BTC/USD Weekend War Map• Weekly sStructure single-prints filled ✅
• Retracing toward key stop zones 114,915 & 113,730
• Hourly range = chop, order-flow weak → no fresh longs
• Vol-midline = profit-taking pivot
Weekend algos have been ruthless lately—another wave lower tonight or Sunday session isn’t off the table.
Saturday scalpers: stay alert , stops tight.
1-BTCUSD
EIGEN Breakout Confirmation, Eyes on 2.20+$EIGEN has broken above a key resistance zone, signaling a shift in momentum. The breakout comes after weeks of consolidation with strong support holding at the ascending trendline.
Trade Setup
Entry: Around current breakout levels
Stop Loss: Below 1.33 (trendline support)
Targets:
TP1: 2.20
TP2: 2.86
TP3: 3.78
TP4: 5.27
As long as price holds above the reclaimed zone, the structure favors bulls with upside targets in play.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
BTC Bearish QM pattern
On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is showing signs of forming a potential Quasimodo (QM) bearish pattern. Price has recently created a Lower Low (LL) after failing to sustain the bullish structure. The key supply zone lies around 119k – 122k, where we may see a liquidity grab and bearish rejection. As long as the market reacts to this resistance area with weakness, the first target for the downside is 108,300 USDT. A clear break below 108k could open the path towards deeper levels around 100k – 95k.
For now, buyers are pushing price higher, but confirmation of a bearish reversal will only come after rejection from the blue zone.
📌 What do you think? Will BTC respect the QM setup and turn bearish from 119–122k, or will bulls push through the resistance?
TSLA UPDATE 13 SEP 2025I dont care what price does next. I have exited from Tesla at $390. I want it to go moon and I will buy it back again whenever I want but wont hold here or make new entries here. There is a big monthly supply zone here so I wont be touching Tesla now & wait for further price action
On-Chain Analysis: Understanding the Real Behaviour of BTC & ETHHello everyone, trading crypto isn’t just about looking at charts. To stay ahead, you need to understand the actual behaviour of holders, large capital flows, and buying/selling pressure – and that’s the power of on-chain analysis.
1️⃣ MVRV – Profits Reveal Market Sentiment
MVRV = Market Value / Realized Value. Simply put, it shows the average profit/loss of holders.
High MVRV → many holders are in profit → risk of selling increases.
Low MVRV → many holders are at a loss → the market is more likely to bounce.
Practical example: BTC dropping to a low MVRV zone during a long-term uptrend is often a good entry, because weaker holders are less likely to sell and price can rebound.
2️⃣ NUPL – Market Psychology in a Single Number
NUPL = Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, measuring total unrealized gains or losses of holders.
NUPL > 0.6 → market is greedy, pullbacks likely.
NUPL < 0 → market is fearful, cheap buying opportunities emerge.
Combining NUPL with price action and volume helps you choose buying/selling moments wisely and avoid FOMO.
3️⃣ Whale Activity – Tracking Big Players
Monitor large wallets (usually ≥1,000 BTC/ETH).
Moving coins to exchanges → potential selling → price under downward pressure.
Moving coins to private wallets → supply decreases → price may rise.
Watching whale activity ahead of major moves helps spot real trends, which ordinary charts might not reveal.
4️⃣ Exchange Inflow/Outflow – Let the Money Speak
Large inflow → more BTC/ETH on exchanges → higher selling pressure, price drops.
Large outflow → coins withdrawn → supply tightens, price tends to rise.
Combine this with trend, breakout points, and crypto news to confirm upcoming moves.
5️⃣ Application Tips
No single on-chain metric is a guaranteed signal. The strength lies in combining them: MVRV + NUPL + whale activity + inflow/outflow + price action + volume.
Example: BTC enters a low MVRV zone, NUPL < 0, whales withdraw → potential buying zone, confirmed by H4/D1 chart breakout.
Wishing you all successful trading and profitable sessions!
BTC chart analysis – my assessment
Wave A was completed on September 1, 2024, and we are currently in wave B.
Wave C within the B structure is currently being extended. I expect a correction (wave 4) down to the green support zone, which also contains important Fib levels and a lot of liquidity.
I then expect a final upward movement to around USD 120,000. If this mark is broken on a sustained basis, I believe there is a high probability that we are no longer in a B correction, but already in wave 1 of the final wave 5. Until then, however, I expect a correction in the coming days or weeks.
Why a correction is likely:
The interest rate decision is due on September 17. I expect a cut, as the economy is weakening and inflation remains an issue. Historically, markets have tended to react bearishly to interest rate cuts, as these steps are seen more as a rescue measure.
My scenario:
First, there will be an increase to around $120,000 (market maker move), followed by a pullback to the range between $107,000 and $98,000. There is a lot of liquidity there. My first planned purchase range is between $107,000 and $106,000. From there, I expect a recovery and the formation of the final wave 5 by the end of the year. This could be followed by a major correction, partly in response to the late interest rate policy.
What do you think—could this scenario be plausible?
Best regards,
Trading Architecture
BTCUSD: Consolidation will ContinueHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the market for Bitcoin has shifted from a trending phase into a wide consolidation Range. This occurred after the price broke down from a prior Upward Wedge, signaling a pause in the bullish momentum and establishing the current boundaries between the 107700 Support and the 119000 Resistance.
Currently, the price has completed a full rotation from the bottom of this Range and is now approaching the major horizontal Resistance at the 119000 level. This is a historically significant area that has repeatedly capped rallies and acted as a strong barrier for buyers.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm anticipating that the price will make a final push into the 119800 - 119000 Resistance Zone. The key signal I'm watching for is a clear rejection from this area, confirming that sellers are still in control at these prices and that another rotation downwards is likely.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection at the top of the Range. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for this downward rotation is 111000 points, an intermediate level within the Range where a price reaction could be expected.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin Road to September 17Good morning, this is my first time here.
Today we’ll take a detailed look at Bitcoin’s path leading up to the main Fed meeting later this month.
A small “impulsive” move up to 117K is still possible while the market remains weak. Weekends are always weak, and market makers take advantage of this for their manipulations.
Right now, their goal is to gather as much liquidity as possible before the next upward move. Market sentiment is not in their favor, but the weekend is helping them.
Next, there are two major liquidity clusters at 112K and 110K. By luring traders into a trap with a fake rally, the price can safely head lower. It’s hard to move down against strong bullish sentiment, but there’s no other option—otherwise, during a rally without corrections, long positions will lock in profits as the price rises, each “pulling” liquidity to themselves.
This doesn’t necessarily mean the drop will reach those exact levels. You always need to watch the market in real time, not just “guess with daisies.”
Please subscribe and support, and I’ll continue to analyze the market live as the moves unfold.
Wishing you a great weekend and all the best!
All Eyes on 90–94K — The Next Big #BTC MoveCRYPTOCAP:BTC touched 116.6K, right where we expected. I’m still holding my position and waiting for lower targets. If price pushes into 120–125K, I’ll add more there. My main downside targets stay the same: 105K → 100K → 95K → 90K.
Don’t let price swings control your emotions. The real move is still ahead. Market makers are pushing altcoins higher just to trap liquidity before a big dump.
Jesse Livermore "opposite day-trading", using emojis.FEAR (crash). HOPE (all will be ok). GREED (safety).
Red flag (Fear, take profit).
People in markets dominantly have two emotion. Greed and fear. Fear (FOMO, fear of judgement, fear of not being right (we want to be right, not make money), fear of failure or not being good enough). Greed (forcing trades, where there are none. Revenge trading. Not wanting to improve, etc).
According to Jesse Livermore. People are fearful and want to sell stocks when prices rally. We FOMO, when we miss the price action. And are hopeful, when prices go opposite direction. According to Jesse, You should be the opposite of your emotion.
Be fearful, when "hopeful".
Be greedy, when "fearful" ("everything going to zero").
Be greedy, when want to sell during break out profits.
Using Jesses tactic, I noticed often times there are conflicting emotion. ie greed and fear.
//Hope can work some time. And eventually make you bankrupt.
//When prices correct, you are both greedy and fearful. Eventually selling all, and missing out.
//When greedy and hopeful at low prices, that eventually is just a bear market, you lose all.
it's important to set your base theory right.
BTC, 3rd BULL PHASE this year spotted... more hefty RISE ahead.First things first, chart is reverse metrics USDBTC.
BTC, took a breather for the past few weeks after tapping another ATH at 124.4k -- the trim down was warranted to fix price imbalance and paint a healthier sustainable higher basing area.
This week, the big shift has already come after waiting 8 weeks. This is the 3rd big ascending shift for this year 2025. Every time this resurfaced it is a special event -- price will proceed north with no turning back.
New higher basing zone has been cemented. Time for another hefty runup to North.
Rare opportunity to seed around this zone, which started at 110k -- currently at 116k now.
Targeting +20-30% price growth from here till Q4 of this year.
BULLS will definitely be a happy camper this forthcoming Christmas season.
and ALTS will get magneted by this pull up.
Spotted at 110k.
Interim target at 140k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
BTC/USD Sell Setup: Overbought Signals a Pullback!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price is currently approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level often marks the point where a pullback could occur, especially as the price nears the top of the channel. If a correction takes place, the next key support level to watch is 113,500 USD.
Should buyers manage to defend this support, the bullish trend could continue, with potential for the price to break through previous highs. However, if the price breaks below the support level, we may see a deeper retracement back to the lower part of the channel.
This setup offers a potential opportunity to enter if a pullback occurs, especially with confirmation from price action, candle patterns, and volume around the key levels. Make sure to manage risk appropriately and only take trades when your setup is validated.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your comments below, and let’s discuss!
Wishing you successful trades!
$BTC market update.CRYPTOCAP:BTC Market Update
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently ranging between $120K and $106K.
If you didn’t enter near the bottom of this range, be cautious—there’s still a strong chance of rejection since the 1W consolidation isn’t finished yet.
The recent liquidity grab was expected, and with the CME gap nearly filled, the market is now at a decision point.
What’s next?
We’re sitting in the middle of the range:
If rejected, we could revisit the bottom around $106K, which would offer a stronger entry for the next leg up.
If momentum continues, the next target is the top of the channel at $120K.
The rejection scenario looks more likely since this push wasn’t impulsive—it was news-driven and unfolded slowly over a week, suggesting market makers may be buying to trigger short liquidations.
Indicators:
RSI → Each time it overheats, a cooldown follows. A better entry may be lower since this move seems topped.
MACD → Still ranging, offering clear buy/sell zones.
Stochastic RSI → Pointing toward a cooldown, reinforcing the rejection case.
Bearish divergence → If it is forming now, it would validate this idea further. Keep and eye on it.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Quant Facing the Wall of SellersGETTEX:QNT is still respecting its long-term resistance line. Every time price has tried to break above it, sellers have stepped in, keeping the structure bearish.
Right now, QNT is holding above a key zone that has acted as strong support in the past. If buyers can defend this level and push back toward resistance, we could see another test of the upper line.
In short: support is holding, resistance is heavy, the real move comes only if QNT can finally break through that long-term resistance line.
DYOR, NFA
Stay tuned for more update!
BCH Approaching Breakout Point in ChannelSET:BCH is trading inside a strong rising channel. Price has been respecting this channel for months, with each dip finding support near the lower boundary and each rally stalling at the upper band.
Right now, BCH is hovering around a minor resistance zone. If buyers manage to push through this level, we could see another leg higher toward the upper channel.
In simple terms: the trend is still bullish as long as BCH stays inside this rising channel.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
Allow profits to continue growing.Today, Bitcoin's price movement has demonstrated a healthy rhythm of "testing - retracing - re-attacking": in the early trading session, it first moved upward to test the previous key resistance level, then proactively retraced to the lower support to confirm the validity of the breakout. After completing the correction, it once again launched a challenge to today's high. This retracement and correction trend not only digests the selling pressure from short-term profit-taking orders but also further accumulates the bullish momentum in the market. Compared with the previous oscillating pattern where "a breakout is immediately followed by a pullback", the current trend is more sustainable, laying a foundation for the continuation of the subsequent trend.
From the technical perspective of the hourly chart, there are clear bullish signals: the moving averages have formed an upward divergence pattern, and the price has always stood firmly above all moving averages. The moving average system has switched from a "convergent oscillation" state to a "bullish arrangement". This indicates that the short-term market has gradually broken away from the previous range-bound consolidation and officially transitioned to a bullish trend. Based on the current trend judgment, there is no need to rush to adjust the positions we established earlier in accordance with the strategy; we should continue to hold the existing positions and "let profits run".
If you feel confused about the future market trend, or if you have not yet made profits in such a market, follow me and leave me a message – let me help you resolve this issue.
SUI at a Crossroads: Next Move Could Be HugeCRYPTOCAP:SUI has been moving inside a big triangle pattern, with rising support holding the lows and strong resistance capping the highs. Notice how the old resistance around $1.60 has already flipped into support, a healthy sign showing buyers are still in control.
Right now, SUI is sitting at the apex of the triangle. A breakout above resistance could open the door for a sharp move higher, while losing that rising support would mean buyers need to regroup at lower levels.
In simple terms: the squeeze is on, and whichever side breaks, momentum will likely follow fast.
DYOR, NFA
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#PEACE