaching)
• 117 395 USD
• 119 404 USD
⸻
🔹 Medium walking (SMA/EMA)
• You can see EMA Cross 50/200 (yellow label) - a classic signal "Golden Cross" / "Death Cross". It seems that the average is raised recently, which the market often interprets as a signal of a potential change of trend.
• SMA #1 and #2 (red and green lines) - the course tries to stay above the average, which is positive.
• SMA #5 (blue line below) shows long -term support ~ 107k USD.
⸻
🔹 MacD (below)
• The histogram shows reversal - red posts decrease, and the lines (blue and orange) are approaching each other → possible buy signal.
• If the signal line is intersected up, this will be confirmed by the growth moment.
⸻
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• RSI is currently around 40-50 →, i.e. a neutral level (neither purchase nor selling).
• It slightly reflects from below, which suggests that there may still be space for further growth before we enter the purchase zone (> 70).
⸻
📌 Summary
• Short -term (1-7 days): it looks like BTC is trying to stand out from the downward trend. If it pierces 115,266 USD and persists above, subsequent goals are 117 395 USD and 119 404 USD.
• Medium -term (weeks): support levels 112K - 108K are key. A decrease below 107k would negate a bull scenario.
• Technical signals: MacD and RSI give the first signs of reflection. The course balances on the border of breaking the trend.
👉 It looks at the beginning of a potential growth movement, but it will be crucial whether BTC will stay above 115K.
My view on BTCBitcoin has shown renewed strength in momentum after tapping into a strong support zone.
From a structural standpoint, price first printed a lower low, then followed with a higher low, which is a classic signal of improving momentum and potential trend reversal.
If price can break decisively above the 117,900 level with high volume, I think it opens the path for BTC to rally into the order block near the all-time high.
🎯 Conclusion: My outlook leans bullish — the shift from a lower low to a higher low highlights building momentum, and a break above 117,900 with strong volume would likely accelerate the move toward the upper order block. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this is only my view.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
BITCOIN Supply Area Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN price approaches the horizontal supply area, where SMC suggests bearish order flow may resume. Reaction from this zone could drive the pair toward the target at 113,300$. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Rally – New Highs or Bull Trap?Hey Traders, IG:BITCOIN is currently trading within established descending channel since August highs at $124k , The recent bounce has now pushed price back up, currently sitting at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and likely heading into a critical supply zone at 115K–116K , which also aligns with the 50% Fib level .
This confluence, combined with RSI nearing overbought territory and the potential formation of a hidden bearish divergence (price making lower highs while RSI makes higher highs), suggests that momentum is weakening as we approach resistance. Historically on this chart, bearish divergences have often preceded meaningful pullbacks.
Unless bulls can break decisively above this zone and invalidate the channel structure, the probability favors rejection and continuation lower . My short‑term outlook points toward a move back into the demand zone, with Target 1 and Target 2 marked as key levels to watch for the next leg down.
Scenarios
🔴 Bearish (Higher Probability)
Rejection from 115K–116K supply zone (Fib 50–61.8 + channel resistance).
Short-term correction toward 110K, with deeper moves into 107K–105K demand zone.
🟢 Bullish Alternative
Break & close above 116K (channel + supply + 61.8 Fib) would invalidate this setup.
Opens room for a rally toward 120K+, but less likely given RSI divergence and supply pressure.
BTC Market Update – Bullish Trend RebuildingBTC Market Update – Bullish Trend Rebuilding
The market structure on Bitcoin highlights a sequence of expansion, consolidation, and sharp corrective phases. After reaching a peak around 115,000, the price shifted into a prolonged sideways phase, where liquidity built up before a decisive breakdown. This breakout introduced stronger bearish momentum, driving price toward lower ranges.
Currently, Bitcoin is stabilizing around 109,500 after the decline, with price action suggesting a potential extension into deeper liquidity zones near the lower range before regaining upward momentum. The projected flow reflects a scenario where downside movement acts as a liquidity sweep, providing the conditions for buyers to re-engage.
The broader outlook remains constructive. Even with short-term pressure favoring the downside, the long-term structure still supports recovery potential. A strong reaccumulation phase could lift Bitcoin back toward the 115,000 zone, aligning with the market’s tendency to reclaim imbalance after periods of sharp displacement.
BTC long, because ... why not?BTC is "THE" asset against monetary expansion and Powell kind of gave the green light, not for more rate cuts, but he acknowledged that Trump might be "irght" about cutting rates.
Market still price 2 or 3 rate cuts by EOY.
there is no reason BTC does not trade above 120k soon, and why not 144k when we are at it?
H12 200 MA/EMA as a nice inflection point here.
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Buy the Dip Before $138K!Hello guys!
Bitcoin is once again at a critical stage, and the chart is giving us a clear roadmap for the next move. Let’s break it down:
Current Setup
Price is holding above $108K–109K and has shown strength around the $103K support zone.
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC trades above $100K.
Strategy
1- Entry zones for buying:
Current market price (~$109K)
Support zone around $103K (a good second chance for buyers).
2- Stop-loss: Around $99K, just below the psychological and structural support of $100K.
3- Target: Upside potential points toward $138K , which aligns with the next major resistance zone.
⚠️ Risk Factor
If BTC breaks below $100K, the bullish phase ends, and we should expect a bearish shift in momentum. In that case, caution and defensive trading will be the smarter play.
📌 Conclusion
For now, the play is simple:
👉 Stay bullish and buy dips while BTC is above $100K.
👉 Watch the $103K zone for re-entries.
👉 Protect your capital with a $99K stop-loss.
👉 Aim high-> the next big target sits around $138K.